DOWN X DOWN › week 16 › Buccaneers at Falcons
Updated Nov 3, 7:02 AM ET
2026
2026this season2025final

Week 16 · Sunday 1:00 PM ET · Mercedes-Benz Stadium

ATLvsTB

Falcons offensevsBuccaneers defense

Season numbers through Week 8: 8 games for Falcons, 8 for Buccaneers. Ranks are out of 32; #1 is the best offense or the stingiest defense.

TB offenseATL offense
Keys to the game · where this matchup tilts, from the season numbers4 reads
01
Biggest edge

Clean pockets

Falcons take a sack on 7% of dropbacks (19th). Buccaneers get home on 6% (24th). League average is 7%.

02
Opportunity

Deep middle is open

Buccaneers are worst against deep middle throws, allowing +0.64 EPA per attempt. Falcons send 3% of their throws there. That is a small part of their offense so far.

03
Watch out

Passing lanes are closed

Falcons gain -0.18 EPA per dropback (29th). Buccaneers allow -0.20 (2nd).

04
Wash

Yards per play

Call this one even. Falcons gain 5.6 yards per play (13th). Buccaneers give up 5.1 (7th), with the league at 5.4.

Players to watch

TB Buccaneers

6Baker MayfieldQB · 68/110 · 679 yds · 3 TD · 2 INTEPA per dropback -0.257Bucky IrvingRB · 147 car · 728 yds · 6 TD · 18 recEPA per touch -0.02 · 26th2Emeka EgbukaWR · 28 rec · 240 yds · 2 TD · 49 tgtEPA per target -0.2614Chris Godwin Jr.WR · 27 rec · 243 yds · 0 TD · 35 tgtEPA per target +0.1925Jacob ParrishNickel Back · 36 tackles · 2 INT · 13 PD2 INT · T-11th in the NFL27Zyon McCollumLeft Cornerback · 30 tackles · 2 INT · 9 PD2 INT · T-11th in the NFL

ATL Falcons

9Michael Penix Jr.QB · 104/168 · 1282 yds · 9 TD · 5 INTEPA per dropback +0.02 · 21st7Bijan RobinsonRB · 150 car · 780 yds · 5 TD · 25 recEPA per touch -0.075Drake LondonWR · 39 rec · 624 yds · 1 TD · 62 tgtEPA per target +0.408Kyle PittsTE · 22 rec · 197 yds · 4 TD · 32 tgtEPA per target +0.0653Kendal DanielsLeft Inside Linebacker · 52 tackles · 1 sack · 1 INT · 2 PD1 INT26C.J. HendersonRight Cornerback · 39 tackles · 8 PD8 passes defended · T-7th in the NFL
The series · Buccaneers and Falcons since 1999, and this season's records51 meetings

The Buccaneers lead the series 26–25 since 1999. Nov 1, 2026, at Raymond James Stadium: the Buccaneers won 16–0. Baker Mayfield started at quarterback for the Buccaneers and Michael Penix Jr. for the Falcons; Todd Bowles and Raheem Morris coached.

Buccaneers at home13–13the Buccaneers' record
In Atlanta13–12the Buccaneers' record
Most pointsBuccaneers 48 · Falcons 562021 · 2014
Biggest winBuccaneers by 34 · Falcons by 422007 · 2014

The last 5

2026 · Wk 8ATL 0 at TB 16
2025 · Wk 15ATL 29 at TB 28
2025 · Wk 1TB 23 at ATL 20
2024 · Wk 8ATL 31 at TB 26
2024 · Wk 5 · OTTB 30 at ATL 36

2026 records

BuccaneersFalcons
Overall3–53–5
Division2–01–2
Conference3–23–3
Other conference0–30–2
Home1–41–3
Away2–12–2
Last 5LWLWWWLLWL
StreakWon 2Lost 1
Points a game22.3 – 18.921.4 – 23.6

Every meeting since 1999, regular season and playoffs, from nflverse's game list, which starts in 1999; the all-time series goes back further. Franchises that moved count as one team (the Raiders, Chargers and Rams). Home and away are from the Buccaneers' side. Records are this regular season.

