2025
Week 14 · Monday 8:15 PM ET · SoFi Stadium
vs
Eagles offensevsChargers defense
Season numbers through Week 22: 18 games for Eagles, 18 for Chargers. Ranks are out of 32; #1 is the best offense or the stingiest defense.
The Chargers won 22–19 from as low as 19% (Q4 0:12, down 19–16). The Eagles had been 57% favorites at kickoff. Tied 19–19 after regulation, they won it in overtime at OT 6:29: C.Dicker 54 yard field goal is GOOD. The biggest single swing came at Q4 15:00, 25 points for the Eagles.
The plays that swung it
- 1Q4 15:00PHIS.Barkley left end for 52 yards, TOUCHDOWN.42% → 67%
- 2Q4 11:12PHIJ.Hurts pass deep middle intended for A.Brown INTERCEPTED by C.Hart at LAC 38. C.Hart ran ob at PHI 35 for 27 yards (D.Goedert).23% → 47%
- 3Q2 8:31PHIJ.Hurts pass short middle intended for A.Brown INTERCEPTED by D.Hand at LAC 17. D.Hand to LAC 24 for 7 yards (W.Shipley). FUMBLES (W.Shipley),…45% → 65%
- 4Q4 0:03PHIJ.Hurts kneels to PHI 27 for -1 yards.32% → 50%
- 5Q2 4:38LACJ.Herbert sacked at PHI 39 for -9 yards (N.Dean). FUMBLES (N.Dean) [N.Dean], RECOVERED by PHI-B.Young at PHI 42. B.Young to PHI 42 for no gain…22% → 40%
Win probability is nflverse's model, which starts from the betting line and updates before every snap with the score, the clock, down, distance, field position and timeouts. A swing is the change in one team's chance across a play, in percentage points. Each play is tagged with the team that had the ball; the bar names the team it helped. The turning point is the play after which the winner never fell to 50% again. The model does not hold together under the current overtime rules, so the chart covers regulation and overtime shows its scoring plays.
D.Goedert led the Eagles at +8.6 EPA (8 catches for 78). K.Allen led the Chargers at +1.4 EPA (3 catches for 22).
Eagles
| Passing | C/A | Yds | TD | INT | Sk | EPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J.Hurts100% | 21/40 | 240 | 4 | 1 | -16.2 |
| Rushing | Car | Share | Yds | TD | EPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| S.Barkley82% | 20 | 80% | 122 | 1 | -0.2 |
| J.Hurts100% | 4 | 16% | 8 | -0.6 | |
| T.Bigsby10% | 1 | 4% | 4 | -0.1 |
| Receiving | Tgt | Share | Rec | Yds | TD | EPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A.Brown97% | 13 | 34% | 6 | 100 | -10.1 | |
| D.Goedert93% | 10 | 26% | 8 | 78 | +8.6 | |
| D.Smith97% | 8 | 21% | 4 | 37 | -4.7 | |
| J.Dotson49% | 3 | 8% | 1 | 3 | -6.4 | |
| S.Barkley82% | 2 | 5% | 0 | 0 | -1.3 | |
| W.Shipley10% | 1 | 3% | 1 | 3 | -0.3 | |
| D.Cooper30% | 1 | 3% | 1 | 19 | +1.2 |
Defense J.Hunt 2.5 sacks, A.Jackson 1 INT, J.Davis 1.5 sacks, B.Young 1.5 sacks · Kicking J.Elliott 4/5 FG (long 54)
Chargers
| Passing | C/A | Yds | TD | INT | Sk | EPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J.Herbert100% | 12/26 | 139 | 1 | 1 | 7 | -15.6 |
| Rushing | Car | Share | Yds | TD | EPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K.Vidal69% | 14 | 37% | 44 | -5.5 | |
| O.Hampton31% | 13 | 34% | 56 | -1.2 | |
| J.Herbert100% | 10 | 26% | 66 | +3.2 | |
| T.Harris50% | 1 | 3% | 3 | -0.4 |
| Receiving | Tgt | Share | Rec | Yds | TD | EPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| L.McConkey86% | 5 | 22% | 1 | 12 | -1.3 | |
| O.II62% | 4 | 17% | 1 | 7 | -3.6 | |
| K.Allen57% | 3 | 13% | 3 | 22 | +1.4 | |
| Q.Johnston76% | 3 | 13% | 2 | 8 | -1.4 | |
| K.Vidal69% | 3 | 13% | 1 | 60 | +2.8 | |
| O.Hampton31% | 2 | 9% | 2 | 11 | 1 | +1.5 |
| T.Harris50% | 2 | 9% | 1 | 18 | +1.5 | |
| W.Dissly36% | 1 | 4% | 1 | 1 | -0.6 |
Defense T.Jefferson 1 INT, D.Jackson 1 INT, D.Hand 1 INT, C.Hart 1 INT · Kicking C.Dicker 5/5 FG (long 54)
Each player's line for this game from nflverse's weekly stats; the percentage beside his name is his share of the offense's snaps. Share is his part of the team's carries or targets in this game. Defense lists sacks and interceptions; kicking lists field goals.
