2026
Week 8 · Sunday 4:05 PM ET · SoFi Stadium
vs
Chargers offensevsRams defense
Season numbers through Week 8: 7 games for Chargers, 8 for Rams. Ranks are out of 32; #1 is the best offense or the stingiest defense.
The Rams won 24–9; their low point was 44% at Q2 3:08. The game turned for good at Q2 1:55: C.Dicker kicks 59 yards from LAC 35 to LA 6. A.Bachman to LA 34 for 28 yards (R.Mickens) (46% → 51%). The biggest single swing came at Q1 7:22, 17 points for the Rams.
The plays that swung it
- 1Q1 7:22LAJ.Herbert pass short right intended for C.Kolar INTERCEPTED by Q.Lake at LA 36. Q.Lake to LAC 19 for 45 yards (Q.Johnston). Penalty on…67% → 84%
- 2Q2 0:22LAK.Williams right tackle for 1 yard, TOUCHDOWN.63% → 73%
- 3Q3 4:37LAJ.Herbert pass short right intended for C.Kolar INTERCEPTED by T.McDuffie at LAC 48. T.McDuffie to LAC 22 for 26 yards (Q.Johnston).85% → 95%
- 4Q2 4:19LACJ.Herbert pass short right to O.Gadsden pushed ob at LA 30 for 15 yards (K.Curl).46% → 54%
- 5Q1 3:55LACJ.Herbert pass short left to L.McConkey to LA 35 for 30 yards (Q.Lake).22% → 28%
- ★Q2 1:55LAC.Dicker kicks 59 yards from LAC 35 to LA 6. A.Bachman to LA 34 for 28 yards (R.Mickens).turning point46% → 51%
Win probability is nflverse's model, which starts from the betting line and updates before every snap with the score, the clock, down, distance, field position and timeouts. A swing is the change in one team's chance across a play, in percentage points. The turning point is the play after which the winner never fell to 50% again.
T.Harris led the Chargers at +3.0 EPA (3 catches for 31). P.Nacua led the Rams at +2.7 EPA (11 catches for 80).
Chargers
| Passing | C/A | Yds | TD | INT | Sk | EPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J.Herbert100% | 24/32 | 257 | 2 | 2 | -16.2 |
| Rushing | Car | Share | Yds | TD | EPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| O.Hampton30% | 9 | 36% | 20 | -4.9 | |
| K.Vidal46% | 8 | 32% | 23 | -2.5 | |
| J.Herbert100% | 4 | 16% | 15 | -0.8 | |
| K.Mitchell31% | 4 | 16% | 6 | -1.9 |
| Receiving | Tgt | Share | Rec | Yds | TD | EPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| L.McConkey90% | 6 | 20% | 4 | 86 | -2.5 | |
| O.II48% | 5 | 17% | 5 | 52 | +2.2 | |
| C.Kolar62% | 4 | 13% | 1 | 20 | -13.3 | |
| Q.Johnston82% | 4 | 13% | 4 | 37 | +1.7 | |
| K.Mitchell31% | 3 | 10% | 3 | 17 | -0.1 | |
| O.Hampton30% | 3 | 10% | 2 | 7 | -1.2 | |
| T.Harris51% | 3 | 10% | 3 | 31 | +3.0 | |
| K.Vidal46% | 2 | 7% | 2 | 7 | -1.4 |
Defense T.Still 1 INT, T.Tuipulotu 1 sack · Kicking C.Dicker 3/3 FG (long 46)
Rams
| Passing | C/A | Yds | TD | INT | Sk | EPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M.Stafford100% | 17/25 | 157 | 1 | 1 | 1 | -4.8 |
| Rushing | Car | Share | Yds | TD | EPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K.Williams69% | 16 | 59% | 56 | 1 | -0.9 |
| B.Corum31% | 11 | 41% | 73 | 1 | +2.1 |
| Receiving | Tgt | Share | Rec | Yds | TD | EPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| P.Nacua96% | 12 | 48% | 11 | 80 | 1 | +2.7 |
| T.Atwell39% | 4 | 16% | 2 | 52 | +0.9 | |
| T.Higbee83% | 2 | 8% | 1 | 14 | -0.2 | |
| D.Allen74% | 2 | 8% | 2 | 8 | +0.6 | |
| K.Mumpfield50% | 2 | 8% | 0 | 0 | -6.2 | |
| K.Williams69% | 1 | 4% | 1 | 3 | +0.2 | |
| B.Corum31% | 1 | 4% | 0 | 0 | -0.5 | |
| J.Whittington7% | 1 | 4% | 0 | 0 | -0.9 |
Defense T.McDuffie 1 INT, Q.Lake 1 INT, J.Stewart 1 sack, W.Bailey 1 sack · Kicking B.McManus 1/1 FG (long 30)
Each player's line for this game from nflverse's weekly stats; the percentage beside his name is his share of the offense's snaps. Share is his part of the team's carries or targets in this game. Defense lists sacks and interceptions; kicking lists field goals.
