DOWN X DOWN › week 10 › Bills at Jets
Updated Nov 3, 9:16 AM ET
2026
2026this season2025final

Week 10 · Sunday 1:00 PM ET · MetLife Stadium

BUFvsNYJ

Bills offensevsJets defense

Season numbers through Week 8: 7 games for Bills, 8 for Jets. Ranks are out of 32; #1 is the best offense or the stingiest defense.

BUF offenseNYJ offense
Keys to the game · where this matchup tilts, from the season numbers4 reads
01
Biggest edge

Throw it

Bills gain +0.23 EPA per dropback (4th). Jets allow +0.12 (25th).

02
Opportunity

Deep left is open

Jets are worst against deep left throws, allowing +0.53 EPA per attempt. Bills send 8% of their throws there. That is a small part of their offense so far.

03
Watch out

Wideouts get blanketed

Jets give up 121 yards a game to wide receivers (5th), against a league average of 147. Bills' wide receivers produce 145 (17th).

04
Wash

Yards per play

Call this one even. Bills gain 6.5 yards per play (2nd). Jets give up 5.1 (9th), with the league at 5.4.

Players to watch

BUF Bills

17Josh AllenQB · 135/205 · 1793 yds · 11 TD · 5 INTEPA per dropback +0.27 · 5th4James CookRB · 138 car · 707 yds · 7 TD · 12 recEPA per touch +0.08 · 11th10Khalil ShakirWR · 27 rec · 354 yds · 1 TD · 38 tgtEPA per target +0.4086Dalton KincaidTE · 27 rec · 401 yds · 2 TD · 35 tgtEPA per target +0.50 · 8th15Greg RousseauWeakside Linebacker · 24 tackles · 7 sacks · 7 PD7 sacks · T-3rd in the NFL21Davison IgbinosunRight Cornerback · 28 tackles · 1 INT · 8 PD1 INT

NYJ Jets

7Geno SmithQB · 165/239 · 1913 yds · 12 TD · 3 INTEPA per dropback +0.15 · 12th20Breece HallRB · 51 car · 163 yds · 1 TD · 10 recEPA per touch 0.00 · 20th5Garrett WilsonWR · 43 rec · 527 yds · 3 TD · 63 tgtEPA per target +0.3915Adonai MitchellWR · 16 rec · 265 yds · 1 TD · 27 tgtEPA per target +0.71 · 7th31David BaileyLeft Defensive End · 34 tackles · 5.5 sacks · 1 PD5.5 sacks · T-9th in the NFL56Demario DavisWeakside Linebacker · 52 tackles · 2 sacks · 4 PD2 sacks
The series · Bills and Jets since 1999, and this season's records54 meetings

The Bills lead the series 29–25 since 1999. They have won the last 5. Jan 4, 2026, at New Era Field: the Bills won 35–8. Mitchell Trubisky started at quarterback for the Bills and Brady Cook for the Jets; Sean McDermott and Aaron Glenn coached.

Bills at home16–10the Bills' record
In New York12–15the Bills' record
Most pointsBills 45 · Jets 482021 · 2012
Biggest winBills by 35 · Jets by 312014 · 2010

The last 5

2025 · Wk 18NYJ 8 at BUF 35
2025 · Wk 2BUF 30 at NYJ 10
2024 · Wk 17NYJ 14 at BUF 40
2024 · Wk 6BUF 23 at NYJ 20
2023 · Wk 11NYJ 6 at BUF 32

2026 records

BillsJets
Overall6–12–6
Division0–10–2
Conference4–12–3
Other conference2–00–3
Home3–11–3
Away3–01–3
Last 5WLWWWLWLLL
StreakWon 3Lost 3
Points a game33.3 – 25.921.3 – 23.5

Every meeting since 1999, regular season and playoffs, from nflverse's game list, which starts in 1999; the all-time series goes back further. Franchises that moved count as one team (the Raiders, Chargers and Rams). Home and away are from the Bills' side. Records are this regular season.

