DOWN X DOWN › week 12 › Panthers at Buccaneers
Updated Nov 4, 9:34 AM ET
2026
2026this season2025final

Week 12 · Monday 8:15 PM ET · Raymond James Stadium

TBvsCAR

Buccaneers offensevsPanthers defense

Season numbers through Week 8: 8 games for Buccaneers, 7 for Panthers. Ranks are out of 32; #1 is the best offense or the stingiest defense.

CAR offenseTB offense
Keys to the game · where this matchup tilts, from the season numbers4 reads
01
Biggest edge

Ground game edge

Buccaneers average 5.0 yards per carry (3rd). Panthers allow 4.6 (27th).

02
Opportunity

Short middle is open

Panthers are worst against short middle throws, allowing +0.29 EPA per attempt. Buccaneers send 12% of their throws there.

03
Watch out

Checkdowns go nowhere

Panthers give up 27 yards a game to running backs (9th), against a league average of 32. Buccaneers' running backs produce 17 (29th).

04
Wash

Success rate

Call this one even. Buccaneers succeed on 41% of plays (25th) against a defense that allows 44% (22nd).

Players to watch

CAR Panthers

9Bryce YoungQB · 158/269 · 1921 yds · 13 TD · 5 INTEPA per dropback +0.06 · 17th30Chuba HubbardRB · 118 car · 540 yds · 7 TD · 22 recEPA per touch +0.14 · 4th4Tetairoa McMillanWR · 42 rec · 569 yds · 2 TD · 65 tgtEPA per target +0.3518Jalen CokerWR · 27 rec · 364 yds · 3 TD · 44 tgtEPA per target +0.1955Devin LloydLeft Inside Linebacker · 45 tackles · 2 sacks · 2 INT · 3 PD2 INT · T-11th in the NFL58Bobby OkerekeRight Inside Linebacker · 48 tackles · 1 sack · 1 INT · 5 PD1 INT

TB Buccaneers

6Baker MayfieldQB · 68/110 · 679 yds · 3 TD · 2 INTEPA per dropback -0.257Bucky IrvingRB · 147 car · 728 yds · 6 TD · 18 recEPA per touch -0.02 · 26th2Emeka EgbukaWR · 28 rec · 240 yds · 2 TD · 49 tgtEPA per target -0.2614Chris Godwin Jr.WR · 27 rec · 243 yds · 0 TD · 35 tgtEPA per target +0.1925Jacob ParrishNickel Back · 36 tackles · 2 INT · 13 PD2 INT · T-11th in the NFL27Zyon McCollumLeft Cornerback · 30 tackles · 2 INT · 9 PD2 INT · T-11th in the NFL
The series · Panthers and Buccaneers since 1999, and this season's records49 meetings

The Panthers lead the series 25–24 since 1999 (they first met in 2002). The Buccaneers have won the last 2. Oct 25, 2026, at Bank of America Stadium: the Buccaneers won 43–13. Bryce Young started at quarterback for the Panthers and Baker Mayfield for the Buccaneers; Dave Canales and Todd Bowles coached.

Panthers at home13–12the Panthers' record
In Tampa Bay11–12the Panthers' record
Most pointsPanthers 48 · Buccaneers 482011 · 2024
Biggest winPanthers by 32 · Buccaneers by 342011 · 2024

The last 5

2026 · Wk 7TB 43 at CAR 13
2025 · Wk 18CAR 14 at TB 16
2025 · Wk 16TB 20 at CAR 23
2024 · Wk 17CAR 14 at TB 48
2024 · Wk 13 · OTTB 26 at CAR 23

2026 records

PanthersBuccaneers
Overall3–43–5
Division1–12–0
Conference3–33–2
Other conference0–10–3
Home1–21–4
Away2–22–1
Last 5LWWLLLWLWW
StreakLost 2Won 2
Points a game25.4 – 27.622.3 – 18.9

Every meeting since 1999, regular season and playoffs, from nflverse's game list, which starts in 1999; the all-time series goes back further. Franchises that moved count as one team (the Raiders, Chargers and Rams). Home and away are from the Panthers' side. Records are this regular season.

