2026
2026 season · WR · #18 · 1st season
Bryce Lance
Age 24 · 6'3" · 204 lb · North Dakota State · Pick 136 overall (2026). Listed WR3 on the 3WR 1TE depth chart. Snap share 68% across 7 games.
- How goodLance's -13.1 EPA is 98th of 99 wide receivers.
- Where it comes fromThe biggest share comes in the air (+8.6, 51st percentile per target).
- Fantasy2.0 standard points a game, WR110 of 171.2.6 half-PPR points a game, WR110 of 171.3.3 PPR points a game, WR108 of 171.
- How he's usedHe lives outside the numbers: only 5% of his targets come over the middle (league 21%).
- LatelyTargets are steady: 3 a game over his last three against 3.1 for the season.
- This weekWeek 8 is the bye.
How good is hehis line against the league at his position
| Stat | Value | Rank | League | Pctl |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Target shareof team targets | 9% | 92nd of 99 | 8th | |
| Depth of targetair yards per target | 12.5 | 38th of 99 | 62nd | |
| After the catchyards per reception | 1.4 | 96th of 99 | 4th | |
| Catch ratereceptions per target | 41% | 96th of 99 | 3rd | |
| EPA per target | -0.60 | 99th of 99 | 1st |
| Stat | Value | Rank | League | Pctl |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| First downsper target | 23% | 94th of 99 | 5th | |
| Drop ratedrops per target, lower is better | 5% | 58th of 99 | 41st | |
| Yards per game | 11.1 | 99th of 99 | 1st | |
| Success rate | 36% | T-92nd of 99 | 7th | |
| Total EPA | -13.1 | 98th of 99 | 2nd |
How this is measured
Each bar is the league at his position; the marker is him. Right is better, the dashed line is the median. Ranks are out of the qualifying pool, ties shown as T-, and move every week as the pool changes.
Lance scores 2.0 standard points a game, WR110 of 171 WRs with enough games. Most weeks land between 0.1 and 3.6; 0 boom weeks (12+) and 6 busts (under 5). Next up, in Week 9, the Browns allow the 14th-fewest standard points to WRs, 18.9 a game.
Lance scores 2.6 half-PPR points a game, WR110 of 171 WRs with enough games. Most weeks land between 0.2 and 5.0; 0 boom weeks (16+) and 6 busts (under 6.5). Next up, in Week 9, the Browns allow the 12th-fewest half-PPR points to WRs, 24.1 a game.
Lance scores 3.3 PPR points a game, WR108 of 171 WRs with enough games. Most weeks land between 0.3 and 6.4; 0 boom weeks (20+) and 6 busts (under 8). Next up, in Week 9, the Browns allow the 12th-fewest PPR points to WRs, 29.3 a game.
How this is measured
Fantasy points are nflverse's standard and full-PPR scoring (6 points for a rushing or receiving touchdown, 4 for a passing touchdown, minus 2 for an interception or a lost fumble); half PPR is the average of the two. Ranks are points a game among players at his position with at least half the most games played. Most weeks is his 20th to 80th percentile game. Bars are green on a boom week and red on a bust; the dashed line is the starter line, the points a game of the WR24 in a 12-team league. The format you pick is remembered on this device.
How he's usedhis fingerprint, where the ball finds him and when
He lives outside the numbers: only 5% of his targets come over the middle (league 21%). He wins before the catch rather than after it: 17% of his yards come after the catch (league 30%). His share of the team's targets is 9%: on third down it climbs to 13%; inside the 20 it holds at 11%. Screens are not part of his role: 0% of his targets (league 4%).
How this is measured
Every trait is a share of his own targets, so volume does not move it. The marker is him among the league's qualifying wide receivers; the dashed line is the median. Styles are not grades: a high or low percentile is a description, not a verdict. Play action, screen, RPO, motion and blitz flags come from FTN charting and read low in a week it has not published.
Lance's -13.1 EPA is 98th of 99 wide receivers. The biggest share comes in the air (+8.6, 51st percentile per target). Interceptions cost him more than most (-11.6, 2nd percentile).
How this is measured
Every target this season, split by what happened. Catches divide at the catch: the yards in the air and what came after. The percentile is him among the qualifying wide receivers, higher is better, so a cost smaller than most ranks high. The parts add up to the totals above; the career strip counts seasons with at least 15 targets.
