DOWN X DOWN › week 12 › Falcons at Vikings
Updated Nov 3, 7:02 AM ET
2026
2026this season2025final

Week 12 · Sunday 1:00 PM ET · U.S. Bank Stadium

MINvsATL

Vikings offensevsFalcons defense

Season numbers through Week 8: 7 games for Vikings, 8 for Falcons. Ranks are out of 32; #1 is the best offense or the stingiest defense.

ATL offenseMIN offense
Keys to the game · where this matchup tilts, from the season numbers4 reads
01
Biggest edge

Ground game edge

Vikings average 3.8 yards per carry (21st). Falcons allow 4.6 (26th).

02
Opportunity

Deep left is open

Falcons are worst against deep left throws, allowing +0.17 EPA per attempt. Vikings send 11% of their throws there.

03
Watch out

Nowhere to run

Vikings' run game is 28th in EPA per carry (-0.21). Falcons allow -0.08 (15th).

04
Wash

Explosive play rate

Call this one even. Vikings create explosive plays on 9% of snaps (15th). Falcons give them up at 9% (13th).

Players to watch

ATL Falcons

9Michael Penix Jr.QB · 104/168 · 1282 yds · 9 TD · 5 INTEPA per dropback +0.02 · 21st7Bijan RobinsonRB · 150 car · 780 yds · 5 TD · 25 recEPA per touch -0.075Drake LondonWR · 39 rec · 624 yds · 1 TD · 62 tgtEPA per target +0.408Kyle PittsTE · 22 rec · 197 yds · 4 TD · 32 tgtEPA per target +0.0653Kendal DanielsLeft Inside Linebacker · 52 tackles · 1 sack · 1 INT · 2 PD1 INT26C.J. HendersonRight Cornerback · 39 tackles · 8 PD8 passes defended · T-7th in the NFL

MIN Vikings

1Kyler MurrayQB · 100/154 · 1022 yds · 5 TD · 3 INTEPA per dropback -0.06 · 26th27Jordan MasonRB · 38 car · 147 yds · 1 TD · 0 recEPA per touch -0.2618Justin JeffersonWR · 28 rec · 335 yds · 4 TD · 40 tgtEPA per target +0.54 · 16th87T.J. HockensonTE · 31 rec · 295 yds · 3 TD · 37 tgtEPA per target +0.67 · 3rd43Andrew Van GinkelWeakside Linebacker · 21 tackles · 6.5 sacks · 1 INT · 1 PD6.5 sacks · T-5th in the NFL51Blake CashmanRight Inside Linebacker · 62 tackles · 4.5 sacks · 5 PD4.5 sacks · T-17th in the NFL
The series · Falcons and Vikings since 1999, and this season's records15 meetings

The Vikings lead the series 9–6 since 1999. Sep 14, 2025, at U.S. Bank Stadium: the Falcons won 22–6. J.J. McCarthy started at quarterback for the Vikings and Michael Penix for the Falcons; Kevin O'Connell and Raheem Morris coached.

Falcons at home2–5the Falcons' record
In Minnesota4–4the Falcons' record
Most pointsFalcons 40 · Vikings 422020 · 2024
Biggest winFalcons by 20 · Vikings by 212005 · 2007

The last 5

2025 · Wk 2ATL 22 at MIN 6
2024 · Wk 14ATL 21 at MIN 42
2023 · Wk 9MIN 31 at ATL 28
2020 · Wk 6ATL 40 at MIN 23
2019 · Wk 1ATL 12 at MIN 28

2026 records

FalconsVikings
Overall3–56–1
Division1–22–1
Conference3–34–1
Other conference0–22–0
Home1–33–0
Away2–23–1
Last 5WLLWLWWWWL
StreakLost 1Lost 1
Points a game21.4 – 23.620.0 – 13.3

Every meeting since 1999, regular season and playoffs, from nflverse's game list, which starts in 1999; the all-time series goes back further. Franchises that moved count as one team (the Raiders, Chargers and Rams). Home and away are from the Falcons' side. Records are this regular season.

