2026
Week 2 · Monday 8:15 PM ET · SoFi Stadium
vs
Giants offensevsRams defense
Season numbers through Week 8: 7 games for Giants, 8 for Rams. Ranks are out of 32; #1 is the best offense or the stingiest defense.
The Rams won 28–6 and were favored the whole way, never below 62%. The biggest single swing came at Q1 0:19, 9 points for the Rams.
The plays that swung it
- 1Q1 0:19LAM.Stafford pass short middle to D.Adams for 31 yards, TOUCHDOWN.76% → 85%
- 2Q1 8:33NYGC.Skattebo up the middle to LA 40 for 5 yards (Q.Lake; N.Landman).31% → 38%
- 3Q2 12:50LAM.Stafford pass deep right to D.Adams to NYG 14 for 64 yards (J.Holland).86% → 92%
- 4Q2 3:11LAK.Williams up the middle to LA 11 for 5 yards (J.Holland; A.Reese). FUMBLES (J.Holland), RECOVERED by NYG-J.Holland at LA 11.4% → 9%
- 5Q1 7:50NYGJ.Winston pass incomplete short left to T.Johnson [K.Turner].62% → 66%
Win probability is nflverse's model, which starts from the betting line and updates before every snap with the score, the clock, down, distance, field position and timeouts. A swing is the change in one team's chance across a play, in percentage points. Each play is tagged with the team that had the ball; the bar names the team it helped. The turning point is the play after which the winner never fell to 50% again.
D.Mooney led the Giants at +3.5 EPA (2 catches for 48). M.Stafford led the Rams at +13.6 EPA (22 of 31 for 327).
Giants
| Passing | C/A | Yds | TD | INT | Sk | EPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J.Winston88% | 11/27 | 111 | 1 | 2 | -16.5 | |
| J.Dart12% | 3/5 | 20 | -1.1 |
| Rushing | Car | Share | Yds | TD | EPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| C.Skattebo59% | 12 | 57% | 36 | -2.2 | |
| N.Harris14% | 4 | 19% | 6 | -2.8 | |
| D.Singletary26% | 3 | 14% | 9 | -1.4 | |
| J.Winston88% | 2 | 10% | 1 | +0.3 |
| Receiving | Tgt | Share | Rec | Yds | TD | EPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| I.Likely69% | 10 | 31% | 5 | 33 | -0.4 | |
| M.Fields81% | 6 | 19% | 2 | 30 | -5.1 | |
| M.Nabers74% | 4 | 13% | 1 | 1 | -7.1 | |
| T.Johnson28% | 4 | 13% | 0 | 0 | -3.4 | |
| C.Skattebo59% | 4 | 13% | 4 | 19 | -1.8 | |
| D.Mooney72% | 3 | 9% | 2 | 48 | +3.5 | |
| D.Singletary26% | 1 | 3% | 0 | 0 | -1.5 |
Defense J.Holland 1 INT, A.Carter 1 sack · Kicking D.Zvada 2/2 FG, 6 pts
Rams
| Passing | C/A | Yds | TD | INT | Sk | EPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M.Stafford100% | 22/31 | 327 | 4 | 1 | 1 | +18.6 |
| Rushing | Car | Share | Yds | TD | EPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K.Williams55% | 12 | 43% | 85 | -3.9 | |
| B.Corum45% | 12 | 43% | 79 | +2.3 | |
| M.Stafford100% | 4 | 14% | -1 | -5.1 |
| Receiving | Tgt | Share | Rec | Yds | TD | EPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D.Adams65% | 10 | 33% | 8 | 195 | 2 | +11.8 |
| T.Ferguson58% | 9 | 30% | 6 | 54 | 1 | +1.8 |
| C.Parkinson71% | 2 | 7% | 2 | 15 | +1.4 | |
| T.Atwell18% | 2 | 7% | 1 | 19 | +1.3 | |
| K.Williams55% | 2 | 7% | 2 | 12 | 1 | +2.4 |
| K.Mumpfield69% | 2 | 7% | 1 | 12 | -0.4 | |
| X.Smith42% | 1 | 3% | 0 | 0 | -0.8 | |
| D.Allen52% | 1 | 3% | 1 | 7 | +1.2 | |
| B.Corum45% | 1 | 3% | 1 | 13 | +1.3 |
Defense T.McDuffie 1 INT, B.Young 1 sack, W.Bailey 1 sack · Kicking H.Mevis 0/1 FG (43 no good), 4/4 XP, 4 pts
Each player's line for this game from nflverse's weekly stats; the percentage beside his name is his share of the offense's snaps. Share is his part of the team's carries or targets in this game. Defense lists sacks and interceptions; kicking lists field goals.
