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DOWN X DOWN › week 15 › Patriots at Chiefs
Updated Nov 2, 5:48 PM ET
2026
2026this season2025final

Week 15 · Monday 8:15 PM ET · GEHA Field at Arrowhead Stadium

NEvsKC

Patriots offensevsChiefs defense

Season numbers through Week 8: 8 games for Patriots, 7 for Chiefs. Ranks are out of 32; #1 is the best offense or the stingiest defense.

NE offenseKC offense
Keys to the game · where this matchup tilts, from the season numbers4 reads
01
Biggest edge

Clean pockets

Patriots take a sack on 6% of dropbacks (16th). Chiefs get home on 4% (31st). League average is 7%.

02
Opportunity

Deep left is open

Chiefs are worst against deep left throws, allowing +0.62 EPA per attempt. Patriots send 9% of their throws there. That is a small part of their offense so far.

03
Watch out

Field goals, not touchdowns

Patriots score a touchdown on 52% of red zone trips (26th). Chiefs allow 42% (4th).

04
Wash

Explosive play rate

Call this one even. Patriots create explosive plays on 11% of snaps (8th). Chiefs give them up at 8% (9th).

Players to watch

NE Patriots

10Drake MayeQB · 157/234 · 1983 yds · 15 TD · 8 INTEPA per dropback +0.21 · 9th38Rhamondre StevensonRB · 96 car · 367 yds · 3 TD · 23 recEPA per touch 0.00 · 18th3DeMario DouglasWR · 26 rec · 332 yds · 4 TD · 37 tgtEPA per target +0.57 · 13th85Hunter HenryTE · 29 rec · 326 yds · 2 TD · 34 tgtEPA per target +0.55 · 5th91Elijah PonderWeakside Linebacker · 23 tackles · 6 sacks · 1 PD6 sacks · T-7th in the NFL25Marcus JonesNickel Back · 39 tackles · 1 sack · 1 INT · 6 PD1 INT

KC Chiefs

15Patrick MahomesQB · 154/232 · 1795 yds · 12 TD · 4 INTEPA per dropback +0.14 · 14th9Kenneth Walker IIIRB · 141 car · 770 yds · 8 TD · 22 recEPA per touch +0.05 · 14th87Travis KelceTE · 29 rec · 410 yds · 2 TD · 42 tgtEPA per target +0.52 · 7th1Xavier WorthyWR · 27 rec · 230 yds · 1 TD · 41 tgtEPA per target -0.0656George KarlaftisLeft Defensive End · 24 tackles · 2 sacks · 1 INT · 8 PD2 sacks20Nohl WilliamsLeft Cornerback · 32 tackles · 1 sack · 1 INT · 7 PD1 INT
The series · Patriots and Chiefs since 1999, and this season's records15 meetings

The Patriots lead the series 8–7 since 1999. The Chiefs have won the last 3. Dec 17, 2023, at Gillette Stadium: the Chiefs won 27–17. Bailey Zappe started at quarterback for the Patriots and Patrick Mahomes for the Chiefs; Bill Belichick and Andy Reid coached.

Patriots at home6–3the Patriots' record
In Kansas City2–4the Patriots' record
Most pointsPatriots 43 · Chiefs 422018 · 2017
Biggest winPatriots by 31 · Chiefs by 272011 · 2014
Playoffs2–0the Patriots' record

The last 5

2023 · Wk 15KC 27 at NE 17
2020 · Wk 4NE 10 at KC 26
2019 · Wk 14KC 23 at NE 16
2018 · Wk 20 · OT · playoffsNE 37 at KC 31
2018 · Wk 6KC 40 at NE 43

2026 records

PatriotsChiefs
Overall5–35–2
Division3–03–1
Conference5–15–1
Other conference0–20–1
Home3–03–0
Away2–32–2
Last 5WWWLWWWWLL
StreakWon 1Lost 2
Points a game23.0 – 20.323.9 – 18.7

Every meeting since 1999, regular season and playoffs, from nflverse's game list, which starts in 1999; the all-time series goes back further. Franchises that moved count as one team (the Raiders, Chargers and Rams). Home and away are from the Patriots' side. Records are this regular season.

