2026
Week 4 · Sunday 1:00 PM ET · Lincoln Financial Field
vs
Rams offensevsEagles defense
Season numbers through Week 8: 8 games for Rams, 8 for Eagles. Ranks are out of 32; #1 is the best offense or the stingiest defense.
The Rams won 24–20 from as low as 5% (Q4 7:31, down 20–10). The game turned for good at Q4 2:26: M.Stafford pass short right to T.Higbee ran ob at PHI 39 for 13 yards (44% → 52%). The biggest single swing came at Q2 11:02, 13 points for the Eagles.
The plays that swung it
- 1Q2 11:02PHIJ.Elliott 56 yard field goal is GOOD33% → 47%
- 2Q2 0:09PHIJ.Hurts pass short middle to D.Cooper for 10 yards, TOUCHDOWN. Penalty on LA-T.McDuffie, Illegal Contact, declined.63% → 75%
- 3Q2 1:08PHIB.Mann punts 49 yards to LA 21, out of bounds.40% → 51%
- 4Q1 12:03PHIM.Stafford pass deep right intended for K.Mumpfield INTERCEPTED by A.Mukuba at LA 49. A.Mukuba pushed ob at LA 28 for 21 yards (A.Jackson).33% → 44%
- 5Q1 6:32LAM.Stafford pass deep right to P.Nacua to PHI 34 for 28 yards (T.Woolen).58% → 67%
- ★Q4 2:26LAM.Stafford pass short right to T.Higbee ran ob at PHI 39 for 13 yards.turning point44% → 52%
Win probability is nflverse's model, which starts from the betting line and updates before every snap with the score, the clock, down, distance, field position and timeouts. A swing is the change in one team's chance across a play, in percentage points. The turning point is the play after which the winner never fell to 50% again.
K.Williams led the Rams at +6.7 EPA (16 carries for 80). M.Lemon led the Eagles at +1.6 EPA (3 catches for 27).
Rams
| Passing | C/A | Yds | TD | INT | Sk | EPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M.Stafford100% | 32/51 | 317 | 2 | 1 | +1.1 |
| Rushing | Car | Share | Yds | TD | EPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K.Williams83% | 16 | 64% | 80 | 2 | +3.6 |
| B.Corum15% | 5 | 20% | 14 | -1.4 | |
| M.Stafford100% | 3 | 12% | 10 | -2.1 | |
| P.Nacua90% | 1 | 4% | 2 | 1 | +0.9 |
| Receiving | Tgt | Share | Rec | Yds | TD | EPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K.Williams83% | 13 | 26% | 10 | 67 | +3.2 | |
| P.Nacua90% | 12 | 24% | 9 | 125 | +3.7 | |
| D.Adams95% | 9 | 18% | 4 | 32 | -0.2 | |
| T.Higbee65% | 6 | 12% | 5 | 67 | +5.2 | |
| K.Mumpfield27% | 3 | 6% | 1 | 7 | -6.3 | |
| D.Allen48% | 2 | 4% | 0 | 0 | -1.0 | |
| B.Corum15% | 2 | 4% | 1 | 7 | -0.6 | |
| J.Whittington50% | 2 | 4% | 1 | 4 | -0.9 | |
| T.Atwell23% | 1 | 2% | 1 | 8 | +0.6 |
Defense B.Young 2.5 sacks, O.Speights 1 sack, K.Kinchens 0.5 sacks · Kicking H.Mevis 1/2 FG (long 40)
Eagles
| Passing | C/A | Yds | TD | INT | Sk | EPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J.Hurts100% | 12/27 | 93 | 2 | 4 | -8.2 |
| Rushing | Car | Share | Yds | TD | EPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| T.Bigsby48% | 14 | 52% | 55 | -2.8 | |
| W.Shipley48% | 6 | 22% | 23 | -0.9 | |
| J.Hurts100% | 5 | 19% | 18 | -4.7 | |
| S.Barkley7% | 2 | 7% | 8 | -0.2 |
| Receiving | Tgt | Share | Rec | Yds | TD | EPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D.Cooper90% | 7 | 28% | 3 | 33 | 2 | -0.8 |
| M.Lemon74% | 6 | 24% | 3 | 27 | +1.6 | |
| D.Wicks92% | 5 | 20% | 3 | 18 | +0.1 | |
| Z.Ertz21% | 4 | 16% | 2 | 13 | -1.5 | |
| S.Barkley7% | 1 | 4% | 1 | 2 | -0.4 | |
| T.Bigsby48% | 1 | 4% | 0 | 0 | -0.8 | |
| W.Shipley48% | 1 | 4% | 0 | 0 | -0.7 |
Defense C.DeJean 1 INT, A.Mukuba 1 INT, N.Smith 1 sack · Kicking J.Elliott 2/2 FG (long 56)
Each player's line for this game from nflverse's weekly stats; the percentage beside his name is his share of the offense's snaps. Share is his part of the team's carries or targets in this game. Defense lists sacks and interceptions; kicking lists field goals.