Throw it
Eagles gain +0.04 EPA per dropback (13th). Chargers allow -0.09 (10th).
Deep left is open
Chargers are worst against deep left throws, allowing +0.49 EPA per attempt. Eagles send 9% of their throws there. That is a small part of their offense so far.
Third downs favor Chargers
Eagles convert 38% of third downs (24th). Chargers allow 35% (3rd).
Explosive play rate
Call this one even. Eagles create explosive plays on 9% of snaps (16th). Chargers give them up at 9% (17th).
The Chargers lead the series 4–3 since 1999 (they first met in 2001). They have won the last 2. This game is the latest meeting.
The last 5
| 2025 · Wk 14 · OT | PHI 19 at LAC 22 |
| 2021 · Wk 9 | LAC 27 at PHI 24 |
| 2017 · Wk 4 | PHI 26 at LAC 24 |
| 2013 · Wk 2 | LAC 33 at PHI 30 |
| 2009 · Wk 10 | PHI 23 at LAC 31 |
2025 records
| Eagles | Chargers | |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 11–6 | 11–6 |
| Division | 3–3 | 5–1 |
| Conference | 8–4 | 8–4 |
| Other conference | 3–2 | 3–2 |
| Home | 5–3 | 6–3 |
| Away | 6–3 | 5–3 |
| Last 5 | LWWWL | WWWLL |
| Streak | Lost 1 | Lost 2 |
| Points a game | 22.3 – 19.1 | 21.6 – 20.0 |
Every meeting since 1999, regular season and playoffs, from nflverse's game list, which starts in 1999; the all-time series goes back further. Franchises that moved count as one team (the Raiders, Chargers and Rams). Home and away are from the Eagles' side. Records are this regular season.
| Stat | PHI off | Favors PHI · Favors LAC | LAC def allows | NFL avg |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Overall | ||||
| EPA per play | +0.02#15 | -0.08#7 | +0.01 | |
| Success rate | 43%#20 | 41%#6 | 44% | |
| Yards per play | 5.3#19 | 5.2#12 | 5.4 | |
| Explosive play rate | 9%#16 | 9%#17 | 10% | |
| Passing | ||||
| Pass EPA per dropback | +0.04#13 | -0.09#10 | +0.01 | |
| Sack rate | 6%#15 | 9%#5 | 7% | |
| Running | ||||
| Run EPA per carry | -0.04#12 | -0.12#3 | -0.05 | |
| Yards per carry | 4.1#20 | 4.1#14 | 4.3 | |
| Money downs | ||||
| 3rd down conversion | 38%#24 | 35%#3 | 40% | |
| Red zone TD rate | 67%#5 | 44%#1 | 59% | |
| Targets by position | ||||
| WR yards per game | 140#17 | 127#8 | 140 | |
| TE yards per game | 41#25 | 43#6 | 53 | |
| TE targets per game | 6.2#21 | 5.7#2 | 7.3 | |
| RB receiving yards per game | 23#26 | 29#15 | 32 | |
Eagles: EPA per throw
Chargers: EPA allowed per throw
Green gains more than expected, red loses value. Cells with fewer than 5 throws are grayed out.