2026
Week 2 · Sunday 4:05 PM ET · SoFi Stadium
vs
Raiders offensevsChargers defense
Season numbers through Week 8: 8 games for Raiders, 7 for Chargers. Ranks are out of 32; #1 is the best offense or the stingiest defense.
The Raiders won 26–14 from as low as 23% (Q3 8:21, down 14–10). The Chargers had been 71% favorites at kickoff. The game turned for good at Q3 3:09: K.Mitchell left tackle to LAC 32 for 1 yard (A.Butler; I.Pola-Mao) (48% → 51%). The biggest single swing came at Q4 3:52, 33 points for the Raiders.
The plays that swung it
- 1Q4 3:52LVO.Hampton up the middle to LV 46 for 2 yards (N.Dean). FUMBLES (N.Dean), RECOVERED by LV-J.Chinn at LV 41. J.Chinn to LAC 16 for 43 yards (J.Herbert).52% → 85%
- 2Q3 11:14LACJ.Herbert pass deep left to T.Harris pushed ob at LV 5 for 53 yards (J.Chinn).55% → 71%
- 3Q2 0:08LVM.Gay 59 yard field goal is GOOD40% → 55%
- 4Q3 3:59LVK.Cousins pass short right to C.White for 13 yards, TOUCHDOWN.34% → 48%
- 5Q4 3:52LAC(Run formation) PENALTY on LV, Defensive Too Many Men on Field, 6 yards, enforced at LAC 46 - No Play.35% → 48%
- ★Q3 3:09LVK.Mitchell left tackle to LAC 32 for 1 yard (A.Butler; I.Pola-Mao).turning point48% → 51%
Win probability is nflverse's model, which starts from the betting line and updates before every snap with the score, the clock, down, distance, field position and timeouts. A swing is the change in one team's chance across a play, in percentage points. The turning point is the play after which the winner never fell to 50% again.
C.White led the Raiders at +5.9 EPA (2 catches for 24). L.McConkey led the Chargers at +5.1 EPA (3 catches for 35).
Raiders
| Passing | C/A | Yds | TD | INT | Sk | EPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K.Cousins100% | 19/29 | 253 | 3 | 1 | 2 | +6.0 |
| Rushing | Car | Share | Yds | TD | EPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A.Jeanty81% | 21 | 72% | 48 | -12.3 | |
| K.Cousins100% | 4 | 14% | 1 | -2.1 | |
| M.Jr.19% | 3 | 10% | 7 | -1.4 | |
| C.Heyward30% | 1 | 3% | 1 | +2.2 |
| Receiving | Tgt | Share | Rec | Yds | TD | EPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| T.Tucker59% | 7 | 24% | 5 | 119 | 1 | +3.4 |
| A.Jeanty81% | 7 | 24% | 4 | 15 | -4.5 | |
| M.Mayer84% | 4 | 14% | 3 | 23 | +1.3 | |
| J.Nailor60% | 3 | 10% | 1 | 9 | +0.6 | |
| C.White11% | 2 | 7% | 2 | 24 | 2 | +5.9 |
| J.Bech54% | 2 | 7% | 2 | 25 | +1.5 | |
| I.Thomas49% | 1 | 3% | 1 | 11 | +0.7 | |
| D.Young19% | 1 | 3% | 1 | 27 | +1.8 | |
| M.Jr.19% | 1 | 3% | 0 | 0 | -0.5 | |
| M.Benson13% | 1 | 3% | 0 | 0 | -1.7 |
Defense H.Masses 2 INT, M.Koonce 1.5 sacks, E.Stokes 1 sack, N.Dean 0.5 sacks · Kicking M.Gay 1/1 FG (long 59)
Chargers
| Passing | C/A | Yds | TD | INT | Sk | EPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J.Herbert100% | 15/27 | 192 | 1 | 2 | 3 | -0.6 |
| Rushing | Car | Share | Yds | TD | EPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| O.Hampton63% | 23 | 72% | 94 | 1 | -11.0 |
| K.Mitchell25% | 5 | 16% | 24 | -0.8 | |
| J.Herbert100% | 3 | 9% | 2 | -4.1 | |
| Q.Johnston81% | 1 | 3% | 7 | +0.3 |
| Receiving | Tgt | Share | Rec | Yds | TD | EPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Q.Johnston81% | 5 | 19% | 1 | 7 | -2.4 | |
| D.Njoku16% | 3 | 12% | 1 | 9 | -4.7 | |
| C.Kolar62% | 3 | 12% | 3 | 21 | +1.3 | |
| L.McConkey46% | 3 | 12% | 3 | 35 | +5.1 | |
| T.Harris82% | 3 | 12% | 1 | 53 | +3.9 | |
| B.Thompson18% | 3 | 12% | 1 | 13 | -0.9 | |
| O.II44% | 2 | 8% | 2 | 18 | 1 | +2.0 |
| O.Hampton63% | 2 | 8% | 2 | 21 | +1.0 | |
| K.Mitchell25% | 1 | 4% | 1 | 15 | +1.2 | |
| D.Davis12% | 1 | 4% | 0 | 0 | -3.4 |
Defense C.Hart 1 INT, K.Mack 1 sack, D.Tomlinson 0.5 sacks, A.Mesidor 0.5 sacks · Kicking C.Dicker 0/1 FG
Each player's line for this game from nflverse's weekly stats; the percentage beside his name is his share of the offense's snaps. Share is his part of the team's carries or targets in this game. Defense lists sacks and interceptions; kicking lists field goals.
