2025
Week 1 · Thursday 8:20 PM ET · Lincoln Financial Field
vs
Eagles offensevsCowboys defense
Season numbers through Week 22: 18 games for Eagles, 17 for Cowboys. Ranks are out of 32; #1 is the best offense or the stingiest defense.
The Eagles won 24–20 and were favored the whole way, never below 60%. The biggest single swing came at Q3 4:52, 15 points for the Eagles.
The plays that swung it
- 1Q3 4:52PHIM.Sanders left guard to PHI 10 for 1 yard (J.Campbell; B.Young). FUMBLES (J.Campbell), RECOVERED by PHI-Q.Mitchell at PHI 10. Q.Mitchell to PHI 16…67% → 83%
- 2Q2 1:53PHIJ.Hurts pass deep middle to J.Dotson to DAL 26 for 51 yards (K.Elam).61% → 76%
- 3Q3 6:21DALM.Sanders left end to PHI 11 for 49 yards (Z.Baun).23% → 35%
- 4Q1 12:22DALD.Prescott pass deep right to C.Lamb to PHI 1 for 32 yards (A.Jackson).25% → 35%
- 5Q4 2:00PHID.Prescott pass incomplete deep left to C.Lamb.85% → 95%
Win probability is nflverse's model, which starts from the betting line and updates before every snap with the score, the clock, down, distance, field position and timeouts. A swing is the change in one team's chance across a play, in percentage points. The turning point is the play after which the winner never fell to 50% again.
C.Lamb led the Cowboys at +2.5 EPA (7 catches for 110). J.Hurts led the Eagles at +7.1 EPA (19 of 23 for 152).
Cowboys
| Passing | C/A | Yds | TD | INT | Sk | EPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D.Prescott100% | 21/34 | 188 | +1.7 |
| Rushing | Car | Share | Yds | TD | EPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J.Williams77% | 15 | 68% | 54 | 2 | +2.9 |
| M.Sanders18% | 4 | 18% | 53 | -2.3 | |
| K.Turpin46% | 2 | 9% | 9 | +0.4 | |
| D.Prescott100% | 1 | 5% | 3 | -0.3 |
| Receiving | Tgt | Share | Rec | Yds | TD | EPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| C.Lamb92% | 13 | 39% | 7 | 110 | +2.5 | |
| J.Ferguson77% | 6 | 18% | 5 | 23 | +0.4 | |
| G.Pickens92% | 4 | 12% | 3 | 30 | +1.6 | |
| J.Williams77% | 3 | 9% | 2 | 10 | -1.9 | |
| J.Tolbert44% | 2 | 6% | 1 | 0 | -0.8 | |
| K.Turpin46% | 2 | 6% | 2 | 18 | +1.1 | |
| M.Sanders18% | 1 | 3% | 1 | -3 | -0.7 | |
| L.Schoonmaker25% | 1 | 3% | 0 | 0 | -0.5 | |
| B.Spann-Ford16% | 1 | 3% | 0 | 0 | -0.5 |
Defense M.Kneeland 1 sack · Kicking B.Aubrey 2/2 FG (long 53)
Eagles
| Passing | C/A | Yds | TD | INT | Sk | EPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J.Hurts100% | 19/23 | 152 | 1 | +1.6 |
| Rushing | Car | Share | Yds | TD | EPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| S.Barkley79% | 18 | 47% | 60 | 1 | -1.2 |
| J.Hurts100% | 14 | 37% | 62 | 2 | +5.5 |
| A.Dillon13% | 3 | 8% | 10 | +0.1 | |
| W.Shipley8% | 3 | 8% | 26 | +1.7 |
| Receiving | Tgt | Share | Rec | Yds | TD | EPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D.Goedert83% | 7 | 35% | 7 | 44 | +2.1 | |
| S.Barkley79% | 5 | 25% | 4 | 24 | +1.7 | |
| D.Smith89% | 3 | 15% | 3 | 16 | +0.7 | |
| J.Dotson46% | 3 | 15% | 3 | 59 | +1.7 | |
| A.Brown87% | 1 | 5% | 1 | 8 | +0.1 | |
| K.Granson27% | 1 | 5% | 1 | 1 | -0.4 |
Defense no sacks or interceptions · Kicking J.Elliott 1/1 FG (long 58)
Each player's line for this game from nflverse's weekly stats; the percentage beside his name is his share of the offense's snaps. Share is his part of the team's carries or targets in this game. Defense lists sacks and interceptions; kicking lists field goals.
