Six upsets, five comebacks and two overtime games. The Cardinals were 13% to win at kickoff, fell to 9% during the game, and still beat the Rams 18-16.
The Titans came back from 3% against the Colts and won 26-20. On a bye: Bengals, Lions, Dolphins and Vikings.
The scores
 Cardinals 18, Rams 16 |
Upset · 13% at kickoff · Comeback from 9% |
 Steelers 26, Buccaneers 19 |
Comeback from 9% · Overtime |
 Titans 26, Colts 20 |
Upset · 25% at kickoff · Comeback from 3% |
 Broncos 17, Seahawks 14 |
Upset · 41% at kickoff · Overtime |
 Texans 34, Jaguars 31 |
Upset · 43% at kickoff |
 Saints 34, Giants 27 |
Comeback from 23% |
 Browns 13, Ravens 10 |
Upset · 39% at kickoff · Comeback from 10% |
 Packers 23, Cowboys 13 |
Upset · 43% at kickoff |
 Bills 33, Raiders 30 |
Led all the way |
 Patriots 26, Jets 19 |
Led all the way |
 Bears 31, Falcons 23 |
Led all the way |
 Panthers 25, Eagles 14 |
Led all the way |
 Chiefs 22, Chargers 6 |
Led all the way |
 49ers 23, Commanders 17 |
Led all the way |
The swing and the play
The week’s biggest swing came in the Cardinals’ game against the Rams, with 0:03 left in the fourth quarter: C.Ryland 43 yard field goal is GOOD. It moved the Cardinals’ chance of winning by 51 points, and they won 18-16. Open the game
The best single play by expected points was the Chargers’ against the Chiefs, with 12:26 left in the third quarter: J.Herbert pass deep left to Q.Johnston to KC 1 for 57 yards. It was worth +6.16 EPA. Open the game
Best offense, best defense
The Texans had the week’s best offense, +0.23 EPA a play in a 34-31 win over the Jaguars. Their usual is −0.01. The Chiefs had the best defense, holding the Chargers to −0.31 a play in a 22-6 win. Their usual is +0.01 allowed.
Players of the week
The top quarterback, back, receiver and tight end by expected points added.
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C.J. StroudQB · Texans vs Jaguars | 24/34, 312 yds, 3 TD, 1 INT+13.1 EPA |
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Bhayshul TutenRB · Jaguars vs Texans | 12 car, 39 yds · 4-48 rec+6.3 EPA |
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Jaxon Smith-NjigbaWR · Seahawks vs Broncos | 12/16, 134 yds+11.4 EPA |
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Josh CuevasTE · Ravens vs Browns | 4/5, 44 yds, 1 TD+6.5 EPA |
Fantasy
The week’s top five in half-PPR scoring.
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Trevor LawrenceQB · Jaguars vs Texans | 27.3 half PPR |
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Tyler ShoughQB · Saints vs Giants | 27.0 half PPR |
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Kenneth Walker IIIRB · Chiefs vs Chargers | 26.9 half PPR |
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Christian McCaffreyRB · 49ers vs Commanders | 26.2 half PPR |
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Tre TuckerWR · Raiders vs Bills | 24.2 half PPR |
Rising
The biggest jumps in share of the team’s targets, against their own earlier games: Christian McCaffrey (49ers, 18% to 35%), Emeka Egbuka (Buccaneers, 23% to 39%) and Jalen Coker (Panthers, 21% to 37%).
New faces: Audric Estimé (first game of the season for the Browns, 30% of snaps), Jaleel McLaughlin (first start for the Browns, 62% of snaps) and Savion Williams (first game of the season for the Packers, 53% of snaps).
Every play, every team and every player from Week 6 is on the week page.