Tight ends feast
Rams give up 8.4 targets a game to tight ends (25th), against a league average of 7.6. Giants' tight ends produce 10.4 (3rd).
Short middle is open
Rams are worst against short middle throws, allowing +0.24 EPA per attempt. Giants send 19% of their throws there.
Wideouts get blanketed
Rams give up 112 yards a game to wide receivers (2nd), against a league average of 147. Giants' wide receivers produce 147 (16th).
Yards per play
Call this one even. Giants gain 5.4 yards per play (17th). Rams give up 5.0 (5th), with the league at 5.4.
The Rams lead the series 8–7 since 1999. They have won the last 5. This game is the latest meeting.
The last 5
| 2026 · Wk 2 | NYG 6 at LA 28 |
| 2023 · Wk 17 | LA 26 at NYG 25 |
| 2021 · Wk 6 | LA 38 at NYG 11 |
| 2020 · Wk 4 | NYG 9 at LA 17 |
| 2017 · Wk 9 | LA 51 at NYG 17 |
2026 records
| Giants | Rams | |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 4–2–1 | 4–4 |
| Division | 1–0–1 | 0–2 |
| Conference | 2–2–1 | 2–2 |
| Other conference | 2–0 | 2–2 |
| Home | 3–1 | 2–3 |
| Away | 1–1–1 | 2–1 |
| Last 5 | WWTLW | WLLWW |
| Streak | Won 1 | Won 2 |
| Points a game | 23.3 – 23.0 | 24.3 – 21.0 |
Every meeting since 1999, regular season and playoffs, from nflverse's game list, which starts in 1999; the all-time series goes back further. Franchises that moved count as one team (the Raiders, Chargers and Rams). Home and away are from the Giants' side. Records are this regular season.
| Stat | NYG off | Favors NYG · Favors LA | LA def allows | NFL avg |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Overall | ||||
| EPA per play | +0.01#16 | -0.11#3 | +0.00 | |
| Success rate | 42%#20 | 40%#6 | 44% | |
| Yards per play | 5.4#17 | 5.0#5 | 5.4 | |
| Explosive play rate | 9%#20 | 8%#7 | 9% | |
| Passing | ||||
| Pass EPA per dropback | +0.05#17 | -0.12#3 | +0.03 | |
| Sack rate | 8%#25 | 4%#27 | 7% | |
| Running | ||||
| Run EPA per carry | -0.08#17 | -0.16#3 | -0.08 | |
| Yards per carry | 4.0#17 | 3.5#6 | 4.1 | |
| Money downs | ||||
| 3rd down conversion | 43%#12 | 33%#5 | 41% | |
| Red zone TD rate | 67%#11 | 44%#5 | 61% | |
| Targets by position | ||||
| WR yards per game | 147#16 | 112#2 | 147 | |
| TE yards per game | 68#5 | 46#9 | 55 | |
| TE targets per game | 10.4#3 | 8.4#25 | 7.6 | |
| RB receiving yards per game | 27#21 | 43#28 | 32 | |
Giants: EPA per throw
Rams: EPA allowed per throw
Green gains more than expected, red loses value. Cells with fewer than 5 throws are grayed out.