2026
Week 6 · Sunday 1:00 PM ET · MetLife Stadium
vs
Giants offensevsSaints defense
Season numbers through Week 8: 7 games for Giants, 7 for Saints. Ranks are out of 32; #1 is the best offense or the stingiest defense.
The Saints won 34–27 from as low as 23% (Q2 3:18, down 7–0). The game turned for good at Q2 1:18: D.Carlson kicks 60 yards from NO 35 to NYG 5. C.Jones to NYG 27 for 22 yards (I.Stalbird). FUMBLES (I.Stalbird), RECOVERED by NO-O.Delp at NYG 28 (35% → 51%).
The plays that swung it
- 1Q2 1:18NOD.Carlson kicks 60 yards from NO 35 to NYG 5. C.Jones to NYG 27 for 22 yards (I.Stalbird). FUMBLES (I.Stalbird), RECOVERED by NO-O.Delp at NYG 28.turning point35% → 51%
- 2Q2 0:05NOT.Shough pass short middle to B.Lance for 2 yards, TOUCHDOWN.53% → 63%
- 3Q2 1:23NOD.Carlson 58 yard field goal is GOOD26% → 35%
- 4Q1 5:23NYGJ.Winston pass short right to T.Tracy for 17 yards, TOUCHDOWN [C.Jordan].49% → 58%
- 5Q2 1:11NOT.Shough scrambles right end to NYG 3 for 25 yards (T.Edmunds; G.Newsome).51% → 59%
Win probability is nflverse's model, which starts from the betting line and updates before every snap with the score, the clock, down, distance, field position and timeouts. A swing is the change in one team's chance across a play, in percentage points. The turning point is the play after which the winner never fell to 50% again.
T.Shough led the Saints at +3.9 EPA (16 of 30 for 144). J.McCarthy led the Giants at +5.3 EPA (11 of 21 for 243).
Saints
| Passing | C/A | Yds | TD | INT | Sk | EPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| T.Shough97% | 16/30 | 144 | 3 | -0.5 |
| Rushing | Car | Share | Yds | TD | EPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K.Miller44% | 20 | 53% | 70 | -4.1 | |
| A.Kamara26% | 7 | 18% | 34 | +0.1 | |
| C.Donaldson33% | 6 | 16% | 39 | -2.3 | |
| T.Shough97% | 5 | 13% | 32 | 1 | +4.4 |
| Receiving | Tgt | Share | Rec | Yds | TD | EPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| C.Olave58% | 7 | 23% | 4 | 43 | 1 | +1.1 |
| D.Vele92% | 6 | 20% | 3 | 42 | -0.6 | |
| A.Kamara26% | 4 | 13% | 2 | 35 | 1 | +1.9 |
| B.Lance50% | 4 | 13% | 2 | 9 | 1 | +2.0 |
| J.Johnson58% | 2 | 7% | 0 | 0 | -1.9 | |
| K.Miller44% | 2 | 7% | 2 | 0 | -1.6 | |
| O.Delp43% | 2 | 7% | 2 | 10 | -0.2 | |
| N.Fant58% | 1 | 3% | 0 | 0 | -0.5 | |
| B.Brown26% | 1 | 3% | 1 | 5 | -0.5 | |
| C.Donaldson33% | 1 | 3% | 0 | 0 | -0.3 |
Defense M.Emerson 2 INT, C.Granderson 1.5 sacks, J.Blackmon 1 INT, C.Young 1.5 sacks · Kicking D.Carlson 2/3 FG (long 58)
Giants
| Passing | C/A | Yds | TD | INT | Sk | EPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J.Winston60% | 14/26 | 152 | 1 | 2 | 4 | -12.0 |
| J.McCarthy40% | 11/21 | 243 | 1 | 1 | 1 | +5.0 |
| Rushing | Car | Share | Yds | TD | EPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| T.Jr.38% | 6 | 30% | 18 | 1 | +0.4 |
| D.Singletary40% | 4 | 20% | 14 | -0.4 | |
| N.Harris14% | 4 | 20% | 2 | -3.0 | |
| J.Winston60% | 3 | 15% | 4 | +2.6 | |
| J.McCarthy40% | 2 | 10% | 26 | +0.3 | |
| D.Mooney36% | 1 | 5% | 20 | +1.5 |
| Receiving | Tgt | Share | Rec | Yds | TD | EPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M.Nabers86% | 15 | 35% | 12 | 165 | +2.4 | |
| I.Likely91% | 11 | 26% | 6 | 99 | 1 | -1.4 |
| M.Fields94% | 8 | 19% | 2 | 19 | -5.8 | |
| C.Jones26% | 3 | 7% | 2 | 66 | +4.2 | |
| T.Jr.38% | 3 | 7% | 2 | 27 | 1 | +2.1 |
| D.Mooney36% | 2 | 5% | 0 | 0 | -1.0 | |
| D.Singletary40% | 1 | 2% | 1 | 19 | +0.8 |
Defense no sacks or interceptions · Kicking D.Zvada 2/2 FG (long 41)
Each player's line for this game from nflverse's weekly stats; the percentage beside his name is his share of the offense's snaps. Share is his part of the team's carries or targets in this game. Defense lists sacks and interceptions; kicking lists field goals.
