2025
Wild Card · Saturday 8:00 PM ET · Soldier Field
vs
Packers offensevsBears defense
Season numbers through Week 22: 18 games for Packers, 19 for Bears. Ranks are out of 32; #1 is the best offense or the stingiest defense.
J.Love led the Packers at +18.5 EPA (24 of 46 for 323). C.Williams led the Bears at +9.8 EPA (24 of 48 for 361).
Packers
| Passing | C/A | Yds | TD | INT | Sk | EPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J.Love | 24/46 | 323 | 4 | 1 | +18.0 |
| Rushing | Car | Share | Yds | TD | EPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J.Jacobs | 19 | 83% | 55 | -4.8 | |
| J.Reed | 1 | 4% | 14 | +1.1 | |
| J.Love | 1 | 4% | 11 | +0.5 | |
| E.Wilson | 1 | 4% | 3 | -0.2 | |
| C.Brooks | 1 | 4% | 16 | +0.7 |
| Receiving | Tgt | Share | Rec | Yds | TD | EPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| R.Doubs | 11 | 29% | 8 | 124 | 1 | +13.0 |
| J.Reed | 7 | 18% | 4 | 43 | 1 | +2.6 |
| C.Watson | 7 | 18% | 3 | 36 | 1 | +4.6 |
| M.Golden | 5 | 13% | 4 | 84 | 1 | +7.8 |
| J.Jacobs | 3 | 8% | 1 | 3 | -1.4 | |
| L.Musgrave | 2 | 5% | 1 | 9 | +0.1 | |
| C.Brooks | 1 | 3% | 1 | 11 | -0.3 | |
| D.Kinnard | 1 | 3% | 1 | 6 | +0.2 | |
| J.Whyle | 1 | 3% | 1 | 7 | +0.3 |
Defense C.Valentine 1 INT, T.Hopper 1 INT, L.Van Ness 1 sack · Kicking B.McManus 0/2 FG
Bears
| Passing | C/A | Yds | TD | INT | Sk | EPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| C.Williams | 24/48 | 361 | 2 | 2 | 1 | +11.1 |
| Rushing | Car | Share | Yds | TD | EPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D.Swift | 13 | 46% | 54 | 1 | +0.0 |
| K.Monangai | 8 | 29% | 27 | +0.3 | |
| C.Williams | 4 | 14% | 20 | -1.2 | |
| D.Moore | 1 | 4% | -5 | -1.5 | |
| L.III | 1 | 4% | -4 | -1.2 | |
| C.Kmet | 1 | 4% | 1 | -0.3 |
| Receiving | Tgt | Share | Rec | Yds | TD | EPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| C.Loveland | 15 | 33% | 8 | 137 | +4.7 | |
| D.Moore | 7 | 15% | 6 | 64 | 1 | +6.9 |
| L.III | 7 | 15% | 3 | 42 | +1.0 | |
| R.Odunze | 6 | 13% | 2 | 44 | +3.7 | |
| K.Monangai | 3 | 7% | 1 | 22 | +1.2 | |
| D.Swift | 2 | 4% | 2 | 38 | +2.9 | |
| C.Kmet | 2 | 4% | 0 | 0 | -5.2 | |
| D.Smythe | 2 | 4% | 1 | 6 | -0.2 | |
| O.Zaccheaus | 2 | 4% | 1 | 8 | 1 | +0.6 |
Defense A.Booker 1 sack · Kicking C.Santos 3/3 FG (long 51)
Each player's line for this game counted from the play-by-play, since nflverse's weekly stats for it haven't posted yet; they replace these lines with the next build once they do. The percentage beside his name is his share of the offense's snaps. Share is his part of the team's carries or targets in this game. Defense lists sacks and interceptions; kicking lists field goals.
Throw it
Packers gain +0.24 EPA per dropback (1st). Bears allow +0.05 (19th).
Deep middle is open
Bears are worst against deep middle throws, allowing +0.93 EPA per attempt. Packers send 6% of their throws there. That is a small part of their offense so far.
Checkdowns go nowhere
Bears give up 27 yards a game to running backs (6th), against a league average of 32. Packers' running backs produce 27 (20th).
EPA per play
Call this one even. Packers average +0.12 EPA per play (3rd). Bears allow +0.03 (21st). League average is +0.01.
The Packers lead the series 41–16 since 1999. Oct 11, 2026, at Lambeau Field: the Packers won 31–7. Jordan Love started at quarterback for the Packers and Tyson Bagent for the Bears; Matt LaFleur and Ben Johnson coached.
The last 5
| 2026 · Wk 5 | CHI 7 at GB 31 |
| 2025 · Wk 19 · playoffs | GB 27 at CHI 31 |
| 2025 · Wk 16 · OT | GB 16 at CHI 22 |
| 2025 · Wk 14 | CHI 21 at GB 28 |
| 2024 · Wk 18 | CHI 24 at GB 22 |
2025 records
| Packers | Bears | |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 9–7–1 | 11–6 |
| Division | 4–2 | 2–4 |
| Conference | 7–4–1 | 7–5 |
| Other conference | 2–3 | 4–1 |
| Home | 5–3 | 6–2 |
| Away | 4–4–1 | 5–4 |
| Last 5 | WLLLL | LWWLL |
| Streak | Lost 4 | Lost 2 |
| Points a game | 23.0 – 21.2 | 25.9 – 24.4 |
Every meeting since 1999, regular season and playoffs, from nflverse's game list, which starts in 1999; the all-time series goes back further. Franchises that moved count as one team (the Raiders, Chargers and Rams). Home and away are from the Packers' side. Records are this regular season.
| Stat | GB off | Favors GB · Favors CHI | CHI def allows | NFL avg |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Overall | ||||
| EPA per play | +0.12#3 | +0.03#21 | +0.01 | |
| Success rate | 47%#4 | 46%#25 | 44% | |
| Yards per play | 5.7#9 | 5.9#27 | 5.4 | |
| Explosive play rate | 12%#3 | 12%#29 | 10% | |
| Passing | ||||
| Pass EPA per dropback | +0.24#1 | +0.05#19 | +0.01 | |
| Sack rate | 5%#8 | 6%#23 | 7% | |
| Running | ||||
| Run EPA per carry | -0.07#22 | -0.03#19 | -0.05 | |
| Yards per carry | 4.1#21 | 4.7#29 | 4.3 | |
| Money downs | ||||
| 3rd down conversion | 48%#2 | 41%#15 | 40% | |
| Red zone TD rate | 60%#12 | 59%#17 | 59% | |
| Targets by position | ||||
| WR yards per game | 150#13 | 163#26 | 140 | |
| TE yards per game | 48#22 | 52#14 | 53 | |
| TE targets per game | 5.6#28 | 7.4#18 | 7.3 | |
| RB receiving yards per game | 27#20 | 27#6 | 32 | |
Packers: EPA per throw
Bears: EPA allowed per throw
Green gains more than expected, red loses value. Cells with fewer than 5 throws are grayed out.