Five upsets, six comebacks and three overtime games. No week this season has had more overtime games. The Buccaneers were 24% to win at kickoff, fell to 12% during the game, and still beat the Cowboys 24-16.
The Ravens came back from 5% against the Falcons and won 30-23. The Giants and Commanders tied 27-27. On a bye: Panthers and Chiefs.
The scores
 Bills 37, Rams 34 |
Upset · 37% at kickoff · Overtime |
 Jaguars 19, Eagles 17 |
Comeback from 20% |
 49ers 32, Seahawks 29 |
Upset · 42% at kickoff · Comeback from 24% |
 Ravens 30, Falcons 23 |
Upset · 37% at kickoff · Comeback from 5% · Overtime |
 Jets 17, Browns 12 |
Comeback from 22% |
 Broncos 23, Chargers 17 |
Comeback from 20% |
 Buccaneers 24, Cowboys 16 |
Upset · 24% at kickoff · Comeback from 12% |
 Vikings 23, Saints 13 |
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 Steelers 34, Colts 22 |
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 Lions 45, Cardinals 21 |
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 Giants 27, Commanders 27 |
Tie |
 Packers 31, Bears 7 |
Upset · 43% at kickoff |
 Texans 26, Titans 3 |
Led all the way |
 Patriots 45, Raiders 17 |
Led all the way |
 Bengals 31, Dolphins 24 |
Led all the way |
The swing and the play
The biggest swing of the week came in the Jaguars’ game against the Eagles, with 0:01 left in the fourth quarter: C.Little 57 yard field goal is GOOD. It moved the Jaguars’ chance of winning by 45 points, and they won 19-17. Open the game
The best single play by expected points was the Eagles’ against the Jaguars, with 5:41 left in the second quarter: J.Hurts pass deep right to D.Cooper for 62 yards, TOUCHDOWN. It was worth +6.66 EPA. Open the game
Best offense, best defense
The Patriots had the week’s best offense, +0.42 EPA a play in a 45-17 win over the Raiders. Their usual is +0.01. The 49ers had the best defense, holding the Seahawks to −0.43 a play in a 32-29 win. Their usual is +0.02 allowed.
Players of the week
The top quarterback, back, receiver and tight end by expected points added.
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Drake MayeQB · Patriots vs Raiders | 26/34, 374 yds, 4 TD · 7-25 rush+30.9 EPA |
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Jaylen WarrenRB · Steelers vs Colts | 15 car, 101 yds, 1 TD · 6-87 rec+8.2 EPA |
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DeMario DouglasWR · Patriots vs Raiders | 4/5, 65 yds, 2 TD+10.5 EPA |
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Sam LaPortaTE · Lions vs Cardinals | 5/5, 88 yds, 1 TD+12.9 EPA |
Fantasy
The week’s top five in half-PPR scoring.
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Drake MayeQB · Patriots vs Raiders | 39.5 half PPR |
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Jahmyr GibbsRB · Lions vs Cardinals | 35.2 half PPR |
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Jaylen WarrenRB · Steelers vs Colts | 33.8 half PPR |
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Jayden DanielsQB · Commanders vs Giants | 32.3 half PPR |
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Josh AllenQB · Bills vs Rams | 30.5 half PPR |
Rising
The biggest jumps in share of the team’s targets, against their own earlier games: Germie Bernard (Steelers, 8% to 30%), Isaiah Bond (Browns, 2% to 22%) and Gavin Bartholomew (Vikings, 1% to 21%).
New faces: Teagan Quitoriano (first game of the season for the Cardinals, 41% of snaps), Jalen Brooks (first start for the Cardinals, 53% of snaps) and Nick Vannett (first game of the season for the Ravens, 25% of snaps).
Every play, every team and every player from Week 5 is on the week page.