The lineups · Patriots offense against the Chiefs defenseDepth charts
Chiefs defense · 4-3 DPatriots offense · 3WR 1TE66Campbell72Rouse55Wilson65Pryor76Moses85Henry10Maye38Stevenson1Brown86Chism3Douglas91Anudike-Uzomah92Tonga95Jones56Karlaftis23Tranquill32Bolton31Bassa5Delane20Williams22Canady27Conner17Gilman

Patriots offense · 3WR 1TE

  • QBDrake Maye#10 · 157/234 · 1983 yds · 15 TD · 8 INT
  • RBRhamondre Stevenson#38 · 96 car · 367 yds · 3 TD · 23 rec
  • WRA.J. Brown#1 · 9 rec · 101 yds · 0 TD · 20 tgt
  • WRDeMario Douglas#3 · 26 rec · 332 yds · 4 TD · 37 tgt
  • WREfton Chism III#86 · 15 rec · 151 yds · 1 TD · 20 tgt
  • TEHunter Henry#85 · 29 rec · 326 yds · 2 TD · 34 tgt
  • LTWill Campbell#66
  • LGWalter Rouse#72
  • CJared Wilson#55
  • RGMatt Pryor#65
  • RTMorgan Moses#76

Chiefs defense · Base 4-3 D

  • RDEFelix Anudike-Uzomah#91 · 11 tackles · 1 sack
  • RDTKhyiris Tonga#92 · 13 tackles · 1 PD
  • LDTChris Jones#95 · 13 tackles · 0.5 sacks · 2 PD
  • LDEGeorge Karlaftis#56 · 24 tackles · 2 sacks · 1 INT · 8 PD
  • WLBDrue Tranquill#23 · 52 tackles · 2 PD
  • MLBNick Bolton#32 · 67 tackles · 2 PD
  • SLBJeffrey Bassa#31 · 14 tackles
  • RCBMansoor Delane#5 · 26 tackles · 1 INT · 5 PD
  • LCBNohl Williams#20 · 32 tackles · 1 sack · 1 INT · 7 PD
  • NBJadon Canady#22 · 3 tackles
  • SSChamarri Conner#27 · 22 tackles · 1 sack · 1 PD
  • FSAlohi Gilman#17 · 29 tackles · 1 PD

Starters from each team's current depth chart (nflverse, from ESPN), drawn in the offense's base three-receiver set against the defense's base front. The nickel back, the extra defensive back most teams use against three receivers, is drawn lighter. Left and right are as the offense sees the field. The toggle at the top flips which offense is drawn.

Head to head · NE offense against KC defense
StatNE NE offFavors NE · Favors KCKC KC def allowsNFL avg
Overall
EPA per play
+0.06#8
-0.04#10+0.00
Success rate
46%#10
40%#444%
Yards per play
6.1#4
5.1#85.4
Explosive play rate
11%#8
8%#99%
Passing
Pass EPA per dropback
+0.15#8
-0.01#12+0.03
Sack rate
6%#16
4%#317%
Running
Run EPA per carry
-0.14#23
-0.13#9-0.08
Yards per carry
3.9#20
3.4#24.1
Money downs
3rd down conversion
43%#11
40%#1541%
Red zone TD rate
52%#26
42%#461%
Targets by position
WR yards per game
157#11
121#3147
TE yards per game
62#10
66#2555
TE targets per game
6.8#22
10.0#317.6
RB receiving yards per game
34#12
42#2632
Where the ball goes · EPA per throwDeep is 15+ air yds

Patriots: EPA per throw

Left
Middle
Right
Deep
+0.169% of throws
+0.752% of throws
+0.9911% of throws
Short
-0.1532% of throws
+0.4814% of throws
+0.3932% of throws

Chiefs: EPA allowed per throw

Left
Middle
Right
Deep
+0.6220 throws
+0.2611 throws
-0.137 throws
Short
-0.1559 throws
+0.1358 throws
-0.0386 throws

Green gains more than expected, red loses value. Cells with fewer than 5 throws are grayed out.