2026
Week 16 · Sunday 1:00 PM ET · Mercedes-Benz Stadium
vs
Buccaneers offensevsFalcons defense
Season numbers through Week 8: 8 games for Buccaneers, 8 for Falcons. Ranks are out of 32; #1 is the best offense or the stingiest defense.
Ground game edge
Buccaneers average 5.0 yards per carry (3rd). Falcons allow 4.6 (26th).
Deep left is open
Falcons are worst against deep left throws, allowing +0.17 EPA per attempt. Buccaneers send 7% of their throws there. That is a small part of their offense so far.
Passing lanes are closed
Buccaneers gain -0.23 EPA per dropback (31st). Falcons allow +0.00 (14th).
Explosive play rate
Call this one even. Buccaneers create explosive plays on 10% of snaps (11th). Falcons give them up at 9% (13th).
Players to watch
Buccaneers
Baker MayfieldQB · 68/110 · 679 yds · 3 TD · 2 INTEPA per dropback -0.25
Bucky IrvingRB · 147 car · 728 yds · 6 TD · 18 recEPA per touch -0.02 · 25th
Emeka EgbukaWR · 28 rec · 240 yds · 2 TD · 49 tgtEPA per target -0.26
Chris Godwin Jr.WR · 27 rec · 243 yds · 0 TD · 35 tgtEPA per target +0.19Jacob ParrishNickel Back · 36 tackles · 2 INT · 13 PD2 INT · T-11th in the NFLZyon McCollumLeft Cornerback · 30 tackles · 2 INT · 9 PD2 INT · T-11th in the NFL
Falcons
Michael Penix Jr.QB · 104/168 · 1282 yds · 9 TD · 5 INTEPA per dropback +0.02 · 21st
Bijan RobinsonRB · 150 car · 780 yds · 5 TD · 25 recEPA per touch -0.07
Drake LondonWR · 39 rec · 624 yds · 1 TD · 62 tgtEPA per target +0.40
Kyle PittsTE · 22 rec · 197 yds · 4 TD · 32 tgtEPA per target +0.06Kendal DanielsLeft Inside Linebacker · 52 tackles · 1 sack · 1 INT · 2 PD1 INTC.J. HendersonRight Cornerback · 39 tackles · 8 PD8 passes defended · T-7th in the NFLThe Buccaneers lead the series 26–25 since 1999. Nov 1, 2026, at Raymond James Stadium: the Buccaneers won 16–0. Baker Mayfield started at quarterback for the Buccaneers and Michael Penix Jr. for the Falcons; Todd Bowles and Raheem Morris coached.
The last 5
| 2026 · Wk 8 | ATL 0 at TB 16 |
| 2025 · Wk 15 | ATL 29 at TB 28 |
| 2025 · Wk 1 | TB 23 at ATL 20 |
| 2024 · Wk 8 | ATL 31 at TB 26 |
| 2024 · Wk 5 · OT | TB 30 at ATL 36 |
2026 records
| Buccaneers | Falcons | |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 3–5 | 3–5 |
| Division | 2–0 | 1–2 |
| Conference | 3–2 | 3–3 |
| Other conference | 0–3 | 0–2 |
| Home | 1–4 | 1–3 |
| Away | 2–1 | 2–2 |
| Last 5 | LWLWW | WLLWL |
| Streak | Won 2 | Lost 1 |
| Points a game | 22.3 – 18.9 | 21.4 – 23.6 |
Every meeting since 1999, regular season and playoffs, from nflverse's game list, which starts in 1999; the all-time series goes back further. Franchises that moved count as one team (the Raiders, Chargers and Rams). Home and away are from the Buccaneers' side. Records are this regular season.
Buccaneers offense · 3WR 1TE
- QBBaker Mayfield#6 · 68/110 · 679 yds · 3 TD · 2 INT
- RBBucky Irving#7 · 147 car · 728 yds · 6 TD · 18 rec
- WREmeka Egbuka#2 · 28 rec · 240 yds · 2 TD · 49 tgt
- WRChris Godwin Jr.#14 · 27 rec · 243 yds · 0 TD · 35 tgt
- WRTed Hurst III#17 · 11 rec · 168 yds · 1 TD · 24 tgt
- TECade Otton#88 · 19 rec · 186 yds · 0 TD · 30 tgt
- LTTristan Wirfs#78
- LGBen Bredeson#68
- CGraham Barton#62
- RGCody Mauch#69
- RTLuke Goedeke#67
Falcons defense · Base 3-4 D
- RDEBrandon Dorlus#54 · 13 tackles · 1 sack · 1 PD
- NTGervon Dexter Sr.#95 · 21 tackles · 1.5 sacks · 1 PD
- LDEMaason Smith#92 · 15 tackles · 1 sack · 1 PD
- WLBCameron Thomas#99 · 21 tackles · 2 sacks · 1 PD
- SLBJames Pearce Jr.#27 · 0 tackles
- RILBDivine Deablo#0 · 29 tackles · 1 PD
- LILBKendal Daniels#53 · 52 tackles · 1 sack · 1 INT · 2 PD
- RCBC.J. Henderson#26 · 39 tackles · 8 PD
- LCBA.J. Terrell Jr.#24 · 13 tackles · 3 PD
- NBBilly Bowman Jr.#33 · 6 tackles · 2 PD
- SSJessie Bates III#3 · 45 tackles · 1 INT · 4 PD
- FSXavier Watts#31 · 53 tackles · 0.5 sacks · 1 INT · 2 PD
Starters from each team's current depth chart (nflverse, from ESPN), drawn in the offense's base three-receiver set against the defense's base front. The nickel back, the extra defensive back most teams use against three receivers, is drawn lighter. Left and right are as the offense sees the field. The toggle at the top flips which offense is drawn.
| Stat | TB off | Favors TB · Favors ATL | ATL def allows | NFL avg |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Overall | ||||
| EPA per play | -0.09#26 | -0.04#11 | +0.00 | |
| Success rate | 41%#26 | 44%#18 | 44% | |
| Yards per play | 4.9#25 | 5.3#13 | 5.4 | |
| Explosive play rate | 10%#11 | 9%#13 | 9% | |
| Passing | ||||
| Pass EPA per dropback | -0.23#31 | +0.00#14 | +0.03 | |
| Sack rate | 10%#30 | 6%#20 | 7% | |
| Running | ||||
| Run EPA per carry | -0.01#8 | -0.08#14 | -0.08 | |
| Yards per carry | 5.0#3 | 4.6#26 | 4.1 | |
| Money downs | ||||
| 3rd down conversion | 40%#14 | 42%#18 | 41% | |
| Red zone TD rate | 52%#27 | 63%#17 | 61% | |
| Targets by position | ||||
| WR yards per game | 104#31 | 150#20 | 147 | |
| TE yards per game | 27#32 | 55#17 | 55 | |
| TE targets per game | 4.1#32 | 7.6#16 | 7.6 | |
| RB receiving yards per game | 17#29 | 33#17 | 32 | |
Buccaneers: EPA per throw
Falcons: EPA allowed per throw
Green gains more than expected, red loses value. Cells with fewer than 5 throws are grayed out.