DOWN X DOWN › week 8 › Chargers at Rams
Updated Nov 3, 9:16 AM ET
2026
2026this season2025final

Week 8 · Sunday 4:05 PM ET · SoFi Stadium

LAvsLAC

Rams offensevsChargers defense

Season numbers through Week 8: 8 games for Rams, 7 for Chargers. Ranks are out of 32; #1 is the best offense or the stingiest defense.

LAC offenseLA offense
How it played out · win probability, snap by snapFinal · LAC 9 · LA 24

The Rams won 24–9; their low point was 44% at Q2 3:08. The game turned for good at Q2 1:55: C.Dicker kicks 59 yards from LAC 35 to LA 6. A.Bachman to LA 34 for 28 yards (R.Mickens) (46% → 51%). The biggest single swing came at Q1 7:22, 17 points for the Rams.

At kickoffLA 75%LA by 6.5 on the line
LA low point44%Q2 3:08 · down 6⁠–⁠3
Swings past 50%4times the favorite changed
Biggest swing17 ptsLA · Q1 7:22
LA wins50%LAC wins
Q1Q2Q3Q4

The plays that swung it

  1. 1Q1 7:22LAJ.Herbert pass short right intended for C.Kolar INTERCEPTED by Q.Lake at LA 36. Q.Lake to LAC 19 for 45 yards (Q.Johnston). Penalty on…67% → 84%+17
  2. 2Q2 0:22LAK.Williams right tackle for 1 yard, TOUCHDOWN.63% → 73%+10
  3. 3Q3 4:37LAJ.Herbert pass short right intended for C.Kolar INTERCEPTED by T.McDuffie at LAC 48. T.McDuffie to LAC 22 for 26 yards (Q.Johnston).85% → 95%+9
  4. 4Q2 4:19LACJ.Herbert pass short right to O.Gadsden pushed ob at LA 30 for 15 yards (K.Curl).46% → 54%+8
  5. 5Q1 3:55LACJ.Herbert pass short left to L.McConkey to LA 35 for 30 yards (Q.Lake).22% → 28%+6
  6. ★Q2 1:55LAC.Dicker kicks 59 yards from LAC 35 to LA 6. A.Bachman to LA 34 for 28 yards (R.Mickens).turning point46% → 51%+5

Win probability is nflverse's model, which starts from the betting line and updates before every snap with the score, the clock, down, distance, field position and timeouts. A swing is the change in one team's chance across a play, in percentage points. The turning point is the play after which the winner never fell to 50% again.

Box score · every offensive player who touched the ballWeek 8

T.Harris led the Chargers at +3.0 EPA (3 catches for 31). P.Nacua led the Rams at +2.7 EPA (11 catches for 80).

LAC Chargers

PassingC/AYdsTDINTSkEPA
J.Herbert100%24/3225722-16.2
RushingCarShareYdsTDEPA
O.Hampton30%936%20-4.9
K.Vidal46%832%23-2.5
J.Herbert100%416%15-0.8
K.Mitchell31%416%6-1.9
ReceivingTgtShareRecYdsTDEPA
L.McConkey90%620%486-2.5
O.II48%517%552+2.2
C.Kolar62%413%120-13.3
Q.Johnston82%413%437+1.7
K.Mitchell31%310%317-0.1
O.Hampton30%310%27-1.2
T.Harris51%310%331+3.0
K.Vidal46%27%27-1.4

Defense T.Still 1 INT, T.Tuipulotu 1 sack · Kicking C.Dicker 3/3 FG (long 46)

LA Rams

PassingC/AYdsTDINTSkEPA
M.Stafford100%17/25157111-4.8
RushingCarShareYdsTDEPA
K.Williams69%1659%561-0.9
B.Corum31%1141%731+2.1
ReceivingTgtShareRecYdsTDEPA
P.Nacua96%1248%11801+2.7
T.Atwell39%416%252+0.9
T.Higbee83%28%114-0.2
D.Allen74%28%28+0.6
K.Mumpfield50%28%00-6.2
K.Williams69%14%13+0.2
B.Corum31%14%00-0.5
J.Whittington7%14%00-0.9