The lineups · Vikings offense against the Falcons defenseDepth charts
Falcons defense · 3-4 DVikings offense · 3WR 1TE71Darrisaw60Huber64Brandel76Fries75O'Neill87Hockenson1Murray27Mason18Jefferson14Jennings3Addison54Dorlus95Dexter92Smith99Thomas27Pearce0Deablo53Daniels26Henderson24Terrell33Bowman3Bates31Watts

Vikings offense · 3WR 1TE

  • QBKyler Murray#1 · 100/154 · 1022 yds · 5 TD · 3 INT
  • RBJordan Mason#27 · 38 car · 147 yds · 1 TD · 0 rec
  • WRJustin Jefferson#18 · 28 rec · 335 yds · 4 TD · 40 tgt
  • WRJordan Addison#3 · 16 rec · 249 yds · 1 TD · 33 tgt
  • WRJauan Jennings#14 · 6 rec · 54 yds · 0 TD · 10 tgt
  • TET.J. Hockenson#87 · 31 rec · 295 yds · 3 TD · 37 tgt
  • LTChristian Darrisaw#71
  • LGJoe Huber#60
  • CBlake Brandel#64
  • RGWill Fries#76
  • RTBrian O'Neill#75

Falcons defense · Base 3-4 D

  • RDEBrandon Dorlus#54 · 13 tackles · 1 sack · 1 PD
  • NTGervon Dexter Sr.#95 · 21 tackles · 1.5 sacks · 1 PD
  • LDEMaason Smith#92 · 15 tackles · 1 sack · 1 PD
  • WLBCameron Thomas#99 · 21 tackles · 2 sacks · 1 PD
  • SLBJames Pearce Jr.#27 · 0 tackles
  • RILBDivine Deablo#0 · 29 tackles · 1 PD
  • LILBKendal Daniels#53 · 52 tackles · 1 sack · 1 INT · 2 PD
  • RCBC.J. Henderson#26 · 39 tackles · 8 PD
  • LCBA.J. Terrell Jr.#24 · 13 tackles · 3 PD
  • NBBilly Bowman Jr.#33 · 6 tackles · 2 PD
  • SSJessie Bates III#3 · 45 tackles · 1 INT · 4 PD
  • FSXavier Watts#31 · 53 tackles · 0.5 sacks · 1 INT · 2 PD

Starters from each team's current depth chart (nflverse, from ESPN), drawn in the offense's base three-receiver set against the defense's base front. The nickel back, the extra defensive back most teams use against three receivers, is drawn lighter. Left and right are as the offense sees the field. The toggle at the top flips which offense is drawn.

Head to head · MIN offense against ATL defense
StatMIN MIN offFavors MIN · Favors ATLATL ATL def allowsNFL avg
Overall
EPA per play
-0.10#28
-0.04#11+0.00
Success rate
37%#31
44%#1844%
Yards per play
4.9#24
5.3#135.4
Explosive play rate
9%#15
9%#139%
Passing
Pass EPA per dropback
-0.08#24
+0.00#15+0.03
Sack rate
10%#29
6%#207%
Running
Run EPA per carry
-0.21#28
-0.08#15-0.08
Yards per carry
3.8#21
4.6#264.1
Money downs
3rd down conversion
39%#20
42%#1841%
Red zone TD rate
59%#16
63%#1861%
Targets by position
WR yards per game
105#30
150#20147
TE yards per game
61#13
55#1855
TE targets per game
7.6#14
7.6#167.6
RB receiving yards per game
19#28
33#1732
Where the ball goes · EPA per throwDeep is 15+ air yds

Vikings: EPA per throw

Left
Middle
Right
Deep
+0.3111% of throws
+0.783% of throws
+0.307% of throws
Short
-0.3132% of throws
+0.3716% of throws
+0.1431% of throws

Falcons: EPA allowed per throw

Left
Middle
Right
Deep
+0.1727 throws
+1.598 throws
-0.0521 throws
Short
+0.1293 throws
-0.1533 throws
+0.06106 throws

Green gains more than expected, red loses value. Cells with fewer than 5 throws are grayed out.