2025
Wild Card · Sunday 8:00 PM ET · Gillette Stadium
vs
Chargers offensevsPatriots defense
Season numbers through Week 22: 18 games for Chargers, 21 for Patriots. Ranks are out of 32; #1 is the best offense or the stingiest defense.
O.II led the Chargers at +2.9 EPA (3 catches for 30). H.Henry led the Patriots at +6.4 EPA (3 catches for 64).
Chargers
| Passing | C/A | Yds | TD | INT | Sk | EPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J.Herbert | 19/31 | 159 | 6 | -13.3 |
| Rushing | Car | Share | Yds | TD | EPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K.Vidal | 11 | 50% | 31 | -2.7 | |
| J.Herbert | 10 | 45% | 57 | +1.7 | |
| O.Hampton | 1 | 5% | -1 | -0.7 |
| Receiving | Tgt | Share | Rec | Yds | TD | EPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K.Allen | 8 | 27% | 3 | 25 | -5.0 | |
| Q.Johnston | 6 | 20% | 3 | 20 | -1.3 | |
| L.McConkey | 4 | 13% | 3 | 32 | +1.1 | |
| T.Harris | 3 | 10% | 2 | 20 | +1.0 | |
| K.Vidal | 3 | 10% | 2 | 20 | -0.5 | |
| O.II | 3 | 10% | 3 | 30 | +2.9 | |
| T.Fisk | 3 | 10% | 3 | 12 | -0.2 |
Defense O.Oweh 3 sacks, D.Henley 1 INT, T.Tuipulotu 1 sack, T.Tart 1 sack · Kicking C.Dicker 1/1 FG (long 21)
Patriots
| Passing | C/A | Yds | TD | INT | Sk | EPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D.Maye | 17/29 | 268 | 1 | 1 | 5 | -0.2 |
| E.III | 0/1 | 0 | -1.6 |
| Rushing | Car | Share | Yds | TD | EPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| R.Stevenson | 10 | 34% | 53 | +0.9 | |
| D.Maye | 10 | 34% | 66 | +2.3 | |
| T.Henderson | 9 | 31% | 27 | -3.8 |
| Receiving | Tgt | Share | Rec | Yds | TD | EPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| S.Diggs | 5 | 19% | 2 | 16 | -0.1 | |
| H.Henry | 5 | 19% | 3 | 64 | 1 | +6.4 |
| R.Stevenson | 4 | 15% | 3 | 75 | +4.4 | |
| K.Boutte | 4 | 15% | 4 | 66 | +3.5 | |
| A.Hooper | 2 | 7% | 0 | 0 | -4.9 | |
| D.Douglas | 2 | 7% | 1 | 3 | -2.0 | |
| D.Maye | 1 | 4% | 0 | 0 | -1.6 | |
| T.Henderson | 1 | 4% | 1 | 9 | +0.9 | |
| E.III | 1 | 4% | 1 | 20 | +2.2 | |
| K.Williams | 1 | 4% | 1 | 7 | +3.0 | |
| J.Westover | 1 | 4% | 1 | 8 | +1.1 |
Defense M.Williams 2 sacks, K.Chaisson 2 sacks, M.Jones 1 sack, A.Jennings 1 sack · Kicking A.Borregales 3/3 FG (long 39)
Each player's line for this game counted from the play-by-play, since nflverse's weekly stats for it haven't posted yet; they replace these lines with the next build once they do. The percentage beside his name is his share of the offense's snaps. Share is his part of the team's carries or targets in this game. Defense lists sacks and interceptions; kicking lists field goals.
Third downs favor Chargers
Chargers convert 45% of third downs (5th). Patriots allow 36% (7th).
Deep middle is open
Patriots are worst against deep middle throws, allowing +0.32 EPA per attempt. Chargers send 2% of their throws there. That is a small part of their offense so far.
Field goals, not touchdowns
Chargers score a touchdown on 47% of red zone trips (29th). Patriots allow 55% (8th).
Success rate
Call this one even. Chargers succeed on 43% of plays (22nd) against a defense that allows 42% (11th).
The Patriots lead the series 12–5 since 1999 (they first met in 2001). This game is the latest meeting.
The last 5
| 2025 · Wk 19 · playoffs | LAC 3 at NE 16 |
| 2024 · Wk 17 | LAC 40 at NE 7 |
| 2023 · Wk 13 | LAC 6 at NE 0 |
| 2021 · Wk 8 | NE 27 at LAC 24 |
| 2020 · Wk 13 | NE 45 at LAC 0 |
2025 records
| Chargers | Patriots | |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 11–6 | 14–3 |
| Division | 5–1 | 5–1 |
| Conference | 8–4 | 9–3 |
| Other conference | 3–2 | 5–0 |
| Home | 6–3 | 6–3 |
| Away | 5–3 | 8–0 |
| Last 5 | WWWLL | WLWWW |
| Streak | Lost 2 | Won 3 |
| Points a game | 21.6 – 20.0 | 28.8 – 18.8 |
Every meeting since 1999, regular season and playoffs, from nflverse's game list, which starts in 1999; the all-time series goes back further. Franchises that moved count as one team (the Raiders, Chargers and Rams). Home and away are from the Chargers' side. Records are this regular season.
| Stat | LAC off | Favors LAC · Favors NE | NE def allows | NFL avg |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Overall | ||||
| EPA per play | -0.04#25 | -0.09#5 | +0.01 | |
| Success rate | 43%#22 | 42%#11 | 44% | |
| Yards per play | 5.2#22 | 4.9#6 | 5.4 | |
| Explosive play rate | 9%#21 | 8%#6 | 10% | |
| Passing | ||||
| Pass EPA per dropback | -0.07#26 | -0.12#6 | +0.01 | |
| Sack rate | 10%#28 | 7%#16 | 7% | |
| Running | ||||
| Run EPA per carry | -0.08#23 | -0.09#12 | -0.05 | |
| Yards per carry | 3.9#25 | 3.9#8 | 4.3 | |
| Money downs | ||||
| 3rd down conversion | 45%#5 | 36%#7 | 40% | |
| Red zone TD rate | 47%#29 | 55%#8 | 59% | |
| Targets by position | ||||
| WR yards per game | 155#10 | 117#4 | 140 | |
| TE yards per game | 51#18 | 55#20 | 53 | |
| TE targets per game | 5.8#26 | 7.5#20 | 7.3 | |
| RB receiving yards per game | 23#27 | 29#11 | 32 | |
Chargers: EPA per throw
Patriots: EPA allowed per throw
Green gains more than expected, red loses value. Cells with fewer than 5 throws are grayed out.