DOWN X DOWN › week 10 › Bills at Jets
Updated Nov 3, 5:29 AM ET
2026
2026this season2025final

Week 10 · Sunday 1:00 PM ET · MetLife Stadium

NYJvsBUF

Jets offensevsBills defense

Season numbers through Week 8: 8 games for Jets, 7 for Bills. Ranks are out of 32; #1 is the best offense or the stingiest defense.

BUF offenseNYJ offense
Keys to the game · where this matchup tilts, from the season numbers4 reads
01
Biggest edge

Tight ends feast

Bills give up 9.1 targets a game to tight ends (29th), against a league average of 7.6. Jets' tight ends produce 7.9 (12th).

02
Opportunity

Deep right is open

Bills are worst against deep right throws, allowing +0.64 EPA per attempt. Jets send 8% of their throws there. That is a small part of their offense so far.

03
Watch out

Field goals, not touchdowns

Jets score a touchdown on 46% of red zone trips (32nd). Bills allow 68% (24th).

04
Wash

Yards per play

Call this one even. Jets gain 5.6 yards per play (11th). Bills give up 5.4 (16th), with the league at 5.4.

Players to watch

BUF Bills

17Josh AllenQB · 135/205 · 1793 yds · 11 TD · 5 INTEPA per dropback +0.27 · 5th4James CookRB · 138 car · 707 yds · 7 TD · 12 recEPA per touch +0.08 · 11th10Khalil ShakirWR · 27 rec · 354 yds · 1 TD · 38 tgtEPA per target +0.4086Dalton KincaidTE · 27 rec · 401 yds · 2 TD · 35 tgtEPA per target +0.50 · 8th15Greg RousseauWeakside Linebacker · 24 tackles · 7 sacks · 7 PD7 sacks · T-3rd in the NFL21Davison IgbinosunRight Cornerback · 28 tackles · 1 INT · 8 PD1 INT

NYJ Jets

7Geno SmithQB · 165/239 · 1913 yds · 12 TD · 3 INTEPA per dropback +0.15 · 12th20Breece HallRB · 51 car · 163 yds · 1 TD · 10 recEPA per touch 0.00 · 20th5Garrett WilsonWR · 43 rec · 527 yds · 3 TD · 63 tgtEPA per target +0.3915Adonai MitchellWR · 16 rec · 265 yds · 1 TD · 27 tgtEPA per target +0.71 · 7th31David BaileyLeft Defensive End · 34 tackles · 5.5 sacks · 1 PD5.5 sacks · T-9th in the NFL56Demario DavisWeakside Linebacker · 52 tackles · 2 sacks · 4 PD2 sacks
The series · Bills and Jets since 1999, and this season's records54 meetings

The Bills lead the series 29–25 since 1999. They have won the last 5. Jan 4, 2026, at New Era Field: the Bills won 35–8. Mitchell Trubisky started at quarterback for the Bills and Brady Cook for the Jets; Sean McDermott and Aaron Glenn coached.

Bills at home16–10the Bills' record
In New York12–15the Bills' record
Most pointsBills 45 · Jets 482021 · 2012
Biggest winBills by 35 · Jets by 312014 · 2010

The last 5

2025 · Wk 18NYJ 8 at BUF 35
2025 · Wk 2BUF 30 at NYJ 10
2024 · Wk 17NYJ 14 at BUF 40
2024 · Wk 6BUF 23 at NYJ 20
2023 · Wk 11NYJ 6 at BUF 32

2026 records

BillsJets
Overall6–12–6
Division0–10–2
Conference4–12–3
Other conference2–00–3
Home3–11–3
Away3–01–3
Last 5WLWWWLWLLL
StreakWon 3Lost 3
Points a game33.3 – 25.921.3 – 23.5

Every meeting since 1999, regular season and playoffs, from nflverse's game list, which starts in 1999; the all-time series goes back further. Franchises that moved count as one team (the Raiders, Chargers and Rams). Home and away are from the Bills' side. Records are this regular season.

The lineups · Jets offense against the Bills defenseDepth charts
Bills defense · 3-4 DJets offense · 3WR 1TE74Fashanu64Parham71Myers66Tippmann70Membou85Taylor7Smith20Hall5Wilson15Mitchell11Cooper91Oliver96Walker98Sanders15Rousseau9Chubb8Bernard42Williams21Igbinosun47Benford23Alford24Bishop22Gardner-Johnson

Jets offense · 3WR 1TE

  • QBGeno Smith#7 · 165/239 · 1913 yds · 12 TD · 3 INT
  • RBBreece Hall#20 · 51 car · 163 yds · 1 TD · 10 rec
  • WRGarrett Wilson#5 · 43 rec · 527 yds · 3 TD · 63 tgt
  • WROmar Cooper Jr.#11 · 12 rec · 248 yds · 2 TD · 13 tgt
  • WRAdonai Mitchell#15 · 16 rec · 265 yds · 1 TD · 27 tgt
  • TEMason Taylor#85 · 17 rec · 136 yds · 2 TD · 23 tgt
  • LTOlu Fashanu#74
  • LGDylan Parham#64
  • CJosh Myers#71
  • RGJoe Tippmann#66
  • RTArmand Membou#70

Bills defense · Base 3-4 D

  • RDEEd Oliver#91 · 9 tackles · 0.5 sacks
  • NTDeone Walker#96 · 22 tackles · 1 sack · 5 PD
  • LDET.J. Sanders#98 · 8 tackles
  • WLBGreg Rousseau#15 · 24 tackles · 7 sacks · 7 PD
  • SLBBradley Chubb#9 · 17 tackles · 1.5 sacks
  • RILBTerrel Bernard#8 · 50 tackles · 1 PD
  • LILBDorian Williams#42 · 46 tackles · 1 INT · 2 PD
  • RCBDavison Igbinosun#21 · 28 tackles · 1 INT · 8 PD
  • LCBChristian Benford#47 · 29 tackles · 6 PD
  • NBDee Alford#23 · 15 tackles · 1 INT · 3 PD
  • SSCole Bishop#24 · 45 tackles · 1 sack · 2 PD
  • FSC.J. Gardner-Johnson#22 · 26 tackles · 1 INT · 2 PD

Starters from each team's current depth chart (nflverse, from ESPN), drawn in the offense's base three-receiver set against the defense's base front. The nickel back, the extra defensive back most teams use against three receivers, is drawn lighter. Left and right are as the offense sees the field. The toggle at the top flips which offense is drawn.

Head to head · NYJ offense against BUF defense
StatNYJ NYJ offFavors NYJ · Favors BUFBUF BUF def allowsNFL avg
Overall
EPA per play
+0.04#11
+0.06#23+0.00
Success rate
46%#11
46%#2644%
Yards per play
5.6#11
5.4#165.4
Explosive play rate
11%#5
10%#239%
Passing
Pass EPA per dropback
+0.13#10
+0.12#24+0.03
Sack rate
9%#26
5%#267%
Running
Run EPA per carry
-0.09#19
-0.08#17-0.08
Yards per carry
4.3#12
3.6#94.1
Money downs
3rd down conversion
39%#22
42%#2141%
Red zone TD rate
46%#32
68%#2461%
Targets by position
WR yards per game
157#12
154#24147
TE yards per game
51#21
71#2955
TE targets per game
7.9#12
9.1#297.6
RB receiving yards per game
31#14
44#2932
Where the ball goes · EPA per throwDeep is 15+ air yds

Jets: EPA per throw

Left
Middle
Right
Deep
+0.898% of throws
+1.864% of throws
+0.978% of throws
Short
+0.1131% of throws
+0.0110% of throws
+0.1940% of throws

Bills: EPA allowed per throw

Left
Middle
Right
Deep
+0.6118 throws
+0.4613 throws
+0.6425 throws
Short
+0.0477 throws
+0.3850 throws
+0.1785 throws

Green gains more than expected, red loses value. Cells with fewer than 5 throws are grayed out.