Clean pockets
Rams take a sack on 4% of dropbacks (5th). Eagles get home on 4% (32nd). League average is 7%.
Deep left is open
Eagles are worst against deep left throws, allowing +0.69 EPA per attempt. Rams send 7% of their throws there. That is a small part of their offense so far.
Checkdowns go nowhere
Eagles give up 19 yards a game to running backs (4th), against a league average of 32. Rams' running backs produce 43 (8th).
Explosive play rate
Call this one even. Rams create explosive plays on 8% of snaps (23rd). Eagles give them up at 10% (21st).
The Eagles lead the series 12–5 since 1999. This game is the latest meeting.
The last 5
| 2026 · Wk 4 | LA 24 at PHI 20 |
| 2025 · Wk 3 | LA 26 at PHI 33 |
| 2024 · Wk 20 · playoffs | LA 22 at PHI 28 |
| 2024 · Wk 12 | PHI 37 at LA 20 |
| 2023 · Wk 5 | PHI 23 at LA 14 |
2026 records
| Rams | Eagles | |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 4–4 | 2–6 |
| Division | 0–2 | 1–2 |
| Conference | 2–2 | 1–5 |
| Other conference | 2–2 | 1–1 |
| Home | 2–3 | 1–3 |
| Away | 2–1 | 1–3 |
| Last 5 | WLLWW | LLLLL |
| Streak | Won 2 | Lost 6 |
| Points a game | 24.3 – 21.0 | 17.1 – 25.3 |
Every meeting since 1999, regular season and playoffs, from nflverse's game list, which starts in 1999; the all-time series goes back further. Franchises that moved count as one team (the Raiders, Chargers and Rams). Home and away are from the Rams' side. Records are this regular season.
| Stat | LA off | Favors LA · Favors PHI | PHI def allows | NFL avg |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Overall | ||||
| EPA per play | +0.05#10 | +0.10#29 | +0.00 | |
| Success rate | 49%#5 | 45%#23 | 44% | |
| Yards per play | 5.9#8 | 5.6#22 | 5.4 | |
| Explosive play rate | 8%#23 | 10%#21 | 9% | |
| Passing | ||||
| Pass EPA per dropback | +0.07#15 | +0.13#26 | +0.03 | |
| Sack rate | 4%#5 | 4%#32 | 7% | |
| Running | ||||
| Run EPA per carry | +0.01#7 | +0.04#32 | -0.08 | |
| Yards per carry | 4.9#4 | 4.2#20 | 4.1 | |
| Money downs | ||||
| 3rd down conversion | 47%#5 | 42%#20 | 41% | |
| Red zone TD rate | 69%#6 | 60%#16 | 61% | |
| Targets by position | ||||
| WR yards per game | 160#10 | 184#29 | 147 | |
| TE yards per game | 66#6 | 42#5 | 55 | |
| TE targets per game | 10.1#4 | 5.9#1 | 7.6 | |
| RB receiving yards per game | 43#8 | 19#4 | 32 | |
Rams: EPA per throw
Eagles: EPA allowed per throw
Green gains more than expected, red loses value. Cells with fewer than 5 throws are grayed out.