The lineups · Buccaneers offense against the Panthers defenseDepth charts
Panthers defense · 3-4 DBuccaneers offense · 3WR 1TE78Wirfs68Bredeson62Barton69Mauch67Goedeke88Otton6Mayfield7Irving2Egbuka17Hurst14Godwin98Wharton92Hunter95Brown91Jones5Phillips58Okereke55Lloyd24Lee36DeWalt26Smith-Wade7Moehrig21Scott

Buccaneers offense · 3WR 1TE

  • QBBaker Mayfield#6 · 68/110 · 679 yds · 3 TD · 2 INT
  • RBBucky Irving#7 · 147 car · 728 yds · 6 TD · 18 rec
  • WREmeka Egbuka#2 · 28 rec · 240 yds · 2 TD · 49 tgt
  • WRChris Godwin Jr.#14 · 27 rec · 243 yds · 0 TD · 35 tgt
  • WRTed Hurst III#17 · 11 rec · 168 yds · 1 TD · 24 tgt
  • TECade Otton#88 · 19 rec · 186 yds · 0 TD · 30 tgt
  • LTTristan Wirfs#78
  • LGBen Bredeson#68
  • CGraham Barton#62
  • RGCody Mauch#69
  • RTLuke Goedeke#67

Panthers defense · Base 3-4 D

  • RDETershawn Wharton#98 · 7 tackles
  • NTLee Hunter#92 · 16 tackles
  • LDEDerrick Brown#95 · 21 tackles · 5 PD
  • WLBPatrick Jones II#91 · 11 tackles
  • SLBJaelan Phillips#5 · 10 tackles · 2.5 sacks
  • RILBBobby Okereke#58 · 48 tackles · 1 sack · 1 INT · 5 PD
  • LILBDevin Lloyd#55 · 45 tackles · 2 sacks · 2 INT · 3 PD
  • RCBWill Lee III#24 · 33 tackles · 7 PD
  • LCBMalcolm DeWalt IV#36 · 1 tackles
  • NBChau Smith-Wade#26 · 6 tackles
  • SSTre'von Moehrig#7 · 29 tackles · 0.5 sacks
  • FSNick Scott#21 · 29 tackles · 2 PD

Starters from each team's current depth chart (nflverse, from ESPN), drawn in the offense's base three-receiver set against the defense's base front. The nickel back, the extra defensive back most teams use against three receivers, is drawn lighter. Left and right are as the offense sees the field. The toggle at the top flips which offense is drawn.

Head to head · TB offense against CAR defense
StatTB TB offFavors TB · Favors CARCAR CAR def allowsNFL avg
Overall
EPA per play
-0.09#26
+0.03#20+0.00
Success rate
41%#25
44%#2244%
Yards per play
4.9#25
5.4#195.4
Explosive play rate
10%#11
8%#59%
Passing
Pass EPA per dropback
-0.23#31
+0.02#16+0.03
Sack rate
10%#30
4%#297%
Running
Run EPA per carry
-0.01#8
-0.01#28-0.08
Yards per carry
5.0#3
4.6#274.1
Money downs
3rd down conversion
40%#14
47%#2841%
Red zone TD rate
52%#26
80%#3061%
Targets by position
WR yards per game
104#31
146#17147
TE yards per game
27#32
47#1255
TE targets per game
4.1#32
7.6#157.6
RB receiving yards per game
17#29
27#932
Where the ball goes · EPA per throwDeep is 15+ air yds

Buccaneers: EPA per throw

Left
Middle
Right
Deep
-0.387% of throws
+0.113% of throws
+0.347% of throws
Short
-0.0334% of throws
+0.1412% of throws
-0.1837% of throws

Panthers: EPA allowed per throw

Left
Middle
Right
Deep
+1.608 throws
+0.038 throws
-0.0522 throws
Short
+0.0168 throws
+0.2946 throws
0.0089 throws

Green gains more than expected, red loses value. Cells with fewer than 5 throws are grayed out.