Four upsets, four comebacks and one overtime game. The Giants were 22% to win at kickoff, fell to 18% during the game, and still beat the Texans 27-21 in overtime.
The Bengals came back from 14% against the Ravens and won 35-13. On a bye: Bills, Jaguars, Chargers and Commanders.
The scores
| Upset · 22% at kickoff · Comeback from 18% · Overtime | |
| Comeback from 14% | |
| Comeback from 23% | |
| Upset · 41% at kickoff · Comeback from 16% | |
| Upset · 37% at kickoff | |
| Upset · 42% at kickoff | |
| Led all the way | |
| Led all the way | |
| Led all the way | |
| Led all the way | |
| Led all the way |
The swing and the play
The biggest swing of the week came in the Browns’ game against the Titans, with 0:28 left in the fourth quarter: D.Watson pass short left to H.Fannin to TEN 19 for 36 yards (K.Winston). It moved the Browns’ chance of winning by 22 points, and they won 27-24. Open the game
The best single play by expected points was the Patriots’ against the Bears, with 0:03 left in the second quarter: D.Maye pass short right to R.Stevenson for 48 yards, TOUCHDOWN. It was worth +6.54 EPA. Open the game
Best offense, best defense
The Bengals had the week’s best offense, +0.33 EPA a play in a 35-13 win over the Ravens. Their usual is +0.09. The Buccaneers had the best defense, holding the Panthers to −0.27 a play in a 43-13 win. Their usual is −0.14 allowed.
Players of the week
The top quarterback, back, receiver and tight end by expected points added.
| Joe BurrowQB · Bengals vs Ravens | 22/30, 292 yds, 4 TD+19.4 EPA | |
| Javonte WilliamsRB · Cowboys vs Eagles | 25 car, 155 yds, 1 TD+9.6 EPA | |
| Luther Burden IIIWR · Bears vs Patriots | 4/4, 130 yds, 1 TD+12.8 EPA | |
| Greg DulcichTE · Dolphins vs Jets | 5/5, 86 yds+8.8 EPA |
Fantasy
The week’s top five in half-PPR scoring.
| Tony PollardRB · Titans vs Browns | 35.0 half PPR | |
| Joe BurrowQB · Bengals vs Ravens | 28.9 half PPR | |
| Drake MayeQB · Patriots vs Bears | 27.4 half PPR | |
| Jaxon Smith-NjigbaWR · Seahawks vs Chiefs | 26.8 half PPR | |
| Bo NixQB · Broncos vs Cardinals | 26.2 half PPR |
Rising
The biggest jumps in share of the team’s targets, against their own earlier games: Chris Godwin Jr. (Buccaneers, 16% to 46%), Colston Loveland (Bears, 15% to 40%) and CeeDee Lamb (Cowboys, 28% to 46%).
New faces: Josh Jacobs (first game of the season for the Packers, 52% of snaps), Marquise Brown (first start for the Eagles, 55% of snaps) and Christian Kirk (first game of the season for the 49ers, 30% of snaps).
Every play, every team and every player from Week 7 is on the week page.
