2026
Week 3 · Sunday 1:00 PM ET · MetLife Stadium
vs
Titans offensevsGiants defense
Season numbers through Week 8: 8 games for Titans, 7 for Giants. Ranks are out of 32; #1 is the best offense or the stingiest defense.
The Giants won 12–7; their low point was 35% at Q4 0:24. The game turned for good at Q4 0:24: C.Ward pass short left intended for E.Ayomanor INTERCEPTED by J.Holland at NYG -4. Touchback. PENALTY on NYG-A.Carter, Unsportsmanlike Conduct, 10… (35% → 96%).
The plays that swung it
- 1Q4 0:24TENC.Ward pass short left intended for E.Ayomanor INTERCEPTED by J.Holland at NYG -4. Touchback. PENALTY on NYG-A.Carter, Unsportsmanlike Conduct, 10…turning point35% → 96%
- 2Q4 0:44TENC.Ward pass short left to E.Ayomanor to NYG 7 for 11 yards (J.Pinnock).48% → 65%
- 3Q4 0:50TEN(Run formation) PENALTY on NYG-T.Edmunds, Encroachment, 6 yards, enforced at NYG 24 - No Play.35% → 52%
- 4Q4 2:16TENC.Ward pass short right to T.Pollard pushed ob at NYG 44 for 18 yards (T.Edmunds).22% → 33%
- 5Q4 5:39TENC.Ward pass short right to W.Robinson for 4 yards, TOUCHDOWN. NYG-C.Hood was injured during the play.7% → 16%
Win probability is nflverse's model, which starts from the betting line and updates before every snap with the score, the clock, down, distance, field position and timeouts. A swing is the change in one team's chance across a play, in percentage points. Each play is tagged with the team that had the ball; the bar names the team it helped. The turning point is the play after which the winner never fell to 50% again.
C.Tate led the Titans at +1.7 EPA (6 catches for 58). D.Mooney led the Giants at +2.8 EPA (2 catches for 20).
Titans
| Passing | C/A | Yds | TD | INT | Sk | EPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| C.Ward100% | 23/36 | 181 | 1 | 1 | -6.5 |
| Rushing | Car | Share | Yds | TD | EPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| T.Pollard53% | 17 | 81% | 74 | -1.4 | |
| T.Spears47% | 3 | 14% | 5 | -1.1 | |
| C.Ward100% | 1 | 5% | 2 | +0.7 |
| Receiving | Tgt | Share | Rec | Yds | TD | EPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| W.Robinson63% | 11 | 31% | 7 | 57 | 1 | -0.2 |
| C.Tate88% | 9 | 26% | 6 | 58 | +1.7 | |
| T.Pollard53% | 4 | 11% | 4 | 22 | +0.3 | |
| G.Helm82% | 4 | 11% | 2 | 14 | -1.9 | |
| E.Ayomanor80% | 3 | 9% | 1 | 11 | -4.1 | |
| D.Bellinger40% | 2 | 6% | 2 | 16 | -0.1 | |
| C.Ridley33% | 1 | 3% | 0 | 0 | -1.5 | |
| C.Dike10% | 1 | 3% | 1 | 3 | -0.2 |
Defense J.Simmons 1 sack, A.Taylor 1 sack, K.Faulk 1 sack · Kicking J.Slye 0/1 FG (59 no good), 1/1 XP, 1 pt
Giants
| Passing | C/A | Yds | TD | INT | Sk | EPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J.Winston100% | 14/22 | 118 | 3 | -6.1 |
| Rushing | Car | Share | Yds | TD | EPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| C.Skattebo77% | 20 | 61% | 60 | -5.3 | |
| N.Harris22% | 9 | 27% | 52 | +1.4 | |
| J.Winston100% | 2 | 6% | 14 | +1.4 | |
| D.Mooney44% | 1 | 3% | 9 | +1.2 | |
| T.Jr.2% | 1 | 3% | 3 | +0.8 |
| Receiving | Tgt | Share | Rec | Yds | TD | EPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M.Nabers78% | 6 | 29% | 5 | 26 | -2.9 | |
| I.Likely84% | 5 | 24% | 2 | 13 | -1.1 | |
| C.Skattebo77% | 4 | 19% | 3 | 40 | +2.3 | |
| D.Mooney44% | 3 | 14% | 2 | 20 | +1.7 | |
| M.Fields69% | 2 | 10% | 2 | 19 | +0.5 | |
| O.Jr.9% | 1 | 5% | 0 | 0 | -0.8 |
Defense J.Holland 1 INT · Kicking D.Zvada 4/4 FG, 12 pts
Each player's line for this game from nflverse's weekly stats; the percentage beside his name is his share of the offense's snaps. Share is his part of the team's carries or targets in this game. Defense lists sacks and interceptions; kicking lists field goals.
Clean pockets
Titans take a sack on 5% of dropbacks (9th). Giants get home on 4% (30th). League average is 7%.
Short middle is open
Giants are worst against short middle throws, allowing +0.46 EPA per attempt. Titans send 14% of their throws there.
Checkdowns go nowhere
Giants give up 21 yards a game to running backs (5th), against a league average of 32. Titans' running backs produce 19 (27th).
Explosive play rate
Call this one even. Titans create explosive plays on 7% of snaps (28th). Giants give them up at 10% (18th).
The Titans lead the series 5–3 since 1999 (they first met in 2000). The Giants have won the last 2. This game is the latest meeting.
The last 5
| 2026 · Wk 3 | TEN 7 at NYG 12 |
| 2022 · Wk 1 | NYG 21 at TEN 20 |
| 2018 · Wk 15 | TEN 17 at NYG 0 |
| 2014 · Wk 14 | NYG 36 at TEN 7 |
| 2010 · Wk 3 | TEN 29 at NYG 10 |
2026 records
| Titans | Giants | |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 1–7 | 4–2–1 |
| Division | 1–1 | 1–0–1 |
| Conference | 1–5 | 2–2–1 |
| Other conference | 0–2 | 2–0 |
| Home | 0–4 | 3–1 |
| Away | 1–3 | 1–1–1 |
| Last 5 | LLWLL | WWTLW |
| Streak | Lost 2 | Won 1 |
| Points a game | 18.0 – 24.9 | 23.3 – 23.0 |
Every meeting since 1999, regular season and playoffs, from nflverse's game list, which starts in 1999; the all-time series goes back further. Franchises that moved count as one team (the Raiders, Chargers and Rams). Home and away are from the Titans' side. Records are this regular season.
| Stat | TEN off | Favors TEN · Favors NYG | NYG def allows | NFL avg |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Overall | ||||
| EPA per play | -0.10#27 | +0.01#16 | +0.00 | |
| Success rate | 41%#23 | 43%#12 | 44% | |
| Yards per play | 4.9#28 | 5.4#15 | 5.4 | |
| Explosive play rate | 7%#28 | 10%#18 | 9% | |
| Passing | ||||
| Pass EPA per dropback | -0.13#27 | -0.01#14 | +0.03 | |
| Sack rate | 5%#9 | 4%#30 | 7% | |
| Running | ||||
| Run EPA per carry | -0.08#18 | -0.07#21 | -0.08 | |
| Yards per carry | 4.2#13 | 4.5#24 | 4.1 | |
| Money downs | ||||
| 3rd down conversion | 36%#28 | 40%#13 | 41% | |
| Red zone TD rate | 52%#24 | 83%#31 | 61% | |
| Targets by position | ||||
| WR yards per game | 138#18 | 127#7 | 147 | |
| TE yards per game | 29#30 | 45#8 | 55 | |
| TE targets per game | 5.3#27 | 8.1#24 | 7.6 | |
| RB receiving yards per game | 19#27 | 21#5 | 32 | |
Titans: EPA per throw
Giants: EPA allowed per throw
Green gains more than expected, red loses value. Cells with fewer than 5 throws are grayed out.