Defense T.McDuffie 1 INT, Q.Lake 1 INT, J.Stewart 1 sack, W.Bailey 1 sack · Kicking B.McManus 1/1 FG (long 30)

Each player's line for this game from nflverse's weekly stats; the percentage beside his name is his share of the offense's snaps. Share is his part of the team's carries or targets in this game. Defense lists sacks and interceptions; kicking lists field goals.

Keys to the game · from the season numbers, not this game alone4 reads
01
Biggest edge

Clean pockets

Rams take a sack on 4% of dropbacks (5th). Chargers get home on 6% (23rd). League average is 7%.

02
Opportunity

Deep left is open

Chargers are worst against deep left throws, allowing +0.21 EPA per attempt. Rams send 7% of their throws there. That is a small part of their offense so far.

03
Watch out

Passing lanes are closed

Rams gain +0.07 EPA per dropback (15th). Chargers allow -0.02 (11th).

04
Wash

EPA per play

Call this one even. Rams average +0.05 EPA per play (10th). Chargers allow -0.04 (9th). League average is +0.00.

The series · Chargers and Rams since 1999, and this season's records8 meetings

The Rams lead the series 5–3 since 1999 (they first met in 2000). This game is the latest meeting.

Chargers at home3–0the Chargers' record
In Los Angeles0–5the Chargers' record
Most pointsChargers 38 · Rams 572006 · 2000
Biggest winChargers by 21 · Rams by 262022 · 2000

The last 5

2026 · Wk 8LAC 9 at LA 24
2022 · Wk 17LA 10 at LAC 31
2018 · Wk 3LAC 23 at LA 35
2014 · Wk 12LA 24 at LAC 27
2010 · Wk 6LAC 17 at LA 20

2026 records

ChargersRams
Overall0–74–4
Division0–30–2
Conference0–42–2
Other conference0–32–2
Home0–32–3
Away0–42–1
Last 5LLLLLWLLWW
StreakLost 7Won 2
Points a game14.1 – 25.024.3 – 21.0

Every meeting since 1999, regular season and playoffs, from nflverse's game list, which starts in 1999; the all-time series goes back further. Franchises that moved count as one team (the Raiders, Chargers and Rams). Home and away are from the Chargers' side. Records are this regular season.

Head to head · LA offense against LAC defense
StatLA LA offFavors LA · Favors LACLAC LAC def allowsNFL avg
Overall
EPA per play
+0.05#10
-0.04#9+0.00
Success rate
49%#5
44%#1944%
Yards per play
5.9#8
5.6#205.4
Explosive play rate
8%#23
10%#179%
Passing
Pass EPA per dropback
+0.07#15
-0.02#11+0.03
Sack rate
4%#5
6%#237%
Running
Run EPA per carry
+0.01#7
-0.06#23-0.08
Yards per carry
4.9#4
4.3#214.1
Money downs
3rd down conversion
47%#5
31%#341%
Red zone TD rate
69%#6
52%#1061%
Targets by position
WR yards per game
160#10
133#12147
TE yards per game
66#6
52#1655
TE targets per game
10.1#4
6.0#37.6
RB receiving yards per game
43#8
22#732
Where the ball goes · EPA per throwDeep is 15+ air yds

Rams: EPA per throw

Left
Middle
Right
Deep
+0.067% of throws
-0.083% of throws
-0.059% of throws
Short
+0.2028% of throws
+0.2718% of throws
+0.0936% of throws

Chargers: EPA allowed per throw

Left
Middle
Right
Deep
+0.2111 throws
3too few
+1.197 throws
Short
+0.1060 throws
-0.0942 throws
+0.0073 throws

Green gains more than expected, red loses value. Cells with fewer than 5 throws are grayed out.