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2025 season · Feb 8 to Feb 8 · 1 games · byes: ARI, ATL, BAL, BUF, CAR, CHI, CIN, CLE, DAL, DEN, DET, GB, HOU, IND, JAX, KC, LA, LAC, LV, MIA, MIN, NO, NYG, NYJ, PHI, PIT, SF, TB, TEN, WAS

Super Bowl in review

What happened this week: every game's swings in one strip, the plays that decided them, the offenses and defenses that had their day, the players who carried them, and whose role moved.

1 of 1 final
The short version
  • Best offenseThe Seahawks: −0.05 EPA a play against the Patriots, −0.10 against their usual.
  • Best defenseThe Seahawks held the Patriots to −0.31 EPA a play, −0.20 against what they usually allow.
  • PlayerAJ Barner (SEA TE): +6.8 EPA, 4/4, 54 yds, 1 TD.

The gamesevery final with its win-probability line

Scoreboard · Super Bowl
Games final1 of 1
Overtime0
Comebacks0
Upsets0
Points0
Biggest swing–
SEASeahawks29NEPatriots13
Finalwin probability arrives with the next build

Each line is the winner's chance of winning, snap by snap, from nflverse's spread-adjusted model: above the dashed middle (shaded in the winner's color) they were favored, below it (shaded grey) they were behind. Overtime is left off the line, as on the game page. A comeback is a winner who fell below 25%; an upset is a winner who was under 50% at kickoff; lead changes count the score changing hands. Click a game for the full chart, the box score and the plays that swung it.

The playsthe ones that moved games, and the ones that moved the ball

The biggest swingsthe team with the ball, and the points of win probability for the team the play helped
  1. No final games with win probability yet.
The best plays by EPAexpected points added on one snap
  1. 1NEPatriots · Q4 12:33 · vs SEA · Mack HollinsD.Maye pass deep left to M.Hollins for 35 yards, TOUCHDOWN.+3.4EPA
  2. 2SEASeahawks · Q2 14:04 · vs NE · Kenneth Walker IIIK.Walker left end pushed ob at NE 46 for 30 yards.+2.6EPA
  3. 3NEPatriots · Q4 2:28 · vs SEA · Rhamondre StevensonD.Maye pass short left to R.Stevenson for 7 yards, TOUCHDOWN.+2.6EPA
  4. 4SEASeahawks · Q2 13:34 · vs NE · Kenneth Walker IIIK.Walker right guard pushed ob at NE 17 for 29 yards.+2.5EPA
  5. 5SEASeahawks · Q4 13:29 · vs NE · AJ BarnerS.Darnold pass deep right to A.Barner for 16 yards, TOUCHDOWN.+2.4EPA
  6. 6NEPatriots · Q4 4:57 · vs SEA · Hunter HenryD.Maye pass short middle to H.Henry to SEA 44 for 16 yards.+2.3EPA
  7. 7NEPatriots · Q4 2:58 · vs SEA · Stefon DiggsD.Maye pass deep middle to S.Diggs to SEA 7 for 26 yards.+2.1EPA
  8. 8NEPatriots · Q4 9:35 · vs SEA · Drake MayeD.Maye scrambles up the middle to NE 37 for 16 yards.+2.1EPA
  9. 9SEASeahawks · Q3 10:47 · vs NE · Kenneth Walker IIIS.Darnold pass short right to K.Walker pushed ob at NE 23 for 20 yards.+2.0EPA
  10. 10SEASeahawks · Q1 2:07 · vs NE · AJ BarnerS.Darnold pass short right to A.Barner to SEA 28 for 12 yards.+2.0EPA

Teamswho had their day, by EPA a play

OffensesEPA a play this week, against their season
1SEASeahawksat NE · W 29–13−0.05−0.10 vs usual
2NEPatriotsvs SEA · L 13–29−0.31−0.42 vs usual

EPA a play counts every pass and run in the game, scrambles and sacks included. "Vs usual" compares it with the same team's average in its other games this season, so a good offense having an ordinary day reads as a dip. Each team links to its offense or defense tab.

