2025
Week 12 · Sunday 4:25 PM ET · AT&T Stadium
vs
Eagles offensevsCowboys defense
Season numbers through Week 22: 18 games for Eagles, 17 for Cowboys. Ranks are out of 32; #1 is the best offense or the stingiest defense.
The Cowboys won 24–21 from as low as 3% (Q2 5:01, down 21–0). The Eagles had been 60% favorites at kickoff. The game turned for good at Q4 2:00: J.Hurts sacked at PHI 24 for -13 yards (O.Odighizuwa) (34% → 57%). The biggest single swing came at Q4 5:25, 31 points for the Cowboys.
The plays that swung it
- 1Q4 5:25DALB.Anger punts 58 yards to PHI 2 X.Gipson to PHI 12 for 10 yards (A.Clark; M.Bell). FUMBLES (A.Clark), touched at PHI 7, RECOVERED by DAL-T.Sieg at…41% → 72%
- 2Q4 0:03DALB.Aubrey 42 yard field goal is GOOD77% → 100%
- 3Q4 2:00DALJ.Hurts sacked at PHI 24 for -13 yards (O.Odighizuwa).turning point34% → 57%
- 4Q4 0:45DALD.Prescott pass short middle to G.Pickens to PHI 22 for 24 yards (S.Brown). PHI-A.Mukuba was injured during the play.61% → 80%
- 5Q4 7:38DALJ.Hurts pass short left to S.Barkley to DAL 36 for 2 yards (S.Williams). FUMBLES (S.Williams), touched at DAL 35, RECOVERED by DAL-K.Murray at DAL 33.36% → 52%
Win probability is nflverse's model, which starts from the betting line and updates before every snap with the score, the clock, down, distance, field position and timeouts. A swing is the change in one team's chance across a play, in percentage points. The turning point is the play after which the winner never fell to 50% again.
J.Hurts led the Eagles at +10.7 EPA (27 of 39 for 289). G.Pickens led the Cowboys at +11.9 EPA (9 catches for 146).
Eagles
| Passing | C/A | Yds | TD | INT | Sk | EPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J.Hurts100% | 27/39 | 289 | 1 | 1 | +8.2 |
| Rushing | Car | Share | Yds | TD | EPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| S.Barkley83% | 10 | 56% | 22 | -3.0 | |
| J.Hurts100% | 7 | 39% | 33 | 2 | +2.5 |
| T.Bigsby5% | 1 | 6% | 8 | -0.3 |
| Receiving | Tgt | Share | Rec | Yds | TD | EPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D.Smith95% | 11 | 31% | 6 | 89 | +4.3 | |
| A.Brown94% | 10 | 28% | 8 | 110 | 1 | +8.4 |
| S.Barkley83% | 8 | 22% | 7 | 52 | -2.4 | |
| D.Goedert92% | 2 | 6% | 2 | 20 | +1.1 | |
| D.Cooper21% | 2 | 6% | 2 | 7 | -1.0 | |
| G.Calcaterra24% | 1 | 3% | 1 | 8 | +0.5 | |
| J.Dotson54% | 1 | 3% | 0 | 0 | -1.7 | |
| X.Gipson5% | 1 | 3% | 1 | 3 | -0.3 |
Defense R.Blankenship 1 INT, N.Dean 1 sack · Kicking J.Elliott 0/1 FG
Cowboys
| Passing | C/A | Yds | TD | INT | Sk | EPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D.Prescott100% | 23/36 | 354 | 2 | 1 | 1 | +4.6 |
| Rushing | Car | Share | Yds | TD | EPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J.Williams78% | 20 | 65% | 87 | -1.0 | |
| D.Prescott100% | 5 | 16% | 9 | 1 | -0.3 |
| M.Davis16% | 3 | 10% | 24 | +0.3 | |
| K.Turpin47% | 2 | 6% | 4 | -5.5 | |
| J.Ferguson69% | 1 | 3% | 1 | -0.7 |
| Receiving | Tgt | Share | Rec | Yds | TD | EPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| C.Lamb85% | 11 | 31% | 4 | 75 | -5.3 | |
| G.Pickens78% | 9 | 26% | 9 | 146 | 1 | +11.9 |
| J.Ferguson69% | 6 | 17% | 5 | 60 | +2.1 | |
| J.Williams78% | 3 | 9% | 2 | 14 | -3.6 | |
| K.Turpin47% | 2 | 6% | 1 | 48 | +2.3 | |
| L.Schoonmaker31% | 1 | 3% | 0 | 0 | -0.5 | |
| H.Luepke20% | 1 | 3% | 1 | 7 | -0.8 | |
| R.Flournoy45% | 1 | 3% | 0 | 0 | -0.8 | |
| B.Spann-Ford26% | 1 | 3% | 1 | 4 | 1 | +0.9 |
Defense O.Odighizuwa 1 sack · Kicking B.Aubrey 1/2 FG (long 42)
Each player's line for this game from nflverse's weekly stats; the percentage beside his name is his share of the offense's snaps. Share is his part of the team's carries or targets in this game. Defense lists sacks and interceptions; kicking lists field goals.
