DOWN X DOWN › week 12 › Chiefs at Bills

Updated Nov 3, 9:16 AM ET

2026

Week 12 · Thursday 8:20 PM ET · Highmark Stadium

Chiefs offensevsBills defense

Season numbers through Week 8: 7 games for Chiefs, 7 for Bills. Ranks are out of 32; #1 is the best offense or the stingiest defense.

KC offense BUF offense

Keys to the game · where this matchup tilts, from the season numbers4 reads

Biggest edge

Backs catch passes

Bills give up 44 yards a game to running backs (29th), against a league average of 32. Chiefs' running backs produce 53 (1st).

Opportunity

Deep right is open

Bills are worst against deep right throws, allowing +0.64 EPA per attempt. Chiefs send 6% of their throws there. That is a small part of their offense so far.

Watch out

Wideouts get blanketed

Bills give up 154 yards a game to wide receivers (24th), against a league average of 147. Chiefs' wide receivers produce 118 (28th).

Wash

Yards per play

Call this one even. Chiefs gain 6.4 yards per play (3rd). Bills give up 5.4 (16th), with the league at 5.4.

Players to watch

Chiefs

Patrick MahomesQB · 154/232 · 1795 yds · 12 TD · 4 INTEPA per dropback +0.14 · 14th

Kenneth Walker IIIRB · 141 car · 770 yds · 8 TD · 22 recEPA per touch +0.05 · 14th

Travis KelceTE · 29 rec · 410 yds · 2 TD · 42 tgtEPA per target +0.52 · 7th

Xavier WorthyWR · 27 rec · 230 yds · 1 TD · 41 tgtEPA per target -0.06George KarlaftisLeft Defensive End · 24 tackles · 2 sacks · 1 INT · 8 PD2 sacksNohl WilliamsLeft Cornerback · 32 tackles · 1 sack · 1 INT · 7 PD1 INT

Bills

Josh AllenQB · 135/205 · 1793 yds · 11 TD · 5 INTEPA per dropback +0.27 · 5th

James CookRB · 138 car · 707 yds · 7 TD · 12 recEPA per touch +0.08 · 11th

Khalil ShakirWR · 27 rec · 354 yds · 1 TD · 38 tgtEPA per target +0.40

Dalton KincaidTE · 27 rec · 401 yds · 2 TD · 35 tgtEPA per target +0.50 · 8thGreg RousseauWeakside Linebacker · 24 tackles · 7 sacks · 7 PD7 sacks · T-3rd in the NFLDavison IgbinosunRight Cornerback · 28 tackles · 1 INT · 8 PD1 INT

The series · Chiefs and Bills since 1999, and this season's records23 meetings

The Bills lead the series 12–11 since 1999 (they first met in 2000). Nov 2, 2025, at New Era Field: the Bills won 28–21. Josh Allen started at quarterback for the Bills and Patrick Mahomes for the Chiefs; Sean McDermott and Andy Reid coached.

Chiefs at home7–8the Chiefs' record

In Buffalo4–4the Chiefs' record

Most pointsChiefs 42 · Bills 542021 · 2008

Biggest winChiefs by 33 · Bills by 342003 · 2011

Playoffs4–0the Chiefs' record

The last 5

2025 · Wk 9	KC 21 at BUF 28
2024 · Wk 21 · playoffs	BUF 29 at KC 32
2024 · Wk 11	KC 21 at BUF 30
2023 · Wk 20 · playoffs	KC 27 at BUF 24
2023 · Wk 14	BUF 20 at KC 17

2026 records

	Chiefs	Bills
Overall	5–2	6–1
Division	3–1	0–1
Conference	5–1	4–1
Other conference	0–1	2–0
Home	3–0	3–1
Away	2–2	3–0
Last 5	WWWLL	WLWWW
Streak	Lost 2	Won 3
Points a game	23.9 – 18.7	33.3 – 25.9

Every meeting since 1999, regular season and playoffs, from nflverse's game list, which starts in 1999; the all-time series goes back further. Franchises that moved count as one team (the Raiders, Chargers and Rams). Home and away are from the Chiefs' side. Records are this regular season.