Red zone touchdowns
Eagles score a touchdown on 67% of red zone trips (5th). Cowboys allow 67% (29th).
Deep middle is open
Cowboys are worst against deep middle throws, allowing +1.41 EPA per attempt. Eagles send 4% of their throws there. That is a small part of their offense so far.
Tight ends go quiet
Cowboys give up 52 yards a game to tight ends (15th), against a league average of 53. Eagles' tight ends produce 41 (25th).
Success rate
Call this one even. Eagles succeed on 43% of plays (20th) against a defense that allows 49% (32nd).
The Eagles lead the series 29–27 since 1999. The Cowboys have won the last 2. Oct 26, 2026, at Lincoln Financial Field: the Cowboys won 38–21. Jalen Hurts started at quarterback for the Eagles and Dak Prescott for the Cowboys; Nick Sirianni and Brian Schottenheimer coached.
The last 5
| 2026 · Wk 7 | DAL 38 at PHI 21 |
| 2025 · Wk 12 | PHI 21 at DAL 24 |
| 2025 · Wk 1 | DAL 20 at PHI 24 |
| 2024 · Wk 17 | DAL 7 at PHI 41 |
| 2024 · Wk 10 | PHI 34 at DAL 6 |
2025 records
| Cowboys | Eagles | |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 7–9–1 | 11–6 |
| Division | 4–2 | 3–3 |
| Conference | 4–7–1 | 8–4 |
| Other conference | 3–2 | 3–2 |
| Home | 4–3–1 | 5–3 |
| Away | 3–6 | 6–3 |
| Last 5 | LLLWL | LWWWL |
| Streak | Lost 1 | Lost 1 |
| Points a game | 27.7 – 30.1 | 22.3 – 19.1 |
Every meeting since 1999, regular season and playoffs, from nflverse's game list, which starts in 1999; the all-time series goes back further. Franchises that moved count as one team (the Raiders, Chargers and Rams). Home and away are from the Cowboys' side. Records are this regular season.
| Stat | PHI off | Favors PHI · Favors DAL | DAL def allows | NFL avg |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Overall | ||||
| EPA per play | +0.02#15 | +0.17#32 | +0.01 | |
| Success rate | 43%#20 | 49%#32 | 44% | |
| Yards per play | 5.3#19 | 6.3#31 | 5.4 | |
| Explosive play rate | 9%#16 | 12%#31 | 10% | |
| Passing | ||||
| Pass EPA per dropback | +0.04#13 | +0.22#31 | +0.01 | |
| Sack rate | 6%#15 | 6%#24 | 7% | |
| Running | ||||
| Run EPA per carry | -0.04#12 | +0.05#30 | -0.05 | |
| Yards per carry | 4.1#20 | 4.7#27 | 4.3 | |
| Money downs | ||||
| 3rd down conversion | 38%#24 | 48%#32 | 40% | |
| Red zone TD rate | 67%#5 | 67%#29 | 59% | |
| Targets by position | ||||
| WR yards per game | 140#17 | 171#32 | 140 | |
| TE yards per game | 41#25 | 52#15 | 53 | |
| TE targets per game | 6.2#21 | 6.8#12 | 7.3 | |
| RB receiving yards per game | 23#26 | 43#31 | 32 | |
Eagles: EPA per throw
Cowboys: EPA allowed per throw
Green gains more than expected, red loses value. Cells with fewer than 5 throws are grayed out.