Red zone touchdowns
Eagles score a touchdown on 67% of red zone trips (5th). Cowboys allow 67% (29th).
Deep middle is open
Cowboys are worst against deep middle throws, allowing +1.41 EPA per attempt. Eagles send 4% of their throws there. That is a small part of their offense so far.
Tight ends go quiet
Cowboys give up 52 yards a game to tight ends (15th), against a league average of 53. Eagles' tight ends produce 41 (25th).
Success rate
Call this one even. Eagles succeed on 43% of plays (20th) against a defense that allows 49% (32nd).
The Eagles lead the series 29–27 since 1999. The Cowboys have won the last 2. Oct 26, 2026, at Lincoln Financial Field: the Cowboys won 38–21. Jalen Hurts started at quarterback for the Eagles and Dak Prescott for the Cowboys; Nick Sirianni and Brian Schottenheimer coached.
The last 5
| 2026 · Wk 7 | DAL 38 at PHI 21 |
| 2025 · Wk 12 | PHI 21 at DAL 24 |
| 2025 · Wk 1 | DAL 20 at PHI 24 |
| 2024 · Wk 17 | DAL 7 at PHI 41 |
| 2024 · Wk 10 | PHI 34 at DAL 6 |
2025 records
| Eagles | Cowboys | |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 11–6 | 7–9–1 |
| Division | 3–3 | 4–2 |
| Conference | 8–4 | 4–7–1 |
| Other conference | 3–2 | 3–2 |
| Home | 5–3 | 4–3–1 |
| Away | 6–3 | 3–6 |
| Last 5 | LWWWL | LLLWL |
| Streak | Lost 1 | Lost 1 |
| Points a game | 22.3 – 19.1 | 27.7 – 30.1 |
Every meeting since 1999, regular season and playoffs, from nflverse's game list, which starts in 1999; the all-time series goes back further. Franchises that moved count as one team (the Raiders, Chargers and Rams). Home and away are from the Eagles' side. Records are this regular season.
| Stat | PHI off | Favors PHI · Favors DAL | DAL def allows | NFL avg |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Overall | ||||
| EPA per play | +0.02#15 | +0.17#32 | +0.01 | |
| Success rate | 43%#20 | 49%#32 | 44% | |
| Yards per play | 5.3#19 | 6.3#31 | 5.4 | |
| Explosive play rate | 9%#16 | 12%#31 | 10% | |
| Passing | ||||
| Pass EPA per dropback | +0.04#13 | +0.22#31 | +0.01 | |
| Sack rate | 6%#15 | 6%#24 | 7% | |
| Running | ||||
| Run EPA per carry | -0.04#12 | +0.05#30 | -0.05 | |
| Yards per carry | 4.1#20 | 4.7#27 | 4.3 | |
| Money downs | ||||
| 3rd down conversion | 38%#24 | 48%#32 | 40% | |
| Red zone TD rate | 67%#5 | 67%#29 | 59% | |
| Targets by position | ||||
| WR yards per game | 140#17 | 171#32 | 140 | |
| TE yards per game | 41#25 | 52#15 | 53 | |
| TE targets per game | 6.2#21 | 6.8#12 | 7.3 | |
| RB receiving yards per game | 23#26 | 43#31 | 32 | |
Eagles: EPA per throw
Cowboys: EPA allowed per throw
Green gains more than expected, red loses value. Cells with fewer than 5 throws are grayed out.