2026
Week 7 · Sunday 1:00 PM ET · Nissan Stadium
vs
Browns offensevsTitans defense
Season numbers through Week 8: 8 games for Browns, 8 for Titans. Ranks are out of 32; #1 is the best offense or the stingiest defense.
The Browns won 27–24 from as low as 23% (Q1 7:52, down 14–0). The game turned for good at Q4 10:55: C.Ward pass short left to W.Robinson to CLE 17 for no gain (G.Delpit). CLE-G.Delpit was injured during the play (49% → 51%). The biggest single swing came at Q4 0:28, 22 points for the Browns.
The plays that swung it
- 1Q4 0:28CLED.Watson pass short left to H.Fannin to TEN 19 for 36 yards (K.Winston).66% → 88%
- 2Q4 1:13TENC.Ward pass deep left to C.Tate pushed ob at CLE 1 for 18 yards (M.Harden).14% → 30%
- 3Q4 2:33TENC.Ward pass deep middle to E.Ayomanor to CLE 17 for 26 yards (R.Hickman) [S.Williams].9% → 23%
- 4Q1 10:47TEND.Watson pass short left intended for D.Boston INTERCEPTED by C.Flott at CLE 38. C.Flott to CLE 24 for 14 yards (D.Boston).58% → 71%
- 5Q4 14:09TENA.Szmyt 43 yard field goal is No Good, Hit Right Upright24% → 36%
- ★Q4 10:55CLEC.Ward pass short left to W.Robinson to CLE 17 for no gain (G.Delpit). CLE-G.Delpit was injured during the play.turning point49% → 51%
Win probability is nflverse's model, which starts from the betting line and updates before every snap with the score, the clock, down, distance, field position and timeouts. A swing is the change in one team's chance across a play, in percentage points. The turning point is the play after which the winner never fell to 50% again.
K.Concepcion led the Browns at +7.6 EPA (8 catches for 129). C.Ward led the Titans at +5.3 EPA (20 of 31 for 181).
Browns
| Passing | C/A | Yds | TD | INT | Sk | EPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D.Watson100% | 25/36 | 308 | 1 | 1 | +4.6 |
| Rushing | Car | Share | Yds | TD | EPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Q.Judkins53% | 17 | 59% | 96 | 2 | +3.7 |
| D.Sampson46% | 6 | 21% | 45 | +1.3 | |
| D.Watson100% | 3 | 10% | 19 | 1 | +2.7 |
| K.Concepcion79% | 3 | 10% | 23 | -0.2 |
| Receiving | Tgt | Share | Rec | Yds | TD | EPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K.Concepcion79% | 10 | 29% | 8 | 129 | +7.8 | |
| H.Jr.83% | 9 | 26% | 6 | 91 | -0.6 | |
| D.Boston87% | 8 | 23% | 3 | 27 | -7.1 | |
| J.Jeudy61% | 4 | 11% | 4 | 21 | +0.3 | |
| D.Sampson46% | 3 | 9% | 3 | 32 | +2.6 | |
| Q.Judkins53% | 1 | 3% | 1 | 8 | +0.5 |
Defense D.Ward 1 INT, A.Huntington 1 sack · Kicking A.Szmyt 2/3 FG (long 32)
Titans
| Passing | C/A | Yds | TD | INT | Sk | EPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| C.Ward100% | 20/31 | 181 | 1 | 1 | +5.9 |
| Rushing | Car | Share | Yds | TD | EPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| T.Pollard75% | 25 | 83% | 129 | 3 | -2.7 |
| M.Carter25% | 3 | 10% | 7 | -0.9 | |
| C.Ward100% | 2 | 7% | 5 | -0.6 |
| Receiving | Tgt | Share | Rec | Yds | TD | EPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| E.Ayomanor89% | 7 | 23% | 3 | 44 | +2.6 | |
| C.Tate89% | 7 | 23% | 5 | 69 | +2.1 | |
| W.Robinson60% | 6 | 20% | 4 | 7 | -4.3 | |
| G.Helm84% | 4 | 13% | 3 | 24 | +1.4 | |
| T.Pollard75% | 3 | 10% | 3 | 26 | +1.4 | |
| D.Bellinger48% | 2 | 7% | 1 | 4 | -2.3 | |
| M.Carter25% | 1 | 3% | 1 | 7 | +1.0 |
Defense C.Flott 1 INT, O.Oladejo 1 sack · Kicking J.Slye 1/1 FG (long 29)
Each player's line for this game from nflverse's weekly stats; the percentage beside his name is his share of the offense's snaps. Share is his part of the team's carries or targets in this game. Defense lists sacks and interceptions; kicking lists field goals.
