2026
Week 7 · Monday 8:15 PM ET · Lincoln Financial Field
vs
Eagles offensevsCowboys defense
Season numbers through Week 8: 8 games for Eagles, 8 for Cowboys. Ranks are out of 32; #1 is the best offense or the stingiest defense.
The Cowboys won 38–21; their low point was 49% at Q2 9:42. The game turned for good at Q2 9:42: D.Prescott pass short left to G.Pickens to PHI 44 for 9 yards (C.DeJean) (49% → 51%). The biggest single swing came at Q3 5:49, 15 points for the Eagles.
The plays that swung it
- 1Q3 5:49PHIT.McKee pass short right to M.Lemon for 4 yards, TOUCHDOWN.26% → 41%
- 2Q2 5:44DALD.Prescott pass deep right to G.Pickens for 21 yards, TOUCHDOWN.62% → 72%
- 3Q2 9:10DALB.J.Williams left tackle to PHI 40 for 4 yards (Q.Mitchell; J.Trotter).51% → 61%
- 4Q1 9:05DALD.Prescott pass deep right to R.Flournoy pushed ob at PHI 34 for 35 yards (A.Mukuba).54% → 63%
- 5Q4 7:55DALT.McKee pass short right intended for D.Goedert INTERCEPTED by D.Overshown at DAL 30. D.Overshown pushed ob at DAL 34 for 4 yards (D.Goedert).87% → 96%
- ★Q2 9:42DALD.Prescott pass short left to G.Pickens to PHI 44 for 9 yards (C.DeJean).turning point49% → 51%
Win probability is nflverse's model, which starts from the betting line and updates before every snap with the score, the clock, down, distance, field position and timeouts. A swing is the change in one team's chance across a play, in percentage points. The turning point is the play after which the winner never fell to 50% again.
D.Prescott led the Cowboys at +13.1 EPA (15 of 27 for 212). M.Lemon led the Eagles at +6.6 EPA (7 catches for 67).
Cowboys
| Passing | C/A | Yds | TD | INT | Sk | EPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D.Prescott100% | 15/27 | 212 | 3 | +12.0 |
| Rushing | Car | Share | Yds | TD | EPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J.Williams65% | 25 | 66% | 155 | 1 | +9.6 |
| T.Goodson21% | 10 | 26% | 38 | -0.9 | |
| D.Prescott100% | 2 | 5% | 8 | +1.1 | |
| H.Luepke24% | 1 | 3% | 3 | -0.8 |
| Receiving | Tgt | Share | Rec | Yds | TD | EPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| C.Lamb81% | 12 | 46% | 5 | 74 | 2 | +3.6 |
| G.Pickens60% | 6 | 23% | 4 | 57 | 1 | +3.7 |
| R.Flournoy78% | 4 | 15% | 4 | 70 | +5.4 | |
| B.Spann-Ford53% | 2 | 8% | 2 | 11 | +0.8 | |
| J.Ferguson56% | 1 | 4% | 0 | 0 | -0.8 | |
| J.Mingo34% | 1 | 4% | 0 | 0 | -0.5 |
Defense D.Overshown 1 INT, Q.Williams 1 sack, D.Ezeiruaku 1 sack · Kicking B.Aubrey 3/3 FG (long 55)
Eagles
| Passing | C/A | Yds | TD | INT | Sk | EPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| T.McKee100% | 23/35 | 211 | 1 | 1 | 2 | -3.4 |
| Rushing | Car | Share | Yds | TD | EPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D.Pierce64% | 14 | 56% | 47 | 1 | +1.0 |
| S.Barkley15% | 7 | 28% | 62 | 1 | +3.1 |
| E.Mitchell21% | 3 | 12% | 11 | -1.1 | |
| T.McKee100% | 1 | 4% | 1 | -0.5 |
| Receiving | Tgt | Share | Rec | Yds | TD | EPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M.Lemon91% | 8 | 24% | 7 | 67 | 1 | +6.6 |
| D.Goedert73% | 7 | 21% | 5 | 48 | -4.4 | |
| M.Brown55% | 5 | 15% | 2 | 30 | -2.3 | |
| E.Mitchell21% | 4 | 12% | 3 | 23 | +0.4 | |
| D.Cooper92% | 3 | 9% | 1 | 17 | +1.1 | |
| S.Barkley15% | 2 | 6% | 2 | 9 | -0.4 | |
| E.Moore33% | 2 | 6% | 2 | 16 | +0.0 | |
| D.Pierce64% | 1 | 3% | 1 | 1 | -0.3 | |
| E.Stowers18% | 1 | 3% | 0 | 0 | -0.7 |
Defense no sacks or interceptions
Each player's line for this game from nflverse's weekly stats; the percentage beside his name is his share of the offense's snaps. Share is his part of the team's carries or targets in this game. Defense lists sacks and interceptions; kicking lists field goals.
