2026
Week 15 · Saturday 8:20 PM ET · Highmark Stadium
vs
Bears offensevsBills defense
Season numbers through Week 8: 7 games for Bears, 7 for Bills. Ranks are out of 32; #1 is the best offense or the stingiest defense.
Tight ends feast
Bills give up 9.1 targets a game to tight ends (29th), against a league average of 7.6. Bears' tight ends produce 8.7 (7th).
Deep right is open
Bills are worst against deep right throws, allowing +0.64 EPA per attempt. Bears send 8% of their throws there. That is a small part of their offense so far.
Ground game stalls
Bears average 4.3 yards per carry (11th). Bills allow 3.6 (9th).
Yards per play
Call this one even. Bears gain 5.5 yards per play (15th). Bills give up 5.4 (16th), with the league at 5.4.
Players to watch
Bears
Caleb WilliamsQB · 88/124 · 1020 yds · 5 TD · 1 INTEPA per dropback +0.31 · 2nd
D'Andre SwiftRB · 116 car · 476 yds · 7 TD · 22 recEPA per touch -0.02 · 24th
Luther Burden IIIWR · 35 rec · 491 yds · 2 TD · 47 tgtEPA per target +0.31
Colston LovelandTE · 26 rec · 244 yds · 2 TD · 42 tgtEPA per target -0.04Jeffery SimmonsRight Defensive Tackle · 38 tackles · 4 sacks · 3 PD4 sacks · T-22nd in the NFLDillon ThienemanStrong Safety · 46 tackles · 1.5 sacks · 1 INT · 5 PD1 INT
Bills
Josh AllenQB · 135/205 · 1793 yds · 11 TD · 5 INTEPA per dropback +0.27 · 5th
James CookRB · 138 car · 707 yds · 7 TD · 12 recEPA per touch +0.08 · 11th
Khalil ShakirWR · 27 rec · 354 yds · 1 TD · 38 tgtEPA per target +0.40
Dalton KincaidTE · 27 rec · 401 yds · 2 TD · 35 tgtEPA per target +0.50 · 8thGreg RousseauWeakside Linebacker · 24 tackles · 7 sacks · 7 PD7 sacks · T-3rd in the NFLDavison IgbinosunRight Cornerback · 28 tackles · 1 INT · 8 PD1 INTThe Bills lead the series 4–3 since 1999 (they first met in 2000). Dec 24, 2022, at Soldier Field: the Bills won 35–13. Justin Fields started at quarterback for the Bears and Josh Allen for the Bills; Matt Eberflus and Sean McDermott coached.
The last 5
| 2022 · Wk 16 | BUF 35 at CHI 13 |
| 2018 · Wk 9 | CHI 41 at BUF 9 |
| 2014 · Wk 1 · OT | BUF 23 at CHI 20 |
| 2010 · Wk 9 | CHI 22 at BUF 19 |
| 2006 · Wk 5 | BUF 7 at CHI 40 |
2026 records
| Bears | Bills | |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 5–2 | 6–1 |
| Division | 0–2 | 0–1 |
| Conference | 3–2 | 4–1 |
| Other conference | 2–0 | 2–0 |
| Home | 3–1 | 3–1 |
| Away | 2–1 | 3–0 |
| Last 5 | WWLWW | WLWWW |
| Streak | Won 2 | Won 3 |
| Points a game | 25.7 – 20.4 | 33.3 – 25.9 |
Every meeting since 1999, regular season and playoffs, from nflverse's game list, which starts in 1999; the all-time series goes back further. Franchises that moved count as one team (the Raiders, Chargers and Rams). Home and away are from the Bears' side. Records are this regular season.
Bears offense · 3WR 1TE
- QBCaleb Williams#18 · 88/124 · 1020 yds · 5 TD · 1 INT
- RBD'Andre Swift#4 · 116 car · 476 yds · 7 TD · 22 rec
- WRRome Odunze#15 · 24 rec · 381 yds · 0 TD · 38 tgt
- WRLuther Burden III#10 · 35 rec · 491 yds · 2 TD · 47 tgt
- WRKalif Raymond#14 · 26 rec · 244 yds · 1 TD · 31 tgt
- TEColston Loveland#84 · 26 rec · 244 yds · 2 TD · 42 tgt
- LTTheo Benedet#79
- LGJoe Thuney#62
- CGarrett Bradbury#67
- RGJonah Jackson#73
- RTDarnell Wright#58
Bills defense · Base 3-4 D
- RDEEd Oliver#91 · 9 tackles · 0.5 sacks
- NTDeone Walker#96 · 22 tackles · 1 sack · 5 PD
- LDET.J. Sanders#98 · 8 tackles
- WLBGreg Rousseau#15 · 24 tackles · 7 sacks · 7 PD
- SLBBradley Chubb#9 · 17 tackles · 1.5 sacks
- RILBTerrel Bernard#8 · 50 tackles · 1 PD
- LILBDorian Williams#42 · 46 tackles · 1 INT · 2 PD
- RCBDavison Igbinosun#21 · 28 tackles · 1 INT · 8 PD
- LCBChristian Benford#47 · 29 tackles · 6 PD
- NBDee Alford#23 · 15 tackles · 1 INT · 3 PD
- SSCole Bishop#24 · 45 tackles · 1 sack · 2 PD
- FSC.J. Gardner-Johnson#22 · 26 tackles · 1 INT · 2 PD
Starters from each team's current depth chart (nflverse, from ESPN), drawn in the offense's base three-receiver set against the defense's base front. The nickel back, the extra defensive back most teams use against three receivers, is drawn lighter. Left and right are as the offense sees the field. The toggle at the top flips which offense is drawn.
| Stat | CHI off | Favors CHI · Favors BUF | BUF def allows | NFL avg |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Overall | ||||
| EPA per play | +0.05#10 | +0.06#23 | +0.00 | |
| Success rate | 47%#8 | 46%#26 | 44% | |
| Yards per play | 5.5#15 | 5.4#16 | 5.4 | |
| Explosive play rate | 10%#10 | 10%#23 | 9% | |
| Passing | ||||
| Pass EPA per dropback | +0.11#12 | +0.12#24 | +0.03 | |
| Sack rate | 7%#20 | 5%#26 | 7% | |
| Running | ||||
| Run EPA per carry | -0.06#15 | -0.08#17 | -0.08 | |
| Yards per carry | 4.3#11 | 3.6#9 | 4.1 | |
| Money downs | ||||
| 3rd down conversion | 44%#7 | 42%#21 | 41% | |
| Red zone TD rate | 53%#24 | 68%#23 | 61% | |
| Targets by position | ||||
| WR yards per game | 167#8 | 154#24 | 147 | |
| TE yards per game | 52#19 | 71#29 | 55 | |
| TE targets per game | 8.7#7 | 9.1#29 | 7.6 | |
| RB receiving yards per game | 36#11 | 44#29 | 32 | |
Bears: EPA per throw
Bills: EPA allowed per throw
Green gains more than expected, red loses value. Cells with fewer than 5 throws are grayed out.