DOWN X DOWN › week 15 › Saints at Buccaneers

Updated Nov 3, 5:29 AM ET

2026

Week 15 · Sunday 1:00 PM ET · Raymond James Stadium

Saints offensevsBuccaneers defense

Season numbers through Week 8: 7 games for Saints, 8 for Buccaneers. Ranks are out of 32; #1 is the best offense or the stingiest defense.

NO offense TB offense

Keys to the game · where this matchup tilts, from the season numbers4 reads

Biggest edge

Clean pockets

Saints take a sack on 5% of dropbacks (10th). Buccaneers get home on 6% (24th). League average is 7%.

Opportunity

Deep middle is open

Buccaneers are worst against deep middle throws, allowing +0.64 EPA per attempt. Saints send 3% of their throws there. That is a small part of their offense so far.

Watch out

Ground game stalls

Saints average 3.2 yards per carry (31st). Buccaneers allow 3.6 (8th).

Wash

Success rate

Call this one even. Saints succeed on 42% of plays (22nd) against a defense that allows 39% (3rd).

Players to watch

Saints

Tyler ShoughQB · 183/273 · 1721 yds · 13 TD · 6 INTEPA per dropback +0.02 · 20th

Alvin KamaraRB · 41 car · 125 yds · 3 TD · 22 recEPA per touch -0.10

Chris OlaveWR · 49 rec · 636 yds · 2 TD · 71 tgtEPA per target +0.53 · 18th

Devaughn VeleWR · 33 rec · 348 yds · 3 TD · 48 tgtEPA per target +0.46 · 25thChase YoungStrongside Linebacker · 14 tackles · 7 sacks · 3 PD7 sacks · T-3rd in the NFLCarl GrandersonWeakside Linebacker · 25 tackles · 5.5 sacks5.5 sacks · T-9th in the NFL

Buccaneers

Baker MayfieldQB · 68/110 · 679 yds · 3 TD · 2 INTEPA per dropback -0.25

Bucky IrvingRB · 147 car · 728 yds · 6 TD · 18 recEPA per touch -0.02 · 26th

Emeka EgbukaWR · 28 rec · 240 yds · 2 TD · 49 tgtEPA per target -0.26

Chris Godwin Jr.WR · 27 rec · 243 yds · 0 TD · 35 tgtEPA per target +0.19Jacob ParrishNickel Back · 36 tackles · 2 INT · 13 PD2 INT · T-11th in the NFLZyon McCollumLeft Cornerback · 30 tackles · 2 INT · 9 PD2 INT · T-11th in the NFL

The series · Saints and Buccaneers since 1999, and this season's records51 meetings

The Saints lead the series 28–23 since 1999. Dec 7, 2025, at Raymond James Stadium: the Saints won 24–20. Baker Mayfield started at quarterback for the Buccaneers and Tyler Shough for the Saints; Todd Bowles and Kellen Moore coached.

Saints at home12–14the Saints' record

In Tampa Bay16–9the Saints' record

Most pointsSaints 42 · Buccaneers 512013 · 2024

Biggest winSaints by 41 · Buccaneers by 272012 · 2001

Playoffs0–1the Saints' record

The last 5

2025 · Wk 14	NO 24 at TB 20
2025 · Wk 8	TB 23 at NO 3
2024 · Wk 18	NO 19 at TB 27
2024 · Wk 6	TB 51 at NO 27
2023 · Wk 17	NO 23 at TB 13

2026 records

	Saints	Buccaneers
Overall	2–5	3–5
Division	0–1	2–0
Conference	1–3	3–2
Other conference	1–2	0–3
Home	0–4	1–4
Away	2–1	2–1
Last 5	LLLWL	LWLWW
Streak	Lost 1	Won 2
Points a game	23.1 – 27.7	22.3 – 18.9

Every meeting since 1999, regular season and playoffs, from nflverse's game list, which starts in 1999; the all-time series goes back further. Franchises that moved count as one team (the Raiders, Chargers and Rams). Home and away are from the Saints' side. Records are this regular season.