Red zone touchdowns
Eagles score a touchdown on 71% of red zone trips (4th). Cowboys allow 70% (26th).
Short middle is open
Cowboys are worst against short middle throws, allowing +0.59 EPA per attempt. Eagles send 16% of their throws there.
Checkdowns go nowhere
Cowboys give up 27 yards a game to running backs (10th), against a league average of 32. Eagles' running backs produce 17 (31st).
EPA per play
Call this one even. Eagles average -0.13 EPA per play (31st). Cowboys allow +0.13 (31st). League average is +0.00.
The Eagles lead the series 29–27 since 1999. The Cowboys have won the last 2. This game is the latest meeting.
The last 5
| 2026 · Wk 7 | DAL 38 at PHI 21 |
| 2025 · Wk 12 | PHI 21 at DAL 24 |
| 2025 · Wk 1 | DAL 20 at PHI 24 |
| 2024 · Wk 17 | DAL 7 at PHI 41 |
| 2024 · Wk 10 | PHI 34 at DAL 6 |
2026 records
| Cowboys | Eagles | |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 3–5 | 2–6 |
| Division | 2–1 | 1–2 |
| Conference | 2–4 | 1–5 |
| Other conference | 1–1 | 1–1 |
| Home | 1–3 | 1–3 |
| Away | 2–2 | 1–3 |
| Last 5 | WLLWL | LLLLL |
| Streak | Lost 1 | Lost 6 |
| Points a game | 27.4 – 26.6 | 17.1 – 25.3 |
Every meeting since 1999, regular season and playoffs, from nflverse's game list, which starts in 1999; the all-time series goes back further. Franchises that moved count as one team (the Raiders, Chargers and Rams). Home and away are from the Cowboys' side. Records are this regular season.
| Stat | PHI off | Favors PHI · Favors DAL | DAL def allows | NFL avg |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Overall | ||||
| EPA per play | -0.13#31 | +0.13#31 | +0.00 | |
| Success rate | 37%#30 | 46%#28 | 44% | |
| Yards per play | 4.4#32 | 6.1#30 | 5.4 | |
| Explosive play rate | 5%#32 | 11%#27 | 9% | |
| Passing | ||||
| Pass EPA per dropback | -0.14#28 | +0.21#30 | +0.03 | |
| Sack rate | 8%#24 | 6%#25 | 7% | |
| Running | ||||
| Run EPA per carry | -0.14#24 | -0.01#29 | -0.08 | |
| Yards per carry | 3.4#28 | 5.1#31 | 4.1 | |
| Money downs | ||||
| 3rd down conversion | 37%#26 | 53%#31 | 41% | |
| Red zone TD rate | 71%#4 | 70%#26 | 61% | |
| Targets by position | ||||
| WR yards per game | 136#19 | 164#26 | 147 | |
| TE yards per game | 44#23 | 53#16 | 55 | |
| TE targets per game | 6.6#24 | 7.1#14 | 7.6 | |
| RB receiving yards per game | 17#31 | 27#10 | 32 | |
Eagles: EPA per throw
Cowboys: EPA allowed per throw
Green gains more than expected, red loses value. Cells with fewer than 5 throws are grayed out.