Clean pockets
Raiders take a sack on 4% of dropbacks (3rd). Chargers get home on 6% (23rd). League average is 7%.
Deep left is open
Chargers are worst against deep left throws, allowing +0.21 EPA per attempt. Raiders send 7% of their throws there. That is a small part of their offense so far.
Wideouts get blanketed
Chargers give up 133 yards a game to wide receivers (12th), against a league average of 147. Raiders' wide receivers produce 100 (32nd).
EPA per play
Call this one even. Raiders average +0.02 EPA per play (14th). Chargers allow -0.04 (9th). League average is +0.00.
The Chargers lead the series 33–22 since 1999. This game is the latest meeting.
The last 5
| 2026 · Wk 2 | LV 26 at LAC 14 |
| 2025 · Wk 13 | LV 14 at LAC 31 |
| 2025 · Wk 2 | LAC 20 at LV 9 |
| 2024 · Wk 18 | LAC 34 at LV 20 |
| 2024 · Wk 1 | LV 10 at LAC 22 |
2026 records
| Raiders | Chargers | |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 4–4 | 0–7 |
| Division | 1–1 | 0–3 |
| Conference | 3–3 | 0–4 |
| Other conference | 1–1 | 0–3 |
| Home | 1–3 | 0–3 |
| Away | 3–1 | 0–4 |
| Last 5 | LLLLW | LLLLL |
| Streak | Won 1 | Lost 7 |
| Points a game | 27.6 – 28.8 | 14.1 – 25.0 |
Every meeting since 1999, regular season and playoffs, from nflverse's game list, which starts in 1999; the all-time series goes back further. Franchises that moved count as one team (the Raiders, Chargers and Rams). Home and away are from the Raiders' side. Records are this regular season.
| Stat | LV off | Favors LV · Favors LAC | LAC def allows | NFL avg |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Overall | ||||
| EPA per play | +0.02#14 | -0.04#9 | +0.00 | |
| Success rate | 43%#14 | 44%#19 | 44% | |
| Yards per play | 5.5#14 | 5.6#20 | 5.4 | |
| Explosive play rate | 8%#26 | 10%#17 | 9% | |
| Passing | ||||
| Pass EPA per dropback | +0.19#6 | -0.02#10 | +0.03 | |
| Sack rate | 4%#3 | 6%#23 | 7% | |
| Running | ||||
| Run EPA per carry | -0.21#29 | -0.06#23 | -0.08 | |
| Yards per carry | 3.2#30 | 4.3#21 | 4.1 | |
| Money downs | ||||
| 3rd down conversion | 44%#9 | 31%#3 | 41% | |
| Red zone TD rate | 55%#22 | 52%#10 | 61% | |
| Targets by position | ||||
| WR yards per game | 100#32 | 133#12 | 147 | |
| TE yards per game | 120#1 | 52#15 | 55 | |
| TE targets per game | 13.6#1 | 6.0#3 | 7.6 | |
| RB receiving yards per game | 53#2 | 22#7 | 32 | |
Raiders: EPA per throw
Chargers: EPA allowed per throw
Green gains more than expected, red loses value. Cells with fewer than 5 throws are grayed out.