The lineups · Bills offense against the Jets defenseDepth charts
Jets defense · 4-3 DBills offense · 3WR 1TE73Dawkins70Anderson66McGovern64Torrence79Brown86Kincaid17Allen4Cook2Moore0Coleman10Shakir52Enagbare91Briggs95Jackson31Bailey56Davis44Sherwood49Wallace21Stephens1Thomas2Brownlee6Belton29Fitzpatrick

Bills offense · 3WR 1TE

  • QBJosh Allen#17 · 135/205 · 1793 yds · 11 TD · 5 INT
  • RBJames Cook III#4 · 138 car · 707 yds · 7 TD · 12 rec
  • WRDJ Moore#2 · 16 rec · 260 yds · 2 TD · 27 tgt
  • WRKhalil Shakir#10 · 27 rec · 354 yds · 1 TD · 38 tgt
  • WRKeon Coleman#0 · 20 rec · 287 yds · 3 TD · 27 tgt
  • TEDalton Kincaid#86 · 27 rec · 401 yds · 2 TD · 35 tgt
  • LTDion Dawkins#73
  • LGAlec Anderson#70
  • CConnor McGovern#66
  • RGO'Cyrus Torrence#64
  • RTSpencer Brown#79

Jets defense · Base 4-3 D

  • RDEKingsley Enagbare#52 · 25 tackles · 2.5 sacks
  • RDTJowon Briggs#91 · 28 tackles · 2 sacks
  • LDTDarrell Jackson Jr.#95 · 23 tackles · 1 sack · 2 PD
  • LDEDavid Bailey#31 · 34 tackles · 5.5 sacks · 1 PD
  • WLBDemario Davis#56 · 52 tackles · 2 sacks · 4 PD
  • MLBJamien Sherwood#44 · 65 tackles · 5 PD
  • SLBTrevin Wallace#49 · 4 tackles
  • RCBBrandon Stephens#21 · 22 tackles · 5 PD
  • LCBAzareye'h Thomas#1 · 37 tackles · 5 PD
  • NBJarvis Brownlee Jr.#2 · 15 tackles · 1 sack
  • SSDane Belton#6 · 67 tackles · 1 sack · 4 PD
  • FSMinkah Fitzpatrick#29 · 45 tackles · 1 INT · 3 PD

Starters from each team's current depth chart (nflverse, from ESPN), drawn in the offense's base three-receiver set against the defense's base front. The nickel back, the extra defensive back most teams use against three receivers, is drawn lighter. Left and right are as the offense sees the field. The toggle at the top flips which offense is drawn.

Head to head · BUF offense against NYJ defense
StatBUF BUF offFavors BUF · Favors NYJNYJ NYJ def allowsNFL avg
Overall
EPA per play
+0.18#1
+0.02#19+0.00
Success rate
49%#4
45%#2444%
Yards per play
6.5#2
5.1#95.4
Explosive play rate
15%#1
9%#119%
Passing
Pass EPA per dropback
+0.23#4
+0.12#25+0.03
Sack rate
6%#13
8%#87%
Running
Run EPA per carry
+0.02#6
-0.14#7-0.08
Yards per carry
4.5#7
3.9#154.1
Money downs
3rd down conversion
47%#6
41%#1641%
Red zone TD rate
72%#3
64%#2061%
Targets by position
WR yards per game
145#17
121#5147
TE yards per game
64#9
60#2455
TE targets per game
7.1#19
7.8#177.6
RB receiving yards per game
46#7
27#1132
Where the ball goes · EPA per throwDeep is 15+ air yds

Bills: EPA per throw

Left
Middle
Right
Deep
-0.138% of throws
+1.408% of throws
+1.215% of throws
Short
+0.4627% of throws
-0.1216% of throws
+0.2236% of throws

Jets: EPA allowed per throw

Left
Middle
Right
Deep
+0.5312 throws
+0.0510 throws
+0.1215 throws
Short
+0.1273 throws
+0.3847 throws
+0.2982 throws

Green gains more than expected, red loses value. Cells with fewer than 5 throws are grayed out.