Playersthe best games by position, by EPA

Quarterbackspassing and rushing EPA this week
  1. 114Sam DarnoldSEA vs NE · 19/38, 202 yds, 1 TD−0.4
  2. 210Drake MayeNE vs SEA · 27/43, 295 yds, 2 TD, 2 INT · 5-37 rush−16.9
Backsrushing and receiving EPA this week
  1. 138Rhamondre StevensonNE vs SEA · 7 car, 23 yds · 5-40 rec+3.3
  2. 236George HolaniSEA vs NE · 2 car, 6 yds · 1-7 rec+0.5
  3. 39Kenneth Walker IIISEA vs NE · 27 car, 135 yds · 2-26 rec−1.0
  4. 432TreVeyon HendersonNE vs SEA · 6 car, 19 yds · 3-26 rec−3.2
Fantasy pointsthe week's top scorers
  1. 110Drake MayeNE vs SEA · QB19.5*
  2. 29Kenneth Walker IIISEA vs NE · RB16.1*
  3. 313Mack HollinsNE vs SEA · WR13.8*
  4. 414Sam DarnoldSEA vs NE · QB12.6*
  5. 538Rhamondre StevensonNE vs SEA · RB12.3*
  6. 688AJ BarnerSEA vs NE · TE11.4*
  7. 710Cooper KuppSEA vs NE · WR6.1*
  8. 83DeMario DouglasNE vs SEA · WR4.5*
  9. 932TreVeyon HendersonNE vs SEA · RB4.5*
  10. 108Stefon DiggsNE vs SEA · WR3.7*
  11. 1185Hunter HenryNE vs SEA · TE3.1*
  12. 1211Jaxon Smith-NjigbaSEA vs NE · WR2.7*
  13. 1322Rashid ShaheedSEA vs NE · WR2.2*
  14. 149Kayshon BoutteNE vs SEA · WR2.1*
  15. 1536George HolaniSEA vs NE · RB1.3*
  16. 1681Austin HooperNE vs SEA · TE1.0*
  1. 110Drake MayeNE vs SEA · QB19.5*
  2. 29Kenneth Walker IIISEA vs NE · RB17.1*
  3. 313Mack HollinsNE vs SEA · WR15.8*
  4. 438Rhamondre StevensonNE vs SEA · RB14.8*
  5. 588AJ BarnerSEA vs NE · TE13.4*
  6. 614Sam DarnoldSEA vs NE · QB12.6*
  7. 710Cooper KuppSEA vs NE · WR9.1*
  8. 83DeMario DouglasNE vs SEA · WR7.0*
  9. 932TreVeyon HendersonNE vs SEA · RB6.0*
  10. 108Stefon DiggsNE vs SEA · WR5.2*
  11. 1111Jaxon Smith-NjigbaSEA vs NE · WR4.7*
  12. 1285Hunter HenryNE vs SEA · TE4.6*
  13. 1322Rashid ShaheedSEA vs NE · WR3.2*
  14. 149Kayshon BoutteNE vs SEA · WR2.6*
  15. 1581Austin HooperNE vs SEA · TE2.0*
  16. 1636George HolaniSEA vs NE · RB1.8*
  1. 110Drake MayeNE vs SEA · QB19.5*
  2. 29Kenneth Walker IIISEA vs NE · RB18.1*
  3. 313Mack HollinsNE vs SEA · WR17.8*
  4. 438Rhamondre StevensonNE vs SEA · RB17.3*
  5. 588AJ BarnerSEA vs NE · TE15.4*
  6. 614Sam DarnoldSEA vs NE · QB12.6*
  7. 710Cooper KuppSEA vs NE · WR12.1*
  8. 83DeMario DouglasNE vs SEA · WR9.5*
  9. 932TreVeyon HendersonNE vs SEA · RB7.5*
  10. 1011Jaxon Smith-NjigbaSEA vs NE · WR6.7*
  11. 118Stefon DiggsNE vs SEA · WR6.7*
  12. 1285Hunter HenryNE vs SEA · TE6.1*
  13. 1322Rashid ShaheedSEA vs NE · WR4.2*
  14. 149Kayshon BoutteNE vs SEA · WR3.1*
  15. 1581Austin HooperNE vs SEA · TE3.0*
  16. 1636George HolaniSEA vs NE · RB2.3*
Wide receiversreceiving EPA this week
  1. 113Mack HollinsNE vs SEA · 4/8, 78 yds, 1 TD+3.3
  2. 28Stefon DiggsNE vs SEA · 3/3, 37 yds+1.5
  3. 33DeMario DouglasNE vs SEA · 5/7, 45 yds+1.1
  4. 410Cooper KuppSEA vs NE · 6/12, 61 yds+0.2
  5. 522Rashid ShaheedSEA vs NE · 2/5, 27 yds−0.3
  6. 611Jaxon Smith-NjigbaSEA vs NE · 4/10, 27 yds−5.0
  7. 718Kyle WilliamsNE vs SEA · 1/2, 7 yds−5.0
  8. 89Kayshon BoutteNE vs SEA · 1/5, 21 yds−12.0
Tight endsreceiving EPA this week
  1. 188AJ BarnerSEA vs NE · 4/4, 54 yds, 1 TD+6.8
  2. 285Hunter HenryNE vs SEA · 3/5, 31 yds+1.6
  3. 381Austin HooperNE vs SEA · 2/3, 10 yds−0.3

Lines for 1 game are counted from the play-by-play because nflverse's weekly stats for them haven't posted yet. Their fantasy points (marked *) leave out fumbles and two-point tries until the stats arrive, usually by the next morning.

Moverswhose role broke from his own season

Movers · Week 22 · against his own season0 played

Week 22: 0 players took a snap; no snap share moved past the floor.

Snap sharepoints of the snaps

Nobody moved far on this board.

Target sharepoints of team targets, QBs excluded

Nobody moved far on this board.

EPAthe week against his per-game average

Nobody moved far on this board.

Each row compares his last full week with his average over the games he had played before it, so a mover broke from his own pattern. Boards list the 5 biggest climbers, then the 5 biggest fallers, past a floor (12 points of snap share, 6 of target share, 4.0 EPA). The sparkline is his season; the dot is that week. New faces took their first snap that week with 25% or more, or passed 50% for the first time.