Backs catch passes
Rams give up 43 yards a game to running backs (28th), against a league average of 32. Chargers' running backs produce 31 (15th).
Short middle is open
Rams are worst against short middle throws, allowing +0.24 EPA per attempt. Chargers send 18% of their throws there.
Passing lanes are closed
Chargers gain -0.30 EPA per dropback (32nd). Rams allow -0.12 (4th).
Explosive play rate
Call this one even. Chargers create explosive plays on 8% of snaps (25th). Rams give them up at 8% (7th).
The Rams lead the series 5–3 since 1999 (they first met in 2000). This game is the latest meeting.
The last 5
| 2026 · Wk 8 | LAC 9 at LA 24 |
| 2022 · Wk 17 | LA 10 at LAC 31 |
| 2018 · Wk 3 | LAC 23 at LA 35 |
| 2014 · Wk 12 | LA 24 at LAC 27 |
| 2010 · Wk 6 | LAC 17 at LA 20 |
2026 records
| Chargers | Rams | |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 0–7 | 4–4 |
| Division | 0–3 | 0–2 |
| Conference | 0–4 | 2–2 |
| Other conference | 0–3 | 2–2 |
| Home | 0–3 | 2–3 |
| Away | 0–4 | 2–1 |
| Last 5 | LLLLL | WLLWW |
| Streak | Lost 7 | Won 2 |
| Points a game | 14.1 – 25.0 | 24.3 – 21.0 |
Every meeting since 1999, regular season and playoffs, from nflverse's game list, which starts in 1999; the all-time series goes back further. Franchises that moved count as one team (the Raiders, Chargers and Rams). Home and away are from the Chargers' side. Records are this regular season.
| Stat | LAC off | Favors LAC · Favors LA | LA def allows | NFL avg |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Overall | ||||
| EPA per play | -0.26#32 | -0.11#4 | +0.00 | |
| Success rate | 35%#32 | 40%#5 | 44% | |
| Yards per play | 4.7#30 | 5.0#5 | 5.4 | |
| Explosive play rate | 8%#25 | 8%#7 | 9% | |
| Passing | ||||
| Pass EPA per dropback | -0.30#32 | -0.12#4 | +0.03 | |
| Sack rate | 10%#28 | 4%#27 | 7% | |
| Running | ||||
| Run EPA per carry | -0.23#31 | -0.16#4 | -0.08 | |
| Yards per carry | 3.7#23 | 3.5#6 | 4.1 | |
| Money downs | ||||
| 3rd down conversion | 37%#27 | 33%#6 | 41% | |
| Red zone TD rate | 50%#29 | 44%#5 | 61% | |
| Targets by position | ||||
| WR yards per game | 122#27 | 112#2 | 147 | |
| TE yards per game | 47#22 | 46#9 | 55 | |
| TE targets per game | 7.4#17 | 8.4#25 | 7.6 | |
| RB receiving yards per game | 31#15 | 43#28 | 32 | |
Chargers: EPA per throw
Rams: EPA allowed per throw
Green gains more than expected, red loses value. Cells with fewer than 5 throws are grayed out.