2026
Week 8 · Sunday 1:00 PM ET · Paycor Stadium
vs
Bengals offensevsTitans defense
Season numbers through Week 8: 7 games for Bengals, 8 for Titans. Ranks are out of 32; #1 is the best offense or the stingiest defense.
The Bengals won 43–36 from as low as 21% (Q4 3:40, down 36–29). Tied 36–36 after regulation, they won it in overtime at OT 7:00: E.McPherson extra point is GOOD. The biggest single swing came at Q4 3:50, 25 points for the Titans.
The plays that swung it
- 1Q4 3:50TENC.Ward pass short right to W.Robinson for 15 yards, TOUCHDOWN.46% → 71%
- 2Q4 0:32CINC.Ward sacked at TEN 42 for -13 yards (D.Lawrence).41% → 65%
- 3Q4 8:02CINJ.Burrow pass deep right to J.Chase to TEN 25 for 23 yards (T.Adams) [J.Martin].43% → 61%
- 4Q2 3:12TENJ.Burrow sacked at TEN 20 for -15 yards (J.Martin).24% → 39%
- 5Q4 0:11TENC.Brown left guard to CIN 24 for 8 yards (A.Hill).36% → 50%
Win probability is nflverse's model, which starts from the betting line and updates before every snap with the score, the clock, down, distance, field position and timeouts. A swing is the change in one team's chance across a play, in percentage points. The turning point is the play after which the winner never fell to 50% again. The model does not hold together under the current overtime rules, so the chart covers regulation and overtime shows its scoring plays.
C.Ward led the Titans at +14.3 EPA (26 of 40 for 304). J.Burrow led the Bengals at +16.2 EPA (38 of 48 for 462).
Titans
| Passing | C/A | Yds | TD | INT | Sk | EPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| C.Ward100% | 26/40 | 304 | 2 | 2 | +8.7 |
| Rushing | Car | Share | Yds | TD | EPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| T.Pollard82% | 21 | 75% | 117 | 2 | +0.7 |
| C.Ward100% | 7 | 25% | 41 | +5.6 |
| Receiving | Tgt | Share | Rec | Yds | TD | EPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G.Helm64% | 9 | 23% | 5 | 76 | +4.8 | |
| W.Robinson94% | 7 | 18% | 6 | 57 | 1 | +1.3 |
| C.Dike82% | 6 | 15% | 5 | 71 | 1 | +3.6 |
| T.Pollard82% | 5 | 13% | 3 | 20 | -0.7 | |
| E.Ayomanor65% | 5 | 13% | 3 | 34 | +2.2 | |
| D.Bellinger40% | 4 | 10% | 3 | 36 | +2.4 | |
| C.Ridley52% | 3 | 8% | 1 | 10 | -0.2 |
Defense A.Hooker 3 INT, J.Martin 3 sacks · Kicking J.Slye 2/2 FG (long 46)
Bengals
| Passing | C/A | Yds | TD | INT | Sk | EPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J.Burrow100% | 38/48 | 462 | 5 | 3 | 3 | +17.0 |
| Rushing | Car | Share | Yds | TD | EPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| C.Brown69% | 12 | 63% | 55 | -5.9 | |
| S.Perine35% | 4 | 21% | 10 | +0.2 | |
| J.Burrow100% | 3 | 16% | 10 | 1 | -0.8 |
| Receiving | Tgt | Share | Rec | Yds | TD | EPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J.Chase96% | 16 | 34% | 11 | 141 | 1 | +4.3 |
| T.Higgins88% | 11 | 23% | 10 | 155 | 2 | +14.9 |
| C.Brown69% | 9 | 19% | 8 | 46 | -0.8 | |
| M.Gesicki68% | 6 | 13% | 4 | 76 | 1 | +0.7 |
| D.Meyers59% | 3 | 6% | 3 | 34 | +2.4 | |
| S.Perine35% | 1 | 2% | 1 | 9 | +0.6 | |
| J.Endries16% | 1 | 2% | 1 | 1 | 1 | +1.4 |
Defense D.Lawrence 1 sack, B.Mafe 1 sack
Each player's line for this game from nflverse's weekly stats; the percentage beside his name is his share of the offense's snaps. Share is his part of the team's carries or targets in this game. Defense lists sacks and interceptions; kicking lists field goals.
Wideouts feast
Titans give up 195 yards a game to wide receivers (30th), against a league average of 147. Bengals' wide receivers produce 211 (1st).
Deep left is open
Titans are worst against deep left throws, allowing +0.65 EPA per attempt. Bengals send 3% of their throws there. That is a small part of their offense so far.
Tight ends go quiet
Titans give up 43 yards a game to tight ends (6th), against a league average of 55. Bengals' tight ends produce 54 (17th).
Explosive play rate
Call this one even. Bengals create explosive plays on 9% of snaps (21st). Titans give them up at 10% (25th).
The series is even at 10–10 since 1999. The Bengals have won the last 2. This game is the latest meeting.
The last 5
| 2026 · Wk 8 · OT | TEN 36 at CIN 43 |
| 2024 · Wk 15 | CIN 37 at TEN 27 |
| 2023 · Wk 4 | CIN 3 at TEN 27 |
| 2022 · Wk 12 | CIN 20 at TEN 16 |
| 2021 · Wk 20 · playoffs | CIN 19 at TEN 16 |
2026 records
| Titans | Bengals | |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 1–7 | 5–2 |
| Division | 1–1 | 1–1 |
| Conference | 1–5 | 4–2 |
| Other conference | 0–2 | 1–0 |
| Home | 0–4 | 2–1 |
| Away | 1–3 | 3–1 |
| Last 5 | LLWLL | LLWWW |
| Streak | Lost 2 | Won 3 |
| Points a game | 18.0 – 24.9 | 29.4 – 22.6 |
Every meeting since 1999, regular season and playoffs, from nflverse's game list, which starts in 1999; the all-time series goes back further. Franchises that moved count as one team (the Raiders, Chargers and Rams). Home and away are from the Titans' side. Records are this regular season.
| Stat | CIN off | Favors CIN · Favors TEN | TEN def allows | NFL avg |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Overall | ||||
| EPA per play | +0.12#5 | +0.07#25 | +0.00 | |
| Success rate | 50%#2 | 47%#29 | 44% | |
| Yards per play | 6.0#6 | 5.9#26 | 5.4 | |
| Explosive play rate | 9%#21 | 10%#25 | 9% | |
| Passing | ||||
| Pass EPA per dropback | +0.23#5 | +0.18#28 | +0.03 | |
| Sack rate | 5%#8 | 7%#14 | 7% | |
| Running | ||||
| Run EPA per carry | -0.13#22 | -0.07#20 | -0.08 | |
| Yards per carry | 3.7#26 | 4.1#17 | 4.1 | |
| Money downs | ||||
| 3rd down conversion | 55%#1 | 44%#24 | 41% | |
| Red zone TD rate | 68%#9 | 67%#22 | 61% | |
| Targets by position | ||||
| WR yards per game | 211#1 | 195#30 | 147 | |
| TE yards per game | 54#17 | 43#6 | 55 | |
| TE targets per game | 7.0#21 | 7.0#13 | 7.6 | |
| RB receiving yards per game | 37#10 | 35#21 | 32 | |
Bengals: EPA per throw
Titans: EPA allowed per throw
Green gains more than expected, red loses value. Cells with fewer than 5 throws are grayed out.