He is targeted short left 1.5× as often as the league (27% of his targets against 18%) but averages -0.18 EPA a target there.
How this is measured
Every target with a charted depth and direction this season; sacks and throws with no charted direction are left out. Left and right are as the offense sees the field. Cells with fewer than three targets show no EPA.
On the field
By depth of target
Who he works withthe connection, and the rest of the huddle
By depth
Week by weekthe shape of his season, the game log and the defenses behind it
The game
vs BrownsCaesars Superdome
NO −2.5 · O/U 43.5
The defense vs WR
a middle-of-the-pack matchup
His history
First meeting this season
His status
Week 8 is the bye. A middle-of-the-pack matchup: the Browns rank 16th vs WR, allowing +0.25 EPA per target to wide receivers. He has averaged 7 yards a game against middle defenses this season.
| Wk | Opponent | Defense | Snap | Tgt | Rec | Yds | TD | EPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | at DET L 30-3124th D | 24th vs WR | 69% | 4 | 3 | 42 | +3.2 | |
| 2 | at BAL W 24-1728th D | 28th vs WR | 79% | 1 | 1 | 8 | +0.5 | |
| 3 | vs LV L 27-3529th D | 29th vs WR | 72% | 3 | 0 | 0 | -8.1 | |
| 4 | vs ATL L 24-4519th D | 19th vs WR | 85% | 5 | 1 | 7 | -4.8 | |
| 5 | vs MIN L 13-239th D | 9th vs WR | 42% | 3 | 0 | 0 | -7.0 | |
| 6 | at NYG W 34-277th D | 7th vs WR | 50% | 4 | 2 | 9 | 1 | +2.0 |
| 7 | vs PIT L 10-168th D | 8th vs WR | 79% | 2 | 2 | 12 | +1.0 | |
| 8 | Bye week | |||||||
| 9 | vs CLESun Nov 8 · next up | |||||||
| 10 | vs CARSun Nov 15 | |||||||
| 11 | at CHISun Nov 22 | |||||||
| 12 | at CINSun Nov 29 | |||||||
| 13 | vs GBSun Dec 6 | |||||||
| 14 | at CARSun Dec 13 | |||||||
| 15 | at TBSun Dec 20 | |||||||
| 16 | vs ARISun Dec 27 | |||||||
| 17 | at ATLSun Jan 3 | |||||||
| 18 | vs TBSun Jan 10 | |||||||
| 7 games | 68% | 22 | 9 | 78 | 1 | -13.1 |
| Wk | Opponent | Defense | Tgt share | Air share | aDOT | YAC | EPA/tgt | 1D | Drops |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | at DET L 30-3124th D | 24th vs WR | 8% | 8% | 10.0 | 7 | +0.79 | 2 | |
| 2 | at BAL W 24-1728th D | 28th vs WR | 3% | 4% | 8.0 | 0 | +0.49 | 0 | |
| 3 | vs LV L 27-3529th D | 29th vs WR | 8% | 19% | 19.3 | 0 | -2.69 | 0 | |
| 4 | vs ATL L 24-4519th D | 19th vs WR | 11% | 23% | 21.6 | 0 | -0.95 | 0 | |
| 5 | vs MIN L 13-239th D | 9th vs WR | 13% | 17% | 8.7 | 0 | -2.34 | 0 | |
| 6 | at NYG W 34-277th D | 7th vs WR | 13% | 14% | 6.3 | 4 | +0.50 | 2 | 1 |
| 7 | vs PIT L 10-168th D | 8th vs WR | 5% | 6% | 5.0 | 2 | +0.52 | 1 | |
| 8 | Bye week | ||||||||
| 9 | vs CLESun Nov 8 · next up | ||||||||
| 10 | vs CARSun Nov 15 | ||||||||
| 11 | at CHISun Nov 22 | ||||||||
| 12 | at CINSun Nov 29 | ||||||||
| 13 | vs GBSun Dec 6 | ||||||||
| 14 | at CARSun Dec 13 | ||||||||
| 15 | at TBSun Dec 20 | ||||||||
| 16 | vs ARISun Dec 27 | ||||||||
| 17 | at ATLSun Jan 3 | ||||||||
| 18 | vs TBSun Jan 10 | ||||||||
| 7 games | 9% | 13% | 12.5 | 13 | -0.60 | 5 | 1 |
| Wk | Opponent | Defense | Rec | Yds | Y/R | TD | 20+ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | at DET L 30-3124th D | 24th vs WR | 3 | 42 | 14.0 | ||