Tight ends feast
Saints give up 8.9 targets a game to tight ends (28th), against a league average of 7.6. Giants' tight ends produce 10.4 (3rd).
Deep left is open
Saints are worst against deep left throws, allowing +1.21 EPA per attempt. Giants send 8% of their throws there. That is a small part of their offense so far.
Pressure problem
Giants take a sack on 8% of dropbacks (25th). Saints get home on 7% (11th). League average is 7%.
Explosive play rate
Call this one even. Giants create explosive plays on 9% of snaps (20th). Saints give them up at 11% (28th).
The Saints lead the series 10–6 since 1999. They have won the last 4. This game is the latest meeting.
The last 5
| 2026 · Wk 6 | NO 34 at NYG 27 |
| 2025 · Wk 5 | NYG 14 at NO 26 |
| 2024 · Wk 14 | NO 14 at NYG 11 |
| 2023 · Wk 15 | NYG 6 at NO 24 |
| 2021 · Wk 4 · OT | NYG 27 at NO 21 |
2026 records
| Saints | Giants | |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 2–5 | 4–2–1 |
| Division | 0–1 | 1–0–1 |
| Conference | 1–3 | 2–2–1 |
| Other conference | 1–2 | 2–0 |
| Home | 0–4 | 3–1 |
| Away | 2–1 | 1–1–1 |
| Last 5 | LLLWL | WWTLW |
| Streak | Lost 1 | Won 1 |
| Points a game | 23.1 – 27.7 | 23.3 – 23.0 |
Every meeting since 1999, regular season and playoffs, from nflverse's game list, which starts in 1999; the all-time series goes back further. Franchises that moved count as one team (the Raiders, Chargers and Rams). Home and away are from the Saints' side. Records are this regular season.
| Stat | NYG off | Favors NYG · Favors NO | NO def allows | NFL avg |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Overall | ||||
| EPA per play | +0.01#16 | +0.08#27 | +0.00 | |
| Success rate | 42%#20 | 49%#31 | 44% | |
| Yards per play | 5.4#17 | 6.0#28 | 5.4 | |
| Explosive play rate | 9%#20 | 11%#28 | 9% | |
| Passing | ||||
| Pass EPA per dropback | +0.05#17 | +0.09#23 | +0.03 | |
| Sack rate | 8%#25 | 7%#11 | 7% | |
| Running | ||||
| Run EPA per carry | -0.08#17 | +0.04#31 | -0.08 | |
| Yards per carry | 4.0#17 | 4.8#30 | 4.1 | |
| Money downs | ||||
| 3rd down conversion | 43%#12 | 51%#30 | 41% | |
| Red zone TD rate | 67%#11 | 60%#15 | 61% | |
| Targets by position | ||||
| WR yards per game | 147#16 | 144#16 | 147 | |
| TE yards per game | 68#5 | 68#27 | 55 | |
| TE targets per game | 10.4#3 | 8.9#28 | 7.6 | |
| RB receiving yards per game | 27#21 | 38#24 | 32 | |
Giants: EPA per throw
Saints: EPA allowed per throw
Green gains more than expected, red loses value. Cells with fewer than 5 throws are grayed out.