The lineups · Saints offense against the Buccaneers defenseDepth charts

Buccaneers defense · 3-4 DSaints offense · 3WR 1TE72Richards76Edwards78McCoy51Ruiz75Fuaga83Johnson 6Shough 41Kamara 12Olave 18Lance 14Vele91Robinson50Vea94Kancey3Bain0Diaby45Trotter34Anzalone21Morrison27McCollum25Parrish23Smith31Winfield

Saints offense · 3WR 1TE

QBTyler Shough#6 · 183/273 · 1721 yds · 13 TD · 6 INT
RBAlvin Kamara#41 · 41 car · 125 yds · 3 TD · 22 rec
WRChris Olave#12 · 49 rec · 636 yds · 2 TD · 71 tgt
WRDevaughn Vele#14 · 33 rec · 348 yds · 3 TD · 48 tgt
WRBryce Lance#18 · 9 rec · 78 yds · 1 TD · 22 tgt
TEJuwan Johnson#83 · 26 rec · 255 yds · 3 TD · 37 tgt
LTAsim Richards#72
LGDavid Edwards#76
CErik McCoy#78
RGCesar Ruiz#51
RTTaliese Fuaga#75

Buccaneers defense · Base 3-4 D

RDEA'Shawn Robinson#91 · 22 tackles · 1 sack · 2 INT · 3 PD
NTVita Vea#50 · 16 tackles · 1 sack · 2 PD
LDECalijah Kancey#94 · 9 tackles
WLBRueben Bain Jr.#3 · 7 tackles · 1 sack · 1 PD
SLBYaya Diaby#0 · 16 tackles · 3 sacks · 1 INT · 2 PD
RILBJosiah Trotter#45 · 67 tackles · 1 sack · 1 INT · 3 PD
LILBAlex Anzalone#34 · 41 tackles · 1 sack · 3 INT · 3 PD
RCBBenjamin Morrison#21 · 11 tackles · 2 PD
LCBZyon McCollum#27 · 30 tackles · 2 INT · 9 PD
NBJacob Parrish#25 · 36 tackles · 2 INT · 13 PD
SSTykee Smith#23 · 42 tackles · 1 INT · 2 PD
FSAntoine Winfield Jr.#31 · 31 tackles

Starters from each team's current depth chart (nflverse, from ESPN), drawn in the offense's base three-receiver set against the defense's base front. The nickel back, the extra defensive back most teams use against three receivers, is drawn lighter. Left and right are as the offense sees the field. The toggle at the top flips which offense is drawn.

Head to head · NO offense against TB defense

Stat	NO off	TB def allows	NFL avg
Overall
EPA per play	-0.04#22	-0.16#2	+0.00
Success rate	42%#22	39%#3	44%
Yards per play	4.9#29	5.1#7	5.4
Explosive play rate	7%#30	7%#4	9%
Passing
Pass EPA per dropback	+0.01#19	-0.20#2	+0.03
Sack rate	5%#10	6%#24	7%
Running
Run EPA per carry	-0.16#26	-0.15#5	-0.08
Yards per carry	3.2#31	3.6#8	4.1
Money downs
3rd down conversion	43%#10	34%#6	41%
Red zone TD rate	74%#2	50%#9	61%
Targets by position
WR yards per game	162#9	131#10	147
TE yards per game	51#20	56#21	55
TE targets per game	8.3#10	8.1#23	7.6
RB receiving yards per game	33#13	33#19	32

Where the ball goes · EPA per throwDeep is 15+ air yds

Saints: EPA per throw

Left

Middle

Right

Deep

-0.137% of throws

+0.893% of throws

+1.026% of throws

Short

+0.1935% of throws

+0.0510% of throws

-0.0340% of throws

Buccaneers: EPA allowed per throw

Left

Middle

Right

Deep

+0.1518 throws

+0.6410 throws

-0.259 throws