| 2 | at BAL W 24-1728th D | 28th vs WR | 1 | 8 | 8.0 | ||
| 3 | vs LV L 27-3529th D | 29th vs WR | 0 | 0 | - | ||
| 4 | vs ATL L 24-4519th D | 19th vs WR | 1 | 7 | 7.0 | ||
| 5 | vs MIN L 13-239th D | 9th vs WR | 0 | 0 | - | ||
| 6 | at NYG W 34-277th D | 7th vs WR | 2 | 9 | 4.5 | 1 | |
| 7 | vs PIT L 10-168th D | 8th vs WR | 2 | 12 | 6.0 | ||
| 8 | Bye week | ||||||
| 9 | vs CLESun Nov 8 · next up | ||||||
| 10 | vs CARSun Nov 15 | ||||||
| 11 | at CHISun Nov 22 | ||||||
| 12 | at CINSun Nov 29 | ||||||
| 13 | vs GBSun Dec 6 | ||||||
| 14 | at CARSun Dec 13 | ||||||
| 15 | at TBSun Dec 20 | ||||||
| 16 | vs ARISun Dec 27 | ||||||
| 17 | at ATLSun Jan 3 | ||||||
| 18 | vs TBSun Jan 10 | ||||||
| 7 games | 9 | 78 | 8.7 | 1 | 0 |
Targets are steady: 3 a game over his last three against 3.1 for the season. 6 straight games below a starter's median in rec yards.
How this is measured
Bars are his week. The shaded band is the league's middle half at his position, every qualifying player-game this season, and the dashed line is its median. The solid line is his trailing three games. An × on the baseline is a game his team played without him; a dotted tick is the bye.
He has faced the 21st-toughest slate vs WR: his opponents rank 17.7 of 32 on average (league middle 16.4). Ahead: 5 of his next 10 are top-10 vs WR and 1 is bottom-10, starting with the Browns (16th) in Week 9.
The slate · played solid, ahead dashed
His line by defense faced
| Defenses | G | Tgt/g | Yds/g | EPA/tgt |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ranked 1 to 10Top-10 defenses | 3 | 3.0 | 7 | -0.44 |
| 11 to 22Middle | 1 | 5.0 | 7 | -0.95 |
| 23 to 32Bottom-10 | 3 | 2.7 | 17 | -0.55 |
| All games | 7 | 3.1 | 11 | -0.60 |
Yards against the rank of the defense
His production barely moves with the opponent (r = 0.17); it has traveled.
Careerseason by season, back to his rookie year
First season: 7 games in, 78 receiving yards, a 17-game pace of 189.
| Season | Team | G | Tgt | Rec | Yds | TD | Y/R | Yds/g | EPA/tgt |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | NO | 7 | 22 | 9 | 78 | 1 | 8.7 | 11.1 | -0.60 |
| Career | 1 tm | 7 | 22 | 9 | 78 | 1 | 8.7 | 11.1 | -0.60 |
How this is measured
Regular season only, from nflverse weekly stats back to 1999. This season is partial and drawn hollow; the pace is his per-game rate over 17 games. Bold cells are career highs.
Intel & playsthe report, his best snaps, his teammates
- Depth chart
- WR3 · 3WR 1TE
- Injury report
- clean
- Red zone touches
- …
- Third down
- …
- Explosive plays
- …
- Drops
- 1 on 22 targets
- Broken tackles
- 0
- Passer rating when targeted
- 62.2
- Play action
- …
- Contested
- …
| Player | Touches | Yds | EPA |
|---|---|---|---|
 Chris OlaveWR | 71 | 636 · 2 TD | +37.5 |
 Kendre MillerRB | 70 | 196 · 2 TD | -20.4 |
 Alvin KamaraRB | 68 | 258 · 3 TD | -6.6 |
 Devaughn VeleWR | 48 | 348 · 3 TD | +22.1 |
 Travis EtienneRB | 43 | 179 | -0.6 |
 Juwan JohnsonTE | 37 | 255 · 3 TD | +7.5 |
 Tyler ShoughQB | 24 | 111 · 2 TD | +8.0 |
 CJ DonaldsonRB | 23 | 91 | -4.1 |