2026
Week 8 · Sunday 1:00 PM ET · Paycor Stadium
vs
Titans offensevsBengals defense
Season numbers through Week 8: 8 games for Titans, 7 for Bengals. Ranks are out of 32; #1 is the best offense or the stingiest defense.
The Bengals won 43–36 from as low as 21% (Q4 3:40, down 36–29). Tied 36–36 after regulation, they won it in overtime at OT 7:00: E.McPherson extra point is GOOD. The biggest single swing came at Q4 3:50, 25 points for the Titans.
The plays that swung it
- 1Q4 3:50TENC.Ward pass short right to W.Robinson for 15 yards, TOUCHDOWN.46% → 71%
- 2Q4 0:32CINC.Ward sacked at TEN 42 for -13 yards (D.Lawrence).41% → 65%
- 3Q4 8:02CINJ.Burrow pass deep right to J.Chase to TEN 25 for 23 yards (T.Adams) [J.Martin].43% → 61%
- 4Q2 3:12TENJ.Burrow sacked at TEN 20 for -15 yards (J.Martin).24% → 39%
- 5Q4 0:11TENC.Brown left guard to CIN 24 for 8 yards (A.Hill).36% → 50%
Win probability is nflverse's model, which starts from the betting line and updates before every snap with the score, the clock, down, distance, field position and timeouts. A swing is the change in one team's chance across a play, in percentage points. The turning point is the play after which the winner never fell to 50% again. The model does not hold together under the current overtime rules, so the chart covers regulation and overtime shows its scoring plays.
C.Ward led the Titans at +14.3 EPA (26 of 40 for 304). J.Burrow led the Bengals at +16.2 EPA (38 of 48 for 462).
Titans
| Passing | C/A | Yds | TD | INT | Sk | EPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| C.Ward100% | 26/40 | 304 | 2 | 2 | +8.7 |
| Rushing | Car | Share | Yds | TD | EPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| T.Pollard82% | 21 | 75% | 117 | 2 | +0.7 |
| C.Ward100% | 7 | 25% | 41 | +5.6 |
| Receiving | Tgt | Share | Rec | Yds | TD | EPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G.Helm64% | 9 | 23% | 5 | 76 | +4.8 | |
| W.Robinson94% | 7 | 18% | 6 | 57 | 1 | +1.3 |
| C.Dike82% | 6 | 15% | 5 | 71 | 1 | +3.6 |
| T.Pollard82% | 5 | 13% | 3 | 20 | -0.7 | |
| E.Ayomanor65% | 5 | 13% | 3 | 34 | +2.2 | |
| D.Bellinger40% | 4 | 10% | 3 | 36 | +2.4 | |
| C.Ridley52% | 3 | 8% | 1 | 10 | -0.2 |
Defense A.Hooker 3 INT, J.Martin 3 sacks · Kicking J.Slye 2/2 FG (long 46)
Bengals
| Passing | C/A | Yds | TD | INT | Sk | EPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J.Burrow100% | 38/48 | 462 | 5 | 3 | 3 | +17.0 |
| Rushing | Car | Share | Yds | TD | EPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| C.Brown69% | 12 | 63% | 55 | -5.9 | |
| S.Perine35% | 4 | 21% | 10 | +0.2 | |
| J.Burrow100% | 3 | 16% | 10 | 1 | -0.8 |
| Receiving | Tgt | Share | Rec | Yds | TD | EPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J.Chase96% | 16 | 34% | 11 | 141 | 1 | +4.3 |
| T.Higgins88% | 11 | 23% | 10 | 155 | 2 | +14.9 |
| C.Brown69% | 9 | 19% | 8 | 46 | -0.8 | |
| M.Gesicki68% | 6 | 13% | 4 | 76 | 1 | +0.7 |
| D.Meyers59% | 3 | 6% | 3 | 34 | +2.4 | |
| S.Perine35% | 1 | 2% | 1 | 9 | +0.6 | |
| J.Endries16% | 1 | 2% | 1 | 1 | 1 | +1.4 |
Defense D.Lawrence 1 sack, B.Mafe 1 sack
Each player's line for this game from nflverse's weekly stats; the percentage beside his name is his share of the offense's snaps. Share is his part of the team's carries or targets in this game. Defense lists sacks and interceptions; kicking lists field goals.
Ground game edge
Titans average 4.2 yards per carry (13th). Bengals allow 4.4 (23rd).
Deep middle is open
Bengals are worst against deep middle throws, allowing +0.84 EPA per attempt. Titans send 3% of their throws there. That is a small part of their offense so far.
Field goals, not touchdowns
Titans score a touchdown on 52% of red zone trips (24th). Bengals allow 42% (3rd).
Yards per play
Call this one even. Titans gain 4.9 yards per play (28th). Bengals give up 5.8 (25th), with the league at 5.4.
The series is even at 10–10 since 1999. The Bengals have won the last 2. This game is the latest meeting.
The last 5
| 2026 · Wk 8 · OT | TEN 36 at CIN 43 |
| 2024 · Wk 15 | CIN 37 at TEN 27 |
| 2023 · Wk 4 | CIN 3 at TEN 27 |
| 2022 · Wk 12 | CIN 20 at TEN 16 |
| 2021 · Wk 20 · playoffs | CIN 19 at TEN 16 |
2026 records
| Titans | Bengals | |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 1–7 | 5–2 |
| Division | 1–1 | 1–1 |
| Conference | 1–5 | 4–2 |
| Other conference | 0–2 | 1–0 |
| Home | 0–4 | 2–1 |
| Away | 1–3 | 3–1 |
| Last 5 | LLWLL | LLWWW |
| Streak | Lost 2 | Won 3 |
| Points a game | 18.0 – 24.9 | 29.4 – 22.6 |
Every meeting since 1999, regular season and playoffs, from nflverse's game list, which starts in 1999; the all-time series goes back further. Franchises that moved count as one team (the Raiders, Chargers and Rams). Home and away are from the Titans' side. Records are this regular season.
| Stat | TEN off | Favors TEN · Favors CIN | CIN def allows | NFL avg |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Overall | ||||
| EPA per play | -0.10#27 | -0.01#15 | +0.00 | |
| Success rate | 41%#23 | 44%#17 | 44% | |
| Yards per play | 4.9#28 | 5.8#25 | 5.4 | |
| Explosive play rate | 7%#28 | 11%#29 | 9% | |
| Passing | ||||
| Pass EPA per dropback | -0.13#27 | -0.01#12 | +0.03 | |
| Sack rate | 5%#9 | 9%#3 | 7% | |
| Running | ||||
| Run EPA per carry | -0.08#18 | -0.08#18 | -0.08 | |
| Yards per carry | 4.2#13 | 4.4#23 | 4.1 | |
| Money downs | ||||
| 3rd down conversion | 36%#28 | 48%#29 | 41% | |
| Red zone TD rate | 52%#24 | 42%#3 | 61% | |
| Targets by position | ||||
| WR yards per game | 138#18 | 142#15 | 147 | |
| TE yards per game | 29#30 | 89#31 | 55 | |
| TE targets per game | 5.3#27 | 9.6#30 | 7.6 | |
| RB receiving yards per game | 19#27 | 30#12 | 32 | |
Titans: EPA per throw
Bengals: EPA allowed per throw
Green gains more than expected, red loses value. Cells with fewer than 5 throws are grayed out.