The lineups · Chiefs offense against the Bills defenseDepth charts

Bills defense · 3-4 DChiefs offense · 3WR 1TE70Benson66Caliendo52Humphrey65Smith77Moore87Kelce 15Mahomes 9Walker 4Rice 13Allen 1Worthy91Oliver96Walker98Sanders15Rousseau9Chubb8Bernard42Williams21Igbinosun47Benford23Alford24Bishop22Gardner-Johnson

Chiefs offense · 3WR 1TE

QBPatrick Mahomes#15 · 154/232 · 1795 yds · 12 TD · 4 INT
RBKenneth Walker III#9 · 141 car · 770 yds · 8 TD · 22 rec
WRRashee Rice#4 · 20 rec · 243 yds · 2 TD · 25 tgt
WRXavier Worthy#1 · 27 rec · 230 yds · 1 TD · 41 tgt
WRCyrus Allen#13 · 5 rec · 65 yds · 0 TD · 9 tgt
TETravis Kelce#87 · 29 rec · 410 yds · 2 TD · 42 tgt
LTKahlil Benson#70
LGMike Caliendo#66
CCreed Humphrey#52
RGTrey Smith#65
RTJaylon Moore#77

Bills defense · Base 3-4 D

RDEEd Oliver#91 · 9 tackles · 0.5 sacks
NTDeone Walker#96 · 22 tackles · 1 sack · 5 PD
LDET.J. Sanders#98 · 8 tackles
WLBGreg Rousseau#15 · 24 tackles · 7 sacks · 7 PD
SLBBradley Chubb#9 · 17 tackles · 1.5 sacks
RILBTerrel Bernard#8 · 50 tackles · 1 PD
LILBDorian Williams#42 · 46 tackles · 1 INT · 2 PD
RCBDavison Igbinosun#21 · 28 tackles · 1 INT · 8 PD
LCBChristian Benford#47 · 29 tackles · 6 PD
NBDee Alford#23 · 15 tackles · 1 INT · 3 PD
SSCole Bishop#24 · 45 tackles · 1 sack · 2 PD
FSC.J. Gardner-Johnson#22 · 26 tackles · 1 INT · 2 PD

Starters from each team's current depth chart (nflverse, from ESPN), drawn in the offense's base three-receiver set against the defense's base front. The nickel back, the extra defensive back most teams use against three receivers, is drawn lighter. Left and right are as the offense sees the field. The toggle at the top flips which offense is drawn.

Head to head · KC offense against BUF defense

Stat	KC off	BUF def allows	NFL avg
Overall
EPA per play	+0.13#4	+0.06#23	+0.00
Success rate	48%#6	46%#26	44%
Yards per play	6.4#3	5.4#16	5.4
Explosive play rate	10%#9	10%#23	9%
Passing
Pass EPA per dropback	+0.14#9	+0.12#24	+0.03
Sack rate	4%#4	5%#26	7%
Running
Run EPA per carry	+0.09#2	-0.08#17	-0.08
Yards per carry	5.3#1	3.6#9	4.1
Money downs
3rd down conversion	40%#13	42%#21	41%
Red zone TD rate	58%#19	68%#24	61%
Targets by position
WR yards per game	118#28	154#24	147
TE yards per game	85#3	71#29	55
TE targets per game	8.7#7	9.1#29	7.6
RB receiving yards per game	53#1	44#29	32

Where the ball goes · EPA per throwDeep is 15+ air yds

Chiefs: EPA per throw

Left

Middle

Right

Deep

+0.893% of throws

-0.295% of throws

+0.566% of throws

Short

+0.3026% of throws

+0.3419% of throws

+0.0741% of throws

Bills: EPA allowed per throw

Left

Middle

Right

Deep

+0.6118 throws

+0.4613 throws

+0.6425 throws