2026
Week 2 · Monday 8:15 PM ET · SoFi Stadium
vs
Rams offensevsGiants defense
Season numbers through Week 8: 8 games for Rams, 7 for Giants. Ranks are out of 32; #1 is the best offense or the stingiest defense.
The Rams won 28–6 and were favored the whole way, never below 62%. The biggest single swing came at Q1 0:19, 9 points for the Rams.
The plays that swung it
- 1Q1 0:19LAM.Stafford pass short middle to D.Adams for 31 yards, TOUCHDOWN.76% → 85%
- 2Q1 8:33NYGC.Skattebo up the middle to LA 40 for 5 yards (Q.Lake; N.Landman).31% → 38%
- 3Q2 12:50LAM.Stafford pass deep right to D.Adams to NYG 14 for 64 yards (J.Holland).86% → 92%
- 4Q2 3:11NYGK.Williams up the middle to LA 11 for 5 yards (J.Holland; A.Reese). FUMBLES (J.Holland), RECOVERED by NYG-J.Holland at LA 11.4% → 9%
- 5Q1 7:50LAJ.Winston pass incomplete short left to T.Johnson [K.Turner].62% → 66%
Win probability is nflverse's model, which starts from the betting line and updates before every snap with the score, the clock, down, distance, field position and timeouts. A swing is the change in one team's chance across a play, in percentage points. The turning point is the play after which the winner never fell to 50% again.
D.Mooney led the Giants at +3.5 EPA (2 catches for 48). M.Stafford led the Rams at +13.6 EPA (22 of 31 for 327).
Giants
| Passing | C/A | Yds | TD | INT | Sk | EPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J.Winston88% | 11/27 | 111 | 1 | 2 | -16.5 | |
| J.Dart12% | 3/5 | 20 | -1.1 |
| Rushing | Car | Share | Yds | TD | EPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| C.Skattebo59% | 12 | 57% | 36 | -2.2 | |
| N.Harris14% | 4 | 19% | 6 | -2.8 | |
| D.Singletary26% | 3 | 14% | 9 | -1.4 | |
| J.Winston88% | 2 | 10% | 1 | +0.3 |
| Receiving | Tgt | Share | Rec | Yds | TD | EPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| I.Likely69% | 10 | 31% | 5 | 33 | -0.4 | |
| M.Fields81% | 6 | 19% | 2 | 30 | -5.1 | |
| M.Nabers74% | 4 | 13% | 1 | 1 | -7.1 | |
| T.Johnson28% | 4 | 13% | 0 | 0 | -3.4 | |
| C.Skattebo59% | 4 | 13% | 4 | 19 | -1.8 | |
| D.Mooney72% | 3 | 9% | 2 | 48 | +3.5 | |
| D.Singletary26% | 1 | 3% | 0 | 0 | -1.5 |
Defense J.Holland 1 INT, A.Carter 1 sack · Kicking D.Zvada 2/2 FG (long 52)
Rams
| Passing | C/A | Yds | TD | INT | Sk | EPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M.Stafford100% | 22/31 | 327 | 4 | 1 | 1 | +18.6 |
| Rushing | Car | Share | Yds | TD | EPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K.Williams55% | 12 | 43% | 85 | -3.9 | |
| B.Corum45% | 12 | 43% | 79 | +2.3 | |
| M.Stafford100% | 4 | 14% | -1 | -5.1 |
| Receiving | Tgt | Share | Rec | Yds | TD | EPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D.Adams65% | 10 | 33% | 8 | 195 | 2 | +11.8 |
| T.Ferguson58% | 9 | 30% | 6 | 54 | 1 | +1.8 |
| C.Parkinson71% | 2 | 7% | 2 | 15 | +1.4 | |
| T.Atwell18% | 2 | 7% | 1 | 19 | +1.3 | |
| K.Williams55% | 2 | 7% | 2 | 12 | 1 | +2.4 |
| K.Mumpfield69% | 2 | 7% | 1 | 12 | -0.4 | |
| X.Smith42% | 1 | 3% | 0 | 0 | -0.8 | |
| D.Allen52% | 1 | 3% | 1 | 7 | +1.2 | |
| B.Corum45% | 1 | 3% | 1 | 13 | +1.3 |
Defense T.McDuffie 1 INT, B.Young 1 sack, W.Bailey 1 sack · Kicking H.Mevis 0/1 FG
Each player's line for this game from nflverse's weekly stats; the percentage beside his name is his share of the offense's snaps. Share is his part of the team's carries or targets in this game. Defense lists sacks and interceptions; kicking lists field goals.
Clean pockets
Rams take a sack on 4% of dropbacks (5th). Giants get home on 4% (30th). League average is 7%.
Short middle is open
Giants are worst against short middle throws, allowing +0.46 EPA per attempt. Rams send 18% of their throws there.
Checkdowns go nowhere
Giants give up 21 yards a game to running backs (5th), against a league average of 32. Rams' running backs produce 43 (8th).
Explosive play rate
Call this one even. Rams create explosive plays on 8% of snaps (23rd). Giants give them up at 10% (18th).
The Rams lead the series 8–7 since 1999. They have won the last 5. This game is the latest meeting.
The last 5
| 2026 · Wk 2 | NYG 6 at LA 28 |
| 2023 · Wk 17 | LA 26 at NYG 25 |
| 2021 · Wk 6 | LA 38 at NYG 11 |
| 2020 · Wk 4 | NYG 9 at LA 17 |
| 2017 · Wk 9 | LA 51 at NYG 17 |
2026 records
| Giants | Rams | |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 4–2–1 | 4–4 |
| Division | 1–0–1 | 0–2 |
| Conference | 2–2–1 | 2–2 |
| Other conference | 2–0 | 2–2 |
| Home | 3–1 | 2–3 |
| Away | 1–1–1 | 2–1 |
| Last 5 | WWTLW | WLLWW |
| Streak | Won 1 | Won 2 |
| Points a game | 23.3 – 23.0 | 24.3 – 21.0 |
Every meeting since 1999, regular season and playoffs, from nflverse's game list, which starts in 1999; the all-time series goes back further. Franchises that moved count as one team (the Raiders, Chargers and Rams). Home and away are from the Giants' side. Records are this regular season.
| Stat | LA off | Favors LA · Favors NYG | NYG def allows | NFL avg |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Overall | ||||
| EPA per play | +0.05#9 | +0.01#16 | +0.00 | |
| Success rate | 49%#5 | 43%#12 | 44% | |
| Yards per play | 5.9#8 | 5.4#15 | 5.4 | |
| Explosive play rate | 8%#23 | 10%#18 | 9% | |
| Passing | ||||
| Pass EPA per dropback | +0.07#15 | -0.01#13 | +0.03 | |
| Sack rate | 4%#5 | 4%#30 | 7% | |
| Running | ||||
| Run EPA per carry | +0.01#7 | -0.07#21 | -0.08 | |
| Yards per carry | 4.9#4 | 4.5#24 | 4.1 | |
| Money downs | ||||
| 3rd down conversion | 47%#5 | 40%#13 | 41% | |
| Red zone TD rate | 69%#6 | 83%#31 | 61% | |
| Targets by position | ||||
| WR yards per game | 160#10 | 127#7 | 147 | |
| TE yards per game | 66#6 | 45#8 | 55 | |
| TE targets per game | 10.1#4 | 8.1#24 | 7.6 | |
| RB receiving yards per game | 43#8 | 21#5 | 32 | |
Rams: EPA per throw
Giants: EPA allowed per throw
Green gains more than expected, red loses value. Cells with fewer than 5 throws are grayed out.