Seven upsets, six comebacks and no overtime games. The Patriots were 26% to win at kickoff, fell to 16% during the game, and still beat the Bills 29-26.
The Rams came back from 5% against the Eagles and won 24-20.
The scores
 Patriots 29, Bills 26 |
Upset · 26% at kickoff · Comeback from 16% |
 Chiefs 30, Raiders 27 |
|
 Cowboys 34, Texans 30 |
Upset · 40% at kickoff · Comeback from 14% |
 Rams 24, Eagles 20 |
Comeback from 5% |
 Giants 36, Cardinals 24 |
Upset · 41% at kickoff · Comeback from 15% |
 49ers 24, Broncos 14 |
|
 Panthers 32, Lions 26 |
Upset · 32% at kickoff · Comeback from 24% |
 Browns 27, Steelers 24 |
Upset · 42% at kickoff · Comeback from 20% |
 Colts 30, Commanders 13 |
|
 Jaguars 22, Bengals 17 |
Upset · 44% at kickoff |
 Falcons 45, Saints 24 |
Upset · 48% at kickoff |
 Packers 17, Buccaneers 14 |
Led all the way |
 Seahawks 30, Chargers 23 |
Led all the way |
 Bears 23, Jets 12 |
Led all the way |
 Vikings 15, Dolphins 10 |
Led all the way |
 Ravens 24, Titans 18 |
Led all the way |
The swing and the play
The week’s biggest swing came in the Chiefs’ game against the Raiders, with 3:35 left in the fourth quarter: P.Mahomes pass deep left to T.Thornton to LV 5 for 55 yards (T.Stukes). KC-T.Thornton was injured during the play. PENALTY on LV-Q.Walker,…. It moved the Chiefs’ chance of winning by 36 points, and they won 30-27. Open the game
The best single play by expected points was the 49ers’ against the Broncos, with 2:25 left in the fourth quarter: B.Purdy pass short left to G.Kittle for 56 yards, TOUCHDOWN. It was worth +5.50 EPA. Open the game
Best offense, best defense
The Falcons had the week’s best offense, +0.42 EPA a play in a 45-24 win over the Saints. Their usual is −0.16. The Rams had the best defense, holding the Eagles to −0.29 a play in a 24-20 win. Their usual is −0.08 allowed.
Players of the week
The top quarterback, back, receiver and tight end by expected points added.
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Bryce YoungQB · Panthers vs Lions | 29/41, 329 yds, 2 TD · 3-3 rush+18.0 EPA |
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Kyren WilliamsRB · Rams vs Eagles | 16 car, 80 yds, 2 TD · 10-67 rec+6.7 EPA |
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Tetairoa McMillanWR · Panthers vs Lions | 14/16, 192 yds, 2 TD+16.7 EPA |
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T.J. HockensonTE · Vikings vs Dolphins | 13/13, 119 yds+11.2 EPA |
Fantasy
The week’s top five in half-PPR scoring.
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Tetairoa McMillanWR · Panthers vs Lions | 38.2 half PPR |
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CeeDee LambWR · Cowboys vs Texans | 32.8 half PPR |
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Kyren WilliamsRB · Rams vs Eagles | 31.7 half PPR |
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Kenneth Walker IIIRB · Chiefs vs Raiders | 30.4 half PPR |
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Javonte WilliamsRB · Cowboys vs Texans | 28.8 half PPR |
Rising
The biggest jumps in share of the team’s targets, against their own earlier games: Darius Cooper (Eagles, 3% to 28%), CeeDee Lamb (Cowboys, 25% to 49%) and Tyquan Thornton (Chiefs, 7% to 30%).
New faces: Tyler Huntley (first game of the season for the Ravens, 48% of snaps), Devontez Walker (first start for the Ravens, 69% of snaps) and Elijah Sarratt (first game of the season for the Ravens, 36% of snaps).
Every play, every team and every player from Week 4 is on the week page.