The lineups · Falcons offense against the Buccaneers defenseDepth charts
Buccaneers defense · 3-4 DFalcons offense · 3WR 1TE70Matthews65Bergeron64Neuzil63Lindstrom71Taylor8Pitts9Penix7Robinson5London14Zaccheaus4Dotson91Robinson50Vea94Kancey3Bain0Diaby45Trotter34Anzalone21Morrison27McCollum25Parrish23Smith31Winfield

Falcons offense · 3WR 1TE

  • QBMichael Penix Jr.#9 · 104/168 · 1282 yds · 9 TD · 5 INT
  • RBBijan Robinson#7 · 150 car · 780 yds · 5 TD · 25 rec
  • WRDrake London#5 · 39 rec · 624 yds · 1 TD · 62 tgt
  • WRJahan Dotson#4 · 14 rec · 337 yds · 2 TD · 30 tgt
  • WROlamide Zaccheaus#14 · 5 rec · 21 yds · 0 TD · 13 tgt
  • TEKyle Pitts Sr.#8 · 22 rec · 197 yds · 4 TD · 32 tgt
  • LTJake Matthews#70
  • LGMatthew Bergeron#65
  • CRyan Neuzil#64
  • RGChris Lindstrom#63
  • RTJawaan Taylor#71

Buccaneers defense · Base 3-4 D

  • RDEA'Shawn Robinson#91 · 22 tackles · 1 sack · 2 INT · 3 PD
  • NTVita Vea#50 · 16 tackles · 1 sack · 2 PD
  • LDECalijah Kancey#94 · 9 tackles
  • WLBRueben Bain Jr.#3 · 7 tackles · 1 sack · 1 PD
  • SLBYaya Diaby#0 · 16 tackles · 3 sacks · 1 INT · 2 PD
  • RILBJosiah Trotter#45 · 67 tackles · 1 sack · 1 INT · 3 PD
  • LILBAlex Anzalone#34 · 41 tackles · 1 sack · 3 INT · 3 PD
  • RCBBenjamin Morrison#21 · 11 tackles · 2 PD
  • LCBZyon McCollum#27 · 30 tackles · 2 INT · 9 PD
  • NBJacob Parrish#25 · 36 tackles · 2 INT · 13 PD
  • SSTykee Smith#23 · 42 tackles · 1 INT · 2 PD
  • FSAntoine Winfield Jr.#31 · 31 tackles

Starters from each team's current depth chart (nflverse, from ESPN), drawn in the offense's base three-receiver set against the defense's base front. The nickel back, the extra defensive back most teams use against three receivers, is drawn lighter. Left and right are as the offense sees the field. The toggle at the top flips which offense is drawn.

Head to head · ATL offense against TB defense
StatATL ATL offFavors ATL · Favors TBTB TB def allowsNFL avg
Overall
EPA per play
-0.10#29
-0.16#2+0.00
Success rate
43%#15
39%#344%
Yards per play
5.6#13
5.1#75.4
Explosive play rate
9%#16
7%#49%
Passing
Pass EPA per dropback
-0.18#29
-0.20#2+0.03
Sack rate
7%#19
6%#247%
Running
Run EPA per carry
-0.02#9
-0.15#5-0.08
Yards per carry
4.7#5
3.6#84.1
Money downs
3rd down conversion
35%#29
34%#641%
Red zone TD rate
64%#14
50%#961%
Targets by position
WR yards per game
133#21
131#10147
TE yards per game
37#26
56#2155
TE targets per game
6.5#25
8.1#237.6
RB receiving yards per game
30#18
33#1932
Where the ball goes · EPA per throwDeep is 15+ air yds

Falcons: EPA per throw

Left
Middle
Right
Deep
+1.227% of throws
-0.333% of throws
+0.387% of throws
Short
+0.1335% of throws
-0.5216% of throws
-0.3732% of throws

Buccaneers: EPA allowed per throw

Left
Middle
Right
Deep
+0.1518 throws
+0.6410 throws
-0.259 throws
Short
-0.0292 throws
-0.1644 throws
-0.2395 throws

Green gains more than expected, red loses value. Cells with fewer than 5 throws are grayed out.