Backs catch passes
Titans give up 35 yards a game to running backs (20th), against a league average of 32. Browns' running backs produce 40 (9th).
Deep left is open
Titans are worst against deep left throws, allowing +0.65 EPA per attempt. Browns send 7% of their throws there. That is a small part of their offense so far.
Pressure problem
Browns take a sack on 12% of dropbacks (32nd). Titans get home on 7% (15th). League average is 7%.
EPA per play
Call this one even. Browns average -0.08 EPA per play (25th). Titans allow +0.07 (25th). League average is +0.00.
The Titans lead the series 11–8 since 1999. This game is the latest meeting.
The last 5
| 2026 · Wk 7 | CLE 27 at TEN 24 |
| 2025 · Wk 14 | TEN 31 at CLE 29 |
| 2023 · Wk 3 | TEN 3 at CLE 27 |
| 2020 · Wk 13 | CLE 41 at TEN 35 |
| 2019 · Wk 1 | TEN 43 at CLE 13 |
2026 records
| Browns | Titans | |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 5–3 | 1–7 |
| Division | 2–1 | 1–1 |
| Conference | 3–3 | 1–5 |
| Other conference | 2–0 | 0–2 |
| Home | 3–0 | 0–4 |
| Away | 2–3 | 1–3 |
| Last 5 | WLWWL | LLWLL |
| Streak | Lost 1 | Lost 2 |
| Points a game | 17.4 – 21.6 | 18.0 – 24.9 |
Every meeting since 1999, regular season and playoffs, from nflverse's game list, which starts in 1999; the all-time series goes back further. Franchises that moved count as one team (the Raiders, Chargers and Rams). Home and away are from the Browns' side. Records are this regular season.
| Stat | CLE off | Favors CLE · Favors TEN | TEN def allows | NFL avg |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Overall | ||||
| EPA per play | -0.08#25 | +0.07#25 | +0.00 | |
| Success rate | 42%#18 | 47%#29 | 44% | |
| Yards per play | 5.1#23 | 5.9#26 | 5.4 | |
| Explosive play rate | 8%#24 | 10%#24 | 9% | |
| Passing | ||||
| Pass EPA per dropback | -0.06#23 | +0.18#28 | +0.03 | |
| Sack rate | 12%#32 | 7%#15 | 7% | |
| Running | ||||
| Run EPA per carry | -0.19#27 | -0.07#20 | -0.08 | |
| Yards per carry | 3.6#27 | 4.1#17 | 4.1 | |
| Money downs | ||||
| 3rd down conversion | 32%#30 | 44%#24 | 41% | |
| Red zone TD rate | 47%#31 | 67%#21 | 61% | |
| Targets by position | ||||
| WR yards per game | 129#23 | 195#30 | 147 | |
| TE yards per game | 57#16 | 43#6 | 55 | |
| TE targets per game | 7.0#20 | 7.0#13 | 7.6 | |
| RB receiving yards per game | 40#9 | 35#20 | 32 | |
Browns: EPA per throw
Titans: EPA allowed per throw
Green gains more than expected, red loses value. Cells with fewer than 5 throws are grayed out.