2026
Week 7 · Monday 8:15 PM ET · Lincoln Financial Field
vs
Cowboys offensevsEagles defense
Season numbers through Week 8: 8 games for Cowboys, 8 for Eagles. Ranks are out of 32; #1 is the best offense or the stingiest defense.
The Cowboys won 38–21; their low point was 49% at Q2 9:42. The game turned for good at Q2 9:42: D.Prescott pass short left to G.Pickens to PHI 44 for 9 yards (C.DeJean) (49% → 51%). The biggest single swing came at Q3 5:49, 15 points for the Eagles.
The plays that swung it
- 1Q3 5:49PHIT.McKee pass short right to M.Lemon for 4 yards, TOUCHDOWN.26% → 41%
- 2Q2 5:44DALD.Prescott pass deep right to G.Pickens for 21 yards, TOUCHDOWN.62% → 72%
- 3Q2 9:10DALB.J.Williams left tackle to PHI 40 for 4 yards (Q.Mitchell; J.Trotter).51% → 61%
- 4Q1 9:05DALD.Prescott pass deep right to R.Flournoy pushed ob at PHI 34 for 35 yards (A.Mukuba).54% → 63%
- 5Q4 7:55DALT.McKee pass short right intended for D.Goedert INTERCEPTED by D.Overshown at DAL 30. D.Overshown pushed ob at DAL 34 for 4 yards (D.Goedert).87% → 96%
- ★Q2 9:42DALD.Prescott pass short left to G.Pickens to PHI 44 for 9 yards (C.DeJean).turning point49% → 51%
Win probability is nflverse's model, which starts from the betting line and updates before every snap with the score, the clock, down, distance, field position and timeouts. A swing is the change in one team's chance across a play, in percentage points. The turning point is the play after which the winner never fell to 50% again.
D.Prescott led the Cowboys at +13.1 EPA (15 of 27 for 212). M.Lemon led the Eagles at +6.6 EPA (7 catches for 67).
Cowboys
| Passing | C/A | Yds | TD | INT | Sk | EPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D.Prescott100% | 15/27 | 212 | 3 | +12.0 |
| Rushing | Car | Share | Yds | TD | EPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J.Williams65% | 25 | 66% | 155 | 1 | +9.6 |
| T.Goodson21% | 10 | 26% | 38 | -0.9 | |
| D.Prescott100% | 2 | 5% | 8 | +1.1 | |
| H.Luepke24% | 1 | 3% | 3 | -0.8 |
| Receiving | Tgt | Share | Rec | Yds | TD | EPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| C.Lamb81% | 12 | 46% | 5 | 74 | 2 | +3.6 |
| G.Pickens60% | 6 | 23% | 4 | 57 | 1 | +3.7 |
| R.Flournoy78% | 4 | 15% | 4 | 70 | +5.4 | |
| B.Spann-Ford53% | 2 | 8% | 2 | 11 | +0.8 | |
| J.Ferguson56% | 1 | 4% | 0 | 0 | -0.8 | |
| J.Mingo34% | 1 | 4% | 0 | 0 | -0.5 |
Defense D.Overshown 1 INT, Q.Williams 1 sack, D.Ezeiruaku 1 sack · Kicking B.Aubrey 3/3 FG (long 55)
Eagles
| Passing | C/A | Yds | TD | INT | Sk | EPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| T.McKee100% | 23/35 | 211 | 1 | 1 | 2 | -3.4 |
| Rushing | Car | Share | Yds | TD | EPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D.Pierce64% | 14 | 56% | 47 | 1 | +1.0 |
| S.Barkley15% | 7 | 28% | 62 | 1 | +3.1 |
| E.Mitchell21% | 3 | 12% | 11 | -1.1 | |
| T.McKee100% | 1 | 4% | 1 | -0.5 |
| Receiving | Tgt | Share | Rec | Yds | TD | EPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M.Lemon91% | 8 | 24% | 7 | 67 | 1 | +6.6 |
| D.Goedert73% | 7 | 21% | 5 | 48 | -4.4 | |
| M.Brown55% | 5 | 15% | 2 | 30 | -2.3 | |
| E.Mitchell21% | 4 | 12% | 3 | 23 | +0.4 | |
| D.Cooper92% | 3 | 9% | 1 | 17 | +1.1 | |
| S.Barkley15% | 2 | 6% | 2 | 9 | -0.4 | |
| E.Moore33% | 2 | 6% | 2 | 16 | +0.0 | |
| D.Pierce64% | 1 | 3% | 1 | 1 | -0.3 | |
| E.Stowers18% | 1 | 3% | 0 | 0 | -0.7 |
Defense no sacks or interceptions
Each player's line for this game from nflverse's weekly stats; the percentage beside his name is his share of the offense's snaps. Share is his part of the team's carries or targets in this game. Defense lists sacks and interceptions; kicking lists field goals.
Clean pockets
Cowboys take a sack on 4% of dropbacks (2nd). Eagles get home on 4% (32nd). League average is 7%.
Deep left is open
Eagles are worst against deep left throws, allowing +0.69 EPA per attempt. Cowboys send 7% of their throws there. That is a small part of their offense so far.
Checkdowns go nowhere
Eagles give up 19 yards a game to running backs (4th), against a league average of 32. Cowboys' running backs produce 17 (30th).
Yards per play
Call this one even. Cowboys gain 5.4 yards per play (20th). Eagles give up 5.6 (22nd), with the league at 5.4.
The Eagles lead the series 29–27 since 1999. The Cowboys have won the last 2. This game is the latest meeting.
The last 5
| 2026 · Wk 7 | DAL 38 at PHI 21 |
| 2025 · Wk 12 | PHI 21 at DAL 24 |
| 2025 · Wk 1 | DAL 20 at PHI 24 |
| 2024 · Wk 17 | DAL 7 at PHI 41 |
| 2024 · Wk 10 | PHI 34 at DAL 6 |
2026 records
| Cowboys | Eagles | |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 3–5 | 2–6 |
| Division | 2–1 | 1–2 |
| Conference | 2–4 | 1–5 |
| Other conference | 1–1 | 1–1 |
| Home | 1–3 | 1–3 |
| Away | 2–2 | 1–3 |
| Last 5 | WLLWL | LLLLL |
| Streak | Lost 1 | Lost 6 |
| Points a game | 27.4 – 26.6 | 17.1 – 25.3 |
Every meeting since 1999, regular season and playoffs, from nflverse's game list, which starts in 1999; the all-time series goes back further. Franchises that moved count as one team (the Raiders, Chargers and Rams). Home and away are from the Cowboys' side. Records are this regular season.
| Stat | DAL off | Favors DAL · Favors PHI | PHI def allows | NFL avg |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Overall | ||||
| EPA per play | +0.09#7 | +0.10#29 | +0.00 | |
| Success rate | 47%#9 | 45%#23 | 44% | |
| Yards per play | 5.4#20 | 5.6#22 | 5.4 | |
| Explosive play rate | 7%#29 | 10%#21 | 9% | |
| Passing | ||||
| Pass EPA per dropback | +0.15#7 | +0.13#26 | +0.03 | |
| Sack rate | 4%#2 | 4%#32 | 7% | |
| Running | ||||
| Run EPA per carry | -0.02#10 | +0.04#32 | -0.08 | |
| Yards per carry | 3.7#24 | 4.2#20 | 4.1 | |
| Money downs | ||||
| 3rd down conversion | 50%#3 | 42%#20 | 41% | |
| Red zone TD rate | 68%#10 | 60%#15 | 61% | |
| Targets by position | ||||
| WR yards per game | 207#2 | 184#29 | 147 | |
| TE yards per game | 32#28 | 42#5 | 55 | |
| TE targets per game | 5.8#26 | 5.9#1 | 7.6 | |
| RB receiving yards per game | 17#30 | 19#4 | 32 | |
Cowboys: EPA per throw
Eagles: EPA allowed per throw
Green gains more than expected, red loses value. Cells with fewer than 5 throws are grayed out.