2026
Week 12 · Thursday 8:20 PM ET · Highmark Stadium
vs
Bills offensevsChiefs defense
Season numbers through Week 8: 7 games for Bills, 7 for Chiefs. Ranks are out of 32; #1 is the best offense or the stingiest defense.
Backs catch passes
Chiefs give up 42 yards a game to running backs (26th), against a league average of 32. Bills' running backs produce 46 (7th).
Deep left is open
Chiefs are worst against deep left throws, allowing +0.62 EPA per attempt. Bills send 8% of their throws there. That is a small part of their offense so far.
Wideouts get blanketed
Chiefs give up 121 yards a game to wide receivers (3rd), against a league average of 147. Bills' wide receivers produce 145 (17th).
Success rate
Call this one even. Bills succeed on 49% of plays (4th) against a defense that allows 40% (4th).
Players to watch
Chiefs
Patrick MahomesQB · 154/232 · 1795 yds · 12 TD · 4 INTEPA per dropback +0.14 · 14th
Kenneth Walker IIIRB · 141 car · 770 yds · 8 TD · 22 recEPA per touch +0.05 · 14th
Travis KelceTE · 29 rec · 410 yds · 2 TD · 42 tgtEPA per target +0.52 · 7th
Xavier WorthyWR · 27 rec · 230 yds · 1 TD · 41 tgtEPA per target -0.06George KarlaftisLeft Defensive End · 24 tackles · 2 sacks · 1 INT · 8 PD2 sacksNohl WilliamsLeft Cornerback · 32 tackles · 1 sack · 1 INT · 7 PD1 INT
Bills
Josh AllenQB · 135/205 · 1793 yds · 11 TD · 5 INTEPA per dropback +0.27 · 5th
James CookRB · 138 car · 707 yds · 7 TD · 12 recEPA per touch +0.08 · 11th
Khalil ShakirWR · 27 rec · 354 yds · 1 TD · 38 tgtEPA per target +0.40
Dalton KincaidTE · 27 rec · 401 yds · 2 TD · 35 tgtEPA per target +0.50 · 8thGreg RousseauWeakside Linebacker · 24 tackles · 7 sacks · 7 PD7 sacks · T-3rd in the NFLDavison IgbinosunRight Cornerback · 28 tackles · 1 INT · 8 PD1 INTThe Bills lead the series 12–11 since 1999 (they first met in 2000). Nov 2, 2025, at New Era Field: the Bills won 28–21. Josh Allen started at quarterback for the Bills and Patrick Mahomes for the Chiefs; Sean McDermott and Andy Reid coached.
The last 5
| 2025 · Wk 9 | KC 21 at BUF 28 |
| 2024 · Wk 21 · playoffs | BUF 29 at KC 32 |
| 2024 · Wk 11 | KC 21 at BUF 30 |
| 2023 · Wk 20 · playoffs | KC 27 at BUF 24 |
| 2023 · Wk 14 | BUF 20 at KC 17 |
2026 records
| Chiefs | Bills | |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 5–2 | 6–1 |
| Division | 3–1 | 0–1 |
| Conference | 5–1 | 4–1 |
| Other conference | 0–1 | 2–0 |
| Home | 3–0 | 3–1 |
| Away | 2–2 | 3–0 |
| Last 5 | WWWLL | WLWWW |
| Streak | Lost 2 | Won 3 |
| Points a game | 23.9 – 18.7 | 33.3 – 25.9 |
Every meeting since 1999, regular season and playoffs, from nflverse's game list, which starts in 1999; the all-time series goes back further. Franchises that moved count as one team (the Raiders, Chargers and Rams). Home and away are from the Chiefs' side. Records are this regular season.
Bills offense · 3WR 1TE
- QBJosh Allen#17 · 135/205 · 1793 yds · 11 TD · 5 INT
- RBJames Cook III#4 · 138 car · 707 yds · 7 TD · 12 rec
- WRDJ Moore#2 · 16 rec · 260 yds · 2 TD · 27 tgt
- WRKhalil Shakir#10 · 27 rec · 354 yds · 1 TD · 38 tgt
- WRKeon Coleman#0 · 20 rec · 287 yds · 3 TD · 27 tgt
- TEDalton Kincaid#86 · 27 rec · 401 yds · 2 TD · 35 tgt
- LTDion Dawkins#73
- LGAlec Anderson#70
- CConnor McGovern#66
- RGO'Cyrus Torrence#64
- RTSpencer Brown#79
Chiefs defense · Base 4-3 D
- RDEFelix Anudike-Uzomah#91 · 11 tackles · 1 sack
- RDTKhyiris Tonga#92 · 13 tackles · 1 PD
- LDTChris Jones#95 · 13 tackles · 0.5 sacks · 2 PD
- LDEGeorge Karlaftis#56 · 24 tackles · 2 sacks · 1 INT · 8 PD
- WLBDrue Tranquill#23 · 52 tackles · 2 PD
- MLBNick Bolton#32 · 67 tackles · 2 PD
- SLBJeffrey Bassa#31 · 14 tackles
- RCBMansoor Delane#5 · 26 tackles · 1 INT · 5 PD
- LCBNohl Williams#20 · 32 tackles · 1 sack · 1 INT · 7 PD
- NBJadon Canady#22 · 3 tackles
- SSChamarri Conner#27 · 22 tackles · 1 sack · 1 PD
- FSAlohi Gilman#17 · 29 tackles · 1 PD
Starters from each team's current depth chart (nflverse, from ESPN), drawn in the offense's base three-receiver set against the defense's base front. The nickel back, the extra defensive back most teams use against three receivers, is drawn lighter. Left and right are as the offense sees the field. The toggle at the top flips which offense is drawn.
| Stat | BUF off | Favors BUF · Favors KC | KC def allows | NFL avg |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Overall | ||||
| EPA per play | +0.18#1 | -0.04#10 | +0.00 | |
| Success rate | 49%#4 | 40%#4 | 44% | |
| Yards per play | 6.5#2 | 5.1#8 | 5.4 | |
| Explosive play rate | 15%#1 | 8%#9 | 9% | |
| Passing | ||||
| Pass EPA per dropback | +0.23#4 | -0.01#12 | +0.03 | |
| Sack rate | 6%#13 | 4%#31 | 7% | |
| Running | ||||
| Run EPA per carry | +0.02#6 | -0.13#9 | -0.08 | |
| Yards per carry | 4.5#7 | 3.4#2 | 4.1 | |
| Money downs | ||||
| 3rd down conversion | 47%#6 | 40%#15 | 41% | |
| Red zone TD rate | 72%#3 | 42%#4 | 61% | |
| Targets by position | ||||
| WR yards per game | 145#17 | 121#3 | 147 | |
| TE yards per game | 64#9 | 66#25 | 55 | |
| TE targets per game | 7.1#19 | 10.0#31 | 7.6 | |
| RB receiving yards per game | 46#7 | 42#26 | 32 | |
Bills: EPA per throw
Chiefs: EPA allowed per throw
Green gains more than expected, red loses value. Cells